Preseason Rankings
UTEP
Conference USA
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#249
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.4#197
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#290
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#193
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a 10.0 11.0
.500 or above 19.8% 46.2% 16.7%
.500 or above in Conference 54.8% 71.9% 52.7%
Conference Champion 0.8% 2.6% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.1% 4.5% 11.8%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico St. (Away) - 10.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.20.0 - 1.2
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.70.1 - 2.9
Quad 20.5 - 3.90.6 - 6.8
Quad 32.1 - 5.72.7 - 12.5
Quad 47.5 - 4.310.2 - 16.8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 93   @ New Mexico St. L 63-73 11%    
  Nov 14, 2018 66   @ Arizona L 64-77 7%    
  Nov 24, 2018 92   @ New Mexico L 70-80 11%    
  Nov 28, 2018 93   New Mexico St. L 63-73 27%    
  Dec 01, 2018 328   Northwestern St. W 71-65 78%    
  Dec 04, 2018 24   @ Marquette L 66-84 4%    
  Dec 16, 2018 282   UC Riverside W 68-67 65%    
  Dec 21, 2018 277   Norfolk St. W 71-70 64%    
  Dec 22, 2018 173   Wyoming L 73-77 46%    
  Jan 03, 2019 158   @ Texas San Antonio L 71-77 24%    
  Jan 05, 2019 158   Texas San Antonio L 71-77 42%    
  Jan 10, 2019 132   North Texas L 65-73 35%    
  Jan 12, 2019 323   Rice W 71-66 75%    
  Jan 17, 2019 187   @ UAB L 67-71 28%    
  Jan 19, 2019 157   @ Middle Tennessee L 63-69 24%    
  Jan 24, 2019 102   Old Dominion L 59-68 31%    
  Jan 26, 2019 301   Charlotte W 75-72 69%    
  Jan 31, 2019 99   @ Marshall L 73-83 16%    
  Feb 02, 2019 60   @ Western Kentucky L 66-80 8%    
  Feb 07, 2019 266   Florida Atlantic W 69-68 62%    
  Feb 09, 2019 226   Florida International L 69-70 56%    
  Feb 14, 2019 141   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-73 22%    
  Feb 16, 2019 163   @ Southern Miss L 66-71 26%    
  Feb 23, 2019 323   Rice W 71-66 74%    
  Mar 03, 2019 301   @ Charlotte W 75-72 50%    
  Mar 06, 2019 157   Middle Tennessee L 63-69 42%    
  Mar 09, 2019 157   @ Middle Tennessee L 63-69 24%    
Projected Record 10.2 - 16.8 7.1 - 10.9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.3 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.1 0.9 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.3 2.1 4.3 1.4 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 4.6 2.4 0.2 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.7 3.6 0.6 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 4.4 4.1 0.8 0.0 10.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 4.3 4.9 1.5 0.1 11.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 4.0 4.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 11.0 12th
13th 0.1 1.2 3.3 3.1 1.4 0.1 9.3 13th
14th 0.3 1.3 2.5 1.8 0.8 0.1 6.8 14th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.8 6.2 9.0 11.5 12.3 12.7 11.6 10.4 7.6 5.5 3.5 2.4 1.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 21.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-1 4.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-3 0.0%
10-4 0.0%
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.2% 1.2
13-1 2.4% 2.4
12-2 3.5% 3.5
11-3 5.5% 5.5
10-4 7.6% 7.6
9-5 10.4% 10.4
8-6 11.6% 11.6
7-7 12.7% 12.7
6-8 12.3% 12.3
5-9 11.5% 11.5
4-10 9.0% 9.0
3-11 6.2% 6.2
2-12 3.8% 3.8
1-13 1.4% 1.4
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%