Preseason Rankings
Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#287
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.2#47
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#327
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#180
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 27.2% 53.7% 24.5%
.500 or above in Conference 37.1% 55.6% 35.2%
Conference Champion 1.9% 4.2% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 7.0% 15.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Away) - 9.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.10.0 - 3.1
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.00.1 - 4.1
Quad 20.3 - 1.80.4 - 5.9
Quad 31.5 - 4.11.8 - 10.1
Quad 410.1 - 7.111.9 - 17.1


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 101   @ Memphis L 66-77 9%    
  Nov 10, 2018 319   Presbyterian W 69-66 71%    
  Nov 13, 2018 353   @ Savannah St. W 91-80 76%    
  Nov 16, 2018 6   @ North Carolina L 65-90 1%    
  Nov 18, 2018 10   @ Michigan St. L 61-83 1%    
  Nov 23, 2018 210   Louisiana Monroe L 67-71 47%    
  Nov 28, 2018 194   Winthrop L 74-79 44%    
  Dec 01, 2018 314   @ Chattanooga W 69-67 47%    
  Dec 15, 2018 338   @ Kennesaw St. W 73-68 58%    
  Dec 20, 2018 353   Savannah St. W 91-80 88%    
  Dec 29, 2018 9   @ Tennessee L 58-81 1%    
  Jan 03, 2019 259   @ Tennessee St. L 65-66 36%    
  Jan 05, 2019 109   @ Belmont L 67-78 12%    
  Jan 10, 2019 320   SIU Edwardsville W 75-72 69%    
  Jan 12, 2019 298   Eastern Illinois W 68-67 62%    
  Jan 17, 2019 259   Tennessee St. L 65-66 56%    
  Jan 19, 2019 146   @ Jacksonville St. L 64-72 17%    
  Jan 24, 2019 224   @ Morehead St. L 71-74 31%    
  Jan 26, 2019 273   @ Eastern Kentucky L 72-73 38%    
  Jan 31, 2019 188   Austin Peay L 71-77 42%    
  Feb 02, 2019 151   Murray St. L 66-74 35%    
  Feb 07, 2019 308   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 76-74 46%    
  Feb 09, 2019 285   @ Tennessee Martin L 67-68 39%    
  Feb 14, 2019 146   Jacksonville St. L 64-72 34%    
  Feb 16, 2019 109   Belmont L 67-78 27%    
  Feb 21, 2019 273   Eastern Kentucky L 72-73 57%    
  Feb 23, 2019 224   Morehead St. L 71-74 50%    
  Feb 28, 2019 320   @ SIU Edwardsville W 75-72 50%    
  Mar 02, 2019 298   @ Eastern Illinois W 68-67 42%    
Projected Record 11.9 - 17.1 7.4 - 10.6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.3 2.6 5.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 10.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.8 3.8 2.3 0.4 0.0 10.2 11th
12th 0.4 1.5 2.8 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.8 12th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.6 5.9 7.5 10.0 11.2 11.4 11.4 10.6 8.9 6.6 4.7 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 91.3% 0.5    0.4 0.0 0.0
15-3 54.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 30.1% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.1
16-2 0.5% 0.5
15-3 0.8% 0.8
14-4 1.7% 1.7
13-5 3.0% 3.0
12-6 4.7% 4.7
11-7 6.6% 6.6
10-8 8.9% 8.9
9-9 10.6% 10.6
8-10 11.4% 11.4
7-11 11.4% 11.4
6-12 11.2% 11.2
5-13 10.0% 10.0
4-14 7.5% 7.5
3-15 5.9% 5.9
2-16 3.6% 3.6
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%