Preseason Rankings
Charlotte
Conference USA
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#301
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.7#43
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#267
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#313
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a 12.0 n/a
.500 or above 10.0% 13.4% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 34.1% 39.8% 23.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 26.0% 21.0% 35.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chattanooga (Home) - 65.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.70.0 - 0.7
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.50.1 - 2.2
Quad 20.4 - 4.80.5 - 7.0
Quad 32.2 - 8.72.7 - 15.7
Quad 46.4 - 5.39.0 - 21.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 314   Chattanooga W 72-71 65%    
  Nov 10, 2018 74   Oklahoma St. L 69-84 14%    
  Nov 16, 2018 176   James Madison L 72-79 36%    
  Nov 19, 2018 333   Longwood W 78-74 73%    
  Nov 27, 2018 88   @ Davidson L 67-80 7%    
  Dec 01, 2018 112   @ College of Charleston L 66-77 10%    
  Dec 06, 2018 115   @ Wake Forest L 72-83 11%    
  Dec 09, 2018 250   South Florida L 70-73 51%    
  Dec 18, 2018 290   East Carolina L 75-76 57%    
  Dec 23, 2018 28   TCU L 69-89 5%    
  Dec 23, 2018 103   Rhode Island L 69-81 15%    
  Dec 25, 2018 84   Colorado L 68-82 12%    
  Jan 03, 2019 60   Western Kentucky L 70-87 13%    
  Jan 05, 2019 99   Marshall L 79-91 21%    
  Jan 10, 2019 226   @ Florida International L 74-78 28%    
  Jan 12, 2019 266   @ Florida Atlantic L 74-76 33%    
  Jan 17, 2019 163   Southern Miss L 70-78 35%    
  Jan 19, 2019 141   Louisiana Tech L 70-80 29%    
  Jan 21, 2019 102   Old Dominion L 63-75 22%    
  Jan 24, 2019 158   @ Texas San Antonio L 76-84 16%    
  Jan 26, 2019 249   @ UTEP L 72-75 31%    
  Jan 31, 2019 323   Rice W 75-73 66%    
  Feb 02, 2019 132   North Texas L 70-80 27%    
  Feb 07, 2019 157   @ Middle Tennessee L 68-76 17%    
  Feb 09, 2019 187   @ UAB L 71-78 21%    
  Feb 16, 2019 102   @ Old Dominion L 63-75 11%    
  Feb 23, 2019 157   @ Middle Tennessee L 68-76 17%    
  Mar 03, 2019 249   UTEP L 72-75 50%    
  Mar 06, 2019 323   Rice W 75-73 65%    
  Mar 09, 2019 323   @ Rice W 75-73 47%    
Projected Record 9.0 - 21.0 5.5 - 12.5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.6 1.7 0.1 7.1 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 3.6 2.7 0.3 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 4.2 3.8 0.5 0.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.2 1.6 4.9 4.6 1.3 0.0 12.6 11th
12th 0.2 1.7 5.3 5.1 1.7 0.1 14.1 12th
13th 0.2 2.2 6.0 5.4 1.7 0.2 15.6 13th
14th 1.7 4.5 5.6 4.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 17.3 14th
Total 1.7 4.7 8.0 12.3 13.2 13.5 12.3 10.5 8.5 5.8 4.4 2.5 1.3 0.8 0.4 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 25.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 7.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.0%
10-4 0.0%
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 0.4
13-1 0.8% 0.8
12-2 1.3% 1.3
11-3 2.5% 2.5
10-4 4.4% 4.4
9-5 5.8% 5.8
8-6 8.5% 8.5
7-7 10.5% 10.5
6-8 12.3% 12.3
5-9 13.5% 13.5
4-10 13.2% 13.2
3-11 12.3% 12.3
2-12 8.0% 8.0
1-13 4.7% 4.7
0-14 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%