IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Longwood
Big South
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.6	#333
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.1	#120
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.0	#332

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.6	#316

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	2.0%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.3	15.9

.500 or above	12.5%	35.0%	11.3%
.500 or above in Conference	17.3%	32.6%	16.5%
Conference Champion	0.9%	2.9%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	32.2%	17.0%	33.0%

First Four	0.4%	0.8%	0.4%
First Round	0.2%	1.2%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.0	0.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.2	0.0 - 0.2
Quad 2	0.1 - 1.6	0.1 - 1.8
Quad 3	1.0 - 7.0	1.0 - 8.7
Quad 4	7.8 - 10.4	8.8 - 19.2

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	130	@ Richmond	L	66-80	5%
Nov 13, 2018	341	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	69-67	47%
Nov 16, 2018	351	Delaware St.	W	70-65	77%
Nov 19, 2018	301	@ Charlotte	L	74-78	27%
Nov 23, 2018	220	Fairfield	L	69-77	23%
Nov 24, 2018	200	Denver	L	65-74	20%
Nov 25, 2018	244	@ Seattle	L	67-74	20%
Dec 01, 2018	310	VMI	L	69-72	51%
Dec 09, 2018	182	@ Duquesne	L	65-76	11%
Dec 17, 2018	248	@ Cornell	L	71-78	20%
Dec 21, 2018	337	Stetson	W	74-73	64%
Dec 29, 2018	265	@ The Citadel	L	82-88	23%
Jan 05, 2019	149	@ Radford	L	60-73	9%
Jan 10, 2019	294	UNC Asheville	L	69-73	47%
Jan 12, 2019	232	Charleston Southern	L	66-73	35%
Jan 16, 2019	194	@ Winthrop	L	71-81	14%
Jan 19, 2019	319	@ Presbyterian	L	67-69	34%
Jan 21, 2019	149	Radford	L	60-73	21%
Jan 24, 2019	255	High Point	L	66-72	40%
Jan 26, 2019	334	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	77-76	41%
Jan 30, 2019	240	Hampton	L	72-79	36%
Feb 02, 2019	254	@ Campbell	L	69-75	23%
Feb 07, 2019	218	Gardner-Webb	L	67-75	33%
Feb 13, 2019	255	@ High Point	L	66-72	23%
Feb 16, 2019	334	South Carolina Upstate	W	77-76	61%
Feb 21, 2019	240	@ Hampton	L	72-79	21%
Feb 23, 2019	254	Campbell	L	69-75	39%
Mar 02, 2019	218	@ Gardner-Webb	L	67-75	17%
Projected Record						8.8 - 19.2	5.0 - 11.0

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd										0.1	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0				1.7	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.6	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0					2.4	3rd
4th								0.1	0.7	2.2	0.9	0.1							4.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.7	2.6	1.6	0.2	0.0							5.1	5th
6th						0.0	0.8	3.0	2.9	0.3	0.0								7.0	6th
7th					0.0	0.6	3.7	4.0	0.7	0.0									9.1	7th
8th				0.0	0.9	4.6	5.2	1.6	0.1										12.3	8th
9th			0.0	1.3	5.7	6.4	2.2	0.2											15.8	9th
10th		0.4	3.0	7.2	6.6	2.6	0.2												20.0	10th
11th	2.3	5.6	7.3	5.0	1.4	0.1													21.8	11th

Total	2.3	6.0	10.3	13.6	14.6	14.4	12.1	9.4	7.0	4.8	2.7	1.5	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-2	73.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
13-3	70.8%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
12-4	40.7%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0
11-5	8.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	1.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
15-1	0.0%		90.3%	90.3%		15.9															0.0		0.0	0.0
14-2	0.2%		28.6%	28.6%		14.7															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
13-3	0.4%		11.8%	11.8%		15.3																0.0	0.0	0.3
12-4	0.7%		17.3%	17.3%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6
11-5	1.5%		4.9%	4.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	1.4
10-6	2.7%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																0.0	0.0	2.7
9-7	4.8%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	4.8
8-8	7.0%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	7.0
7-9	9.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.4
6-10	12.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	12.0
5-11	14.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	14.4
4-12	14.6%																							14.6
3-13	13.6%																							13.6
2-14	10.3%																							10.3
1-15	6.0%																							6.0
0-16	2.3%																							2.3

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.0%	15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%