Preseason Rankings
Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#280
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.9#127
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#238
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#295
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 2.3% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.4 15.3
.500 or above 16.8% 37.7% 13.4%
.500 or above in Conference 19.6% 33.5% 17.3%
Conference Champion 0.8% 2.0% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 32.3% 21.1% 34.1%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round1.0% 2.1% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Away) - 14.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.50.0 - 0.5
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.30.1 - 1.8
Quad 20.5 - 4.10.6 - 5.9
Quad 32.3 - 7.42.9 - 13.4
Quad 47.3 - 6.510.1 - 19.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 135   @ Eastern Michigan L 64-73 14%    
  Nov 11, 2018 140   @ Rutgers L 64-72 14%    
  Nov 17, 2018 166   @ La Salle L 72-78 21%    
  Nov 21, 2018 223   Boston University L 72-74 52%    
  Nov 25, 2018 205   @ Bowling Green L 74-78 28%    
  Nov 28, 2018 228   NJIT L 70-72 53%    
  Dec 01, 2018 233   Robert Morris L 71-73 53%    
  Dec 05, 2018 300   Loyola Maryland W 74-72 65%    
  Dec 08, 2018 214   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71-74 50%    
  Dec 16, 2018 238   Quinnipiac L 72-74 43%    
  Dec 18, 2018 96   @ Connecticut L 67-78 11%    
  Dec 22, 2018 72   Temple L 67-80 19%    
  Dec 28, 2018 70   @ Northeastern L 66-80 7%    
  Dec 30, 2018 156   @ Hofstra L 74-81 21%    
  Jan 03, 2019 231   Elon L 72-74 53%    
  Jan 05, 2019 164   William & Mary L 76-82 39%    
  Jan 10, 2019 112   @ College of Charleston L 65-75 15%    
  Jan 12, 2019 197   @ UNC Wilmington L 77-81 27%    
  Jan 17, 2019 237   Towson L 70-72 53%    
  Jan 19, 2019 176   James Madison L 71-76 42%    
  Jan 26, 2019 239   @ Delaware L 70-72 34%    
  Jan 31, 2019 164   @ William & Mary L 76-82 23%    
  Feb 02, 2019 231   @ Elon L 72-74 34%    
  Feb 07, 2019 197   UNC Wilmington L 77-81 46%    
  Feb 09, 2019 112   College of Charleston L 65-75 28%    
  Feb 14, 2019 176   @ James Madison L 71-76 25%    
  Feb 16, 2019 237   @ Towson L 70-72 34%    
  Feb 23, 2019 239   Delaware L 70-72 54%    
  Feb 28, 2019 156   Hofstra L 74-81 37%    
  Mar 02, 2019 70   Northeastern L 66-80 18%    
Projected Record 10.1 - 19.9 5.9 - 12.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.3 1.9 0.1 10.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.9 4.9 1.9 0.1 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 5.3 2.1 0.1 15.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 3.8 6.6 5.0 1.9 0.3 18.4 9th
10th 1.5 4.3 6.7 6.0 3.5 1.1 0.1 23.2 10th
Total 1.5 4.4 7.5 10.1 12.4 12.3 11.8 11.5 8.9 7.1 5.0 3.2 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 86.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 79.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 37.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 3.2% 3.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 34.9% 34.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 26.0% 26.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 14.2% 14.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.1% 10.3% 10.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.3% 7.2% 7.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.2
11-7 3.2% 2.9% 2.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.1
10-8 5.0% 2.4% 2.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
9-9 7.1% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.0
8-10 8.9% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 8.8
7-11 11.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.4
6-12 11.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.7
5-13 12.3% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.2
4-14 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.4
3-15 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
2-16 7.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.5
1-17 4.4% 4.4
0-18 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%