Preseason Rankings
Princeton
Ivy League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#145
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.7#325
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#131
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#159
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.8% 18.5% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Average Seed 13.5 13.0 14.1
.500 or above 57.4% 70.6% 45.2%
.500 or above in Conference 69.8% 76.6% 63.5%
Conference Champion 15.4% 19.4% 11.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.1% 7.6%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 1.5%
First Round14.2% 17.9% 10.7%
Second Round2.1% 3.1% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.1% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Away) - 48.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 1.70.1 - 1.7
Quad 1b0.2 - 1.20.3 - 2.9
Quad 20.9 - 2.61.2 - 5.5
Quad 34.2 - 4.25.4 - 9.7
Quad 47.8 - 2.113.2 - 11.8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2018 185   @ Lehigh W 74-72 48%    
  Nov 21, 2018 252   Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-69 81%    
  Nov 24, 2018 183   @ Monmouth W 71-69 48%    
  Nov 28, 2018 327   @ Maine W 75-63 80%    
  Dec 01, 2018 208   George Washington W 68-64 73%    
  Dec 05, 2018 106   Saint Joseph's L 68-71 51%    
  Dec 09, 2018 31   @ St. John's L 66-76 13%    
  Dec 15, 2018 133   Iona L 73-74 46%    
  Dec 18, 2018 4   @ Duke L 65-82 5%    
  Dec 21, 2018 293   @ Lafayette W 74-65 69%    
  Dec 29, 2018 43   @ Arizona St. L 70-79 15%    
  Jan 05, 2019 125   Penn L 68-69 56%    
  Jan 12, 2019 125   @ Penn L 68-69 36%    
  Feb 01, 2019 229   @ Columbia W 75-70 58%    
  Feb 02, 2019 248   @ Cornell W 74-68 61%    
  Feb 08, 2019 122   @ Yale L 69-71 35%    
  Feb 09, 2019 207   @ Brown W 75-71 54%    
  Feb 15, 2019 77   Harvard L 63-68 43%    
  Feb 16, 2019 276   Dartmouth W 71-64 81%    
  Feb 22, 2019 248   Cornell W 74-68 79%    
  Feb 23, 2019 229   Columbia W 75-70 75%    
  Mar 01, 2019 276   @ Dartmouth W 71-64 64%    
  Mar 02, 2019 77   @ Harvard L 63-68 24%    
  Mar 08, 2019 207   Brown W 75-71 73%    
  Mar 09, 2019 122   Yale L 69-71 54%    
Projected Record 13.2 - 11.8 7.9 - 6.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.3 4.5 2.6 0.8 15.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 5.2 7.0 4.1 0.7 18.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 7.1 6.9 2.0 0.2 18.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 7.2 5.0 1.0 0.0 16.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.7 6.0 3.3 0.4 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 4.4 2.0 0.2 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.3 1.2 0.1 5.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.1 8th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.0 5.5 8.5 11.2 13.1 14.3 13.5 11.8 8.6 5.2 2.6 0.8 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
13-1 100.0% 2.6    2.4 0.2
12-2 86.1% 4.5    3.4 1.1 0.0
11-3 50.2% 4.3    2.0 2.0 0.3 0.0
10-4 23.2% 2.7    0.7 1.2 0.8 0.1
9-5 3.3% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.4% 15.4 9.4 4.5 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.8% 76.7% 56.6% 20.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 46.3%
13-1 2.6% 61.2% 52.8% 8.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 17.7%
12-2 5.2% 44.0% 41.4% 2.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.9 4.5%
11-3 8.6% 30.7% 29.5% 1.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 5.9 1.7%
10-4 11.8% 21.8% 21.5% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 9.2 0.3%
9-5 13.5% 14.6% 14.6% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 11.5
8-6 14.3% 10.8% 10.8% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 12.7
7-7 13.1% 5.9% 5.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 12.3
6-8 11.2% 3.8% 3.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.7
5-9 8.5% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.2
4-10 5.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.4
3-11 3.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-12 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3
1-13 0.6% 0.6
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 14.8% 14.2% 0.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.1 3.1 2.6 2.3 85.2 0.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%