Preseason Rankings
NJIT
Atlantic Sun
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#228
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.5#243
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#252
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#212
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 9.4% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 58.3% 69.4% 43.5%
.500 or above in Conference 68.3% 74.0% 60.7%
Conference Champion 9.5% 12.1% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.5% 2.3% 5.0%
First Four1.8% 1.9% 1.6%
First Round6.2% 8.4% 3.2%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Home) - 57.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.90.0 - 0.9
Quad 1b0.1 - 0.70.1 - 1.6
Quad 20.5 - 1.80.6 - 3.4
Quad 32.8 - 5.13.3 - 8.5
Quad 412.1 - 6.015.5 - 14.5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 209   Colgate L 68-69 57%    
  Nov 09, 2018 269   @ Binghamton W 68-66 46%    
  Nov 11, 2018 207   Brown L 74-75 56%    
  Nov 17, 2018 248   Cornell W 73-72 64%    
  Nov 20, 2018 215   @ Wagner L 67-68 37%    
  Nov 24, 2018 225   @ LIU Brooklyn L 74-75 39%    
  Nov 28, 2018 280   @ Drexel W 72-70 47%    
  Dec 01, 2018 306   @ Umass Lowell W 77-73 55%    
  Dec 04, 2018 216   Army L 71-72 58%    
  Dec 08, 2018 318   St. Francis Brooklyn W 73-68 77%    
  Dec 11, 2018 267   @ Fordham W 66-64 47%    
  Dec 15, 2018 252   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-73 44%    
  Dec 29, 2018 37   @ Houston L 63-78 6%    
  Dec 31, 2018 182   @ Duquesne L 67-70 30%    
  Jan 05, 2019 338   Kennesaw St. W 73-65 83%    
  Jan 12, 2019 340   @ North Alabama W 72-63 70%    
  Jan 16, 2019 136   Lipscomb L 74-80 39%    
  Jan 19, 2019 289   Jacksonville W 72-69 69%    
  Jan 21, 2019 213   @ North Florida L 79-80 37%    
  Jan 24, 2019 337   @ Stetson W 75-67 67%    
  Jan 27, 2019 340   North Alabama W 72-63 84%    
  Jan 30, 2019 179   Florida Gulf Coast L 71-74 50%    
  Feb 02, 2019 155   @ Liberty L 63-67 26%    
  Feb 09, 2019 338   @ Kennesaw St. W 73-65 67%    
  Feb 13, 2019 179   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 71-74 31%    
  Feb 16, 2019 213   North Florida L 79-80 58%    
  Feb 20, 2019 337   Stetson W 75-67 83%    
  Feb 23, 2019 289   @ Jacksonville W 72-69 50%    
  Feb 25, 2019 136   @ Lipscomb L 74-80 22%    
  Mar 01, 2019 155   Liberty L 63-67 45%    
Projected Record 15.5 - 14.5 8.8 - 7.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.0 3.1 2.4 1.0 0.2 9.5 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 4.5 5.2 2.1 0.3 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.0 5.4 1.5 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 4.1 7.3 4.7 0.8 0.0 17.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.7 6.9 3.0 0.4 16.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.5 4.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.3 1.3 3.2 2.3 0.6 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.4 6.3 8.4 10.8 13.0 13.6 12.4 11.3 8.8 5.3 2.6 1.0 0.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
14-2 89.1% 2.4    1.8 0.5 0.0
13-3 59.2% 3.1    1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0
12-4 23.3% 2.0    0.5 1.1 0.4 0.0
11-5 6.0% 0.7    0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.5% 9.5 5.1 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 66.4% 49.0% 17.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 34.2%
15-1 1.0% 43.2% 41.8% 1.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.4%
14-2 2.6% 38.1% 37.1% 1.0% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.6 1.6%
13-3 5.3% 24.7% 24.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 4.0
12-4 8.8% 15.7% 15.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 7.4
11-5 11.3% 10.2% 10.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 10.2
10-6 12.4% 6.2% 6.2% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 11.7
9-7 13.6% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 13.2
8-8 13.0% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 12.6
7-9 10.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.7
6-10 8.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.3
5-11 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-12 3.4% 3.4
3-13 2.0% 2.0
2-14 0.7% 0.7
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.1% 7.0% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 2.1 2.8 92.9 0.1%