Preseason Rankings
Winthrop
Big South
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#194
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.3#27
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#195
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#199
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.8% 29.0% 15.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.0 14.9
.500 or above 64.2% 86.7% 60.1%
.500 or above in Conference 78.7% 90.4% 76.6%
Conference Champion 20.1% 29.5% 18.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.5% 2.4%
First Four3.1% 2.7% 3.2%
First Round16.4% 27.8% 14.4%
Second Round1.3% 3.2% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 15.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.80.0 - 1.8
Quad 1b0.1 - 0.80.1 - 2.7
Quad 20.4 - 1.90.5 - 4.6
Quad 32.4 - 3.72.9 - 8.3
Quad 411.0 - 3.913.9 - 12.1


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 83   @ Vanderbilt L 71-79 15%    
  Nov 10, 2018 320   @ SIU Edwardsville W 81-73 67%    
  Nov 17, 2018 153   East Tennessee St. L 72-74 52%    
  Nov 21, 2018 3   @ Kentucky L 69-89 2%    
  Nov 28, 2018 287   @ Tennessee Tech W 79-74 56%    
  Dec 04, 2018 88   @ Davidson L 70-77 19%    
  Dec 20, 2018 341   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-66 90%    
  Dec 22, 2018 104   @ Southern Illinois L 71-77 22%    
  Dec 29, 2018 297   Prairie View W 83-77 79%    
  Jan 01, 2019 15   @ Florida St. L 74-90 5%    
  Jan 05, 2019 294   @ UNC Asheville W 79-73 59%    
  Jan 10, 2019 254   @ Campbell W 78-75 52%    
  Jan 12, 2019 255   High Point W 75-71 71%    
  Jan 16, 2019 333   Longwood W 81-71 86%    
  Jan 19, 2019 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 86-76 71%    
  Jan 21, 2019 294   UNC Asheville W 79-73 76%    
  Jan 24, 2019 218   Gardner-Webb W 75-74 64%    
  Jan 26, 2019 319   @ Presbyterian W 76-68 66%    
  Feb 02, 2019 149   Radford L 68-71 50%    
  Feb 07, 2019 232   @ Charleston Southern W 75-73 48%    
  Feb 09, 2019 240   Hampton W 82-79 67%    
  Feb 13, 2019 319   Presbyterian W 76-68 80%    
  Feb 16, 2019 218   @ Gardner-Webb W 75-74 44%    
  Feb 21, 2019 149   @ Radford L 68-71 32%    
  Feb 23, 2019 232   Charleston Southern W 75-73 67%    
  Feb 28, 2019 240   @ Hampton W 82-79 48%    
Projected Record 13.9 - 12.1 9.8 - 6.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.7 6.1 5.3 3.0 0.8 20.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 5.3 6.1 3.0 0.6 0.0 16.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.5 5.1 1.7 0.1 14.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.8 4.6 1.2 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.3 4.4 1.0 0.1 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.2 4.2 0.7 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.9 1.1 0.0 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 2.4 1.0 0.1 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.1 3.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 3.8 5.7 8.0 10.9 11.6 13.0 12.7 11.5 9.2 5.9 3.0 0.8 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
15-1 99.9% 3.0    2.9 0.1
14-2 90.1% 5.3    4.3 1.0 0.0
13-3 66.1% 6.1    3.5 2.3 0.3 0.0
12-4 32.2% 3.7    1.1 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0
11-5 8.0% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 20.1% 20.1 12.7 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.8% 85.4% 83.4% 2.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.0%
15-1 3.0% 60.9% 59.5% 1.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 3.3%
14-2 5.9% 51.3% 51.0% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.9 0.5%
13-3 9.2% 37.0% 37.0% 14.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.5 0.5 5.8
12-4 11.5% 27.0% 27.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.0 8.4
11-5 12.7% 17.6% 17.6% 15.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 10.5
10-6 13.0% 13.3% 13.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 11.2
9-7 11.6% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.1 0.7 10.8
8-8 10.9% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 10.4
7-9 8.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.8
6-10 5.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.6
5-11 3.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 3.7
4-12 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-13 1.2% 1.2
2-14 0.4% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.8% 17.7% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 3.9 5.2 5.8 82.2 0.1%