Preseason Rankings
Hampton
Big South
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#240
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.8#23
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#250
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#236
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.1% 14.8% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 51.7% 73.7% 47.0%
.500 or above in Conference 66.6% 78.6% 64.0%
Conference Champion 12.2% 19.5% 10.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 2.1% 5.4%
First Four2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
First Round6.9% 13.6% 5.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 17.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.20.0 - 0.2
Quad 1b0.1 - 0.50.1 - 0.7
Quad 20.3 - 1.70.4 - 2.3
Quad 32.4 - 5.42.8 - 7.8
Quad 49.9 - 5.512.7 - 13.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 127   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 75-82 18%    
  Nov 13, 2018 198   @ California L 74-76 30%    
  Nov 19, 2018 205   Bowling Green L 77-79 44%    
  Nov 20, 2018 300   Loyola Maryland W 76-73 62%    
  Nov 25, 2018 130   @ Richmond L 73-80 19%    
  Nov 29, 2018 277   @ Norfolk St. W 77-75 45%    
  Dec 05, 2018 221   @ Coastal Carolina L 74-75 36%    
  Dec 08, 2018 164   William & Mary L 80-84 45%    
  Dec 22, 2018 305   Howard W 82-78 63%    
  Dec 29, 2018 178   @ St. Peter's L 64-68 28%    
  Jan 10, 2019 232   Charleston Southern L 73-74 59%    
  Jan 12, 2019 294   UNC Asheville W 77-74 70%    
  Jan 16, 2019 319   @ Presbyterian W 74-69 57%    
  Jan 19, 2019 218   @ Gardner-Webb L 74-75 37%    
  Jan 24, 2019 334   South Carolina Upstate W 85-78 81%    
  Jan 26, 2019 254   Campbell W 77-76 64%    
  Jan 30, 2019 333   @ Longwood W 79-72 64%    
  Feb 02, 2019 255   @ High Point W 73-72 43%    
  Feb 07, 2019 149   Radford L 67-72 42%    
  Feb 09, 2019 194   @ Winthrop L 79-82 33%    
  Feb 13, 2019 254   @ Campbell W 77-76 43%    
  Feb 16, 2019 255   High Point W 73-72 64%    
  Feb 21, 2019 333   Longwood W 79-72 79%    
  Feb 23, 2019 149   @ Radford L 67-72 25%    
  Feb 28, 2019 194   Winthrop L 79-82 52%    
  Mar 02, 2019 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 85-78 64%    
Projected Record 12.7 - 13.3 8.8 - 7.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.6 3.9 3.0 1.3 0.3 12.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.5 4.3 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.2 4.2 1.1 0.1 12.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 5.7 4.7 1.1 0.1 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.6 4.0 0.8 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.5 1.2 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.1 4.3 1.1 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.6 1.4 0.1 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.9 1.4 0.1 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 0.9 0.1 4.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.7 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.1 6.4 8.8 10.1 11.8 12.7 12.4 10.4 8.4 6.0 3.3 1.3 0.3 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 99.0% 1.3    1.2 0.1
14-2 90.8% 3.0    2.4 0.6 0.0
13-3 65.9% 3.9    2.3 1.5 0.2 0.0
12-4 31.5% 2.6    0.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 8.5% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 7.0 3.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 67.0% 66.7% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.9%
15-1 1.3% 46.1% 46.0% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.2%
14-2 3.3% 38.5% 38.5% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 2.1 0.0%
13-3 6.0% 27.7% 27.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 4.3 0.0%
12-4 8.4% 13.4% 13.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 7.2
11-5 10.4% 13.4% 13.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 9.0
10-6 12.4% 7.5% 7.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 11.5
9-7 12.7% 4.5% 4.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 12.1
8-8 11.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.6
7-9 10.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.0
6-10 8.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.7
5-11 6.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-12 4.1% 4.1
3-13 2.3% 2.3
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.7 91.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%