IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Cornell
Ivy League
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.0	#248
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.3	#115
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.0	#198

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#297

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	10.9	10.2	12.0

.500 or above	20.6%	31.7%	12.5%
.500 or above in Conference	25.9%	33.4%	20.5%
Conference Champion	2.2%	3.4%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	30.5%	23.4%	35.7%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Away) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.1	0.0 - 1.1
Quad 1b	0.1 - 1.7	0.1 - 2.8
Quad 2	0.5 - 4.0	0.6 - 6.8
Quad 3	2.7 - 6.7	3.3 - 13.5
Quad 4	6.7 - 4.4	10.1 - 17.9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	269	@ Binghamton	W	72-71	42%
Nov 11, 2018	209	Colgate	L	72-74	54%
Nov 15, 2018	239	Delaware	L	71-72	58%
Nov 17, 2018	228	@ NJIT	L	72-73	36%
Nov 20, 2018	96	@ Connecticut	L	69-79	12%
Nov 28, 2018	293	@ Lafayette	W	77-75	48%
Dec 01, 2018	12	@ Syracuse	L	58-78	2%
Dec 16, 2018	268	@ Niagara	W	82-81	42%
Dec 17, 2018	333	Longwood	W	78-71	80%
Dec 19, 2018	126	@ Toledo	L	74-82	18%
Dec 22, 2018	56	@ SMU	L	63-77	7%
Dec 30, 2018	260	Navy	W	70-69	62%
Jan 02, 2019	115	@ Wake Forest	L	72-80	16%
Jan 09, 2019	237	@ Towson	L	72-73	38%
Jan 19, 2019	229	Columbia	L	79-80	57%
Jan 26, 2019	229	@ Columbia	L	79-80	37%
Feb 01, 2019	125	Penn	L	70-78	35%
Feb 02, 2019	145	Princeton	L	68-74	39%
Feb 08, 2019	276	@ Dartmouth	W	73-72	44%
Feb 09, 2019	77	@ Harvard	L	65-77	11%
Feb 15, 2019	207	Brown	L	78-80	53%
Feb 16, 2019	122	Yale	L	72-80	34%
Feb 22, 2019	145	@ Princeton	L	68-74	21%
Feb 23, 2019	125	@ Penn	L	70-78	19%
Mar 01, 2019	122	@ Yale	L	72-80	18%
Mar 02, 2019	207	@ Brown	L	78-80	34%
Mar 08, 2019	77	Harvard	L	65-77	24%
Mar 09, 2019	276	Dartmouth	W	73-72	63%
Projected Record						10.1 - 17.9	4.9 - 9.1

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.0		2.2	1st
2nd								0.1	0.7	1.9	1.4	0.6	0.0				4.7	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.6	3.9	2.0	0.3	0.0					8.0	3rd
4th						0.3	2.6	5.2	2.5	0.4	0.0						11.0	4th
5th				0.0	0.5	4.5	7.1	2.8	0.2	0.0							15.1	5th
6th			0.0	1.4	6.0	7.9	2.7	0.2									18.2	6th
7th		0.3	3.1	7.4	7.4	2.1	0.1										20.3	7th
8th	2.2	5.8	7.2	4.3	1.0	0.1											20.6	8th

Total	2.2	6.1	10.3	13.0	14.9	14.8	12.6	9.9	7.3	4.4	2.3	1.4	0.4	0.2	0.0			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
12-2	90.0%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
11-3	57.2%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.0
10-4	25.7%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
9-5	4.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.0%	0.0				0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	2.2%	2.2		1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%																	0.0						0.0
13-1	0.2%		8.3%		8.3%	10.0								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0				0.2		8.3%
12-2	0.4%		0.8%		0.8%	10.6									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0					0.4		0.8%
11-3	1.4%		1.0%		1.0%	12.0												0.0	0.0					1.4		1.0%
10-4	2.3%		0.0%		0.0%	11.0												0.0						2.3		0.0%
9-5	4.4%																							4.4
8-6	7.3%																							7.3
7-7	9.9%																							9.9
6-8	12.6%																							12.6
5-9	14.8%																							14.8
4-10	14.9%																							14.9
3-11	13.0%																							13.0
2-12	10.3%																							10.3
1-13	6.1%																							6.1
0-14	2.2%																							2.2

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	10.9								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%