Preseason Rankings
Campbell
Big South
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#254
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.0#204
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#209
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#296
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 8.6% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 45.7% 60.5% 31.8%
.500 or above in Conference 61.9% 70.4% 53.8%
Conference Champion 10.1% 13.1% 7.2%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 3.8% 8.0%
First Four1.9% 2.1% 1.7%
First Round5.4% 7.4% 3.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Home) - 48.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.40.0 - 0.4
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.80.0 - 1.2
Quad 20.2 - 1.90.3 - 3.1
Quad 32.0 - 4.82.3 - 8.0
Quad 410.7 - 6.013.0 - 14.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 197   UNC Wilmington L 76-79 49%    
  Nov 09, 2018 221   Coastal Carolina L 71-73 54%    
  Nov 12, 2018 142   @ Ohio L 72-79 17%    
  Nov 16, 2018 352   Florida A&M W 76-64 87%    
  Nov 18, 2018 188   Austin Peay L 72-76 36%    
  Nov 24, 2018 69   @ Georgetown L 69-82 8%    
  Dec 04, 2018 230   @ Abilene Christian L 72-73 36%    
  Dec 18, 2018 265   The Citadel W 86-85 61%    
  Dec 21, 2018 188   Austin Peay L 72-76 36%    
  Dec 22, 2018 325   Alabama St. W 76-71 67%    
  Dec 29, 2018 23   @ Miami (FL) L 63-81 4%    
  Jan 05, 2019 218   Gardner-Webb L 71-73 53%    
  Jan 10, 2019 194   Winthrop L 75-78 48%    
  Jan 16, 2019 294   @ UNC Asheville W 73-71 47%    
  Jan 19, 2019 232   @ Charleston Southern L 70-71 36%    
  Jan 24, 2019 319   Presbyterian W 71-67 73%    
  Jan 26, 2019 240   @ Hampton L 76-77 36%    
  Jan 30, 2019 149   @ Radford L 64-70 22%    
  Feb 02, 2019 333   Longwood W 75-69 77%    
  Feb 07, 2019 255   @ High Point W 70-69 41%    
  Feb 09, 2019 334   South Carolina Upstate W 81-75 78%    
  Feb 13, 2019 240   Hampton L 76-77 57%    
  Feb 16, 2019 319   @ Presbyterian W 71-67 54%    
  Feb 21, 2019 255   High Point W 70-69 60%    
  Feb 23, 2019 333   @ Longwood W 75-69 61%    
  Feb 27, 2019 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 81-75 61%    
  Mar 02, 2019 149   Radford L 64-70 39%    
Projected Record 13.0 - 14.0 8.4 - 7.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.9 2.2 1.4 0.3 10.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.6 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 4.2 4.4 1.2 0.2 11.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 5.0 4.4 1.0 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.8 5.2 1.0 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.7 1.2 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.8 1.3 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.2 1.4 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.5 1.4 0.1 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.1 1.2 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.0 3.2 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.9 5.0 7.6 9.6 11.1 12.1 12.9 11.0 9.7 7.4 4.6 2.4 1.4 0.3 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 99.0% 1.4    1.3 0.1
14-2 91.2% 2.2    1.8 0.4 0.0
13-3 62.5% 2.9    1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 33.5% 2.5    0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 6.8% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.1% 10.1 5.8 3.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 69.8% 69.8% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.4% 44.1% 44.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8
14-2 2.4% 31.4% 31.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.7
13-3 4.6% 25.0% 25.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 3.4
12-4 7.4% 16.9% 16.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 6.2
11-5 9.7% 9.4% 9.4% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 8.8
10-6 11.0% 6.5% 6.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.7 10.3
9-7 12.9% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 12.5
8-8 12.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.9
7-9 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.1
6-10 9.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.6
5-11 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.6
4-12 5.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.0
3-13 2.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-14 1.2% 1.2
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.1 93.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%