Preseason Rankings
Western Illinois
Summit League
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#270
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.7#190
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#280
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#253
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 4.4% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 26.7% 62.5% 25.4%
.500 or above in Conference 28.4% 51.2% 27.6%
Conference Champion 2.2% 8.2% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 13.1% 25.9%
First Four1.0% 0.2% 1.0%
First Round1.6% 4.3% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 3.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.90.0 - 0.9
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.9
Quad 20.2 - 1.90.2 - 3.8
Quad 31.5 - 5.31.8 - 9.2
Quad 49.1 - 7.010.9 - 16.1


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 41   @ Creighton L 67-83 3%    
  Nov 17, 2018 298   @ Eastern Illinois W 67-65 45%    
  Nov 21, 2018 285   @ Tennessee Martin W 68-67 42%    
  Nov 24, 2018 35   @ Nebraska L 62-79 4%    
  Nov 28, 2018 320   SIU Edwardsville W 74-70 72%    
  Dec 01, 2018 308   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 75-72 49%    
  Dec 05, 2018 337   @ Stetson W 75-69 62%    
  Dec 08, 2018 298   Eastern Illinois W 67-65 66%    
  Dec 15, 2018 275   @ IUPUI W 68-67 40%    
  Dec 17, 2018 186   @ Northern Illinois L 68-73 24%    
  Dec 20, 2018 350   Chicago St. W 79-69 88%    
  Dec 28, 2018 79   South Dakota St. L 70-82 22%    
  Dec 30, 2018 200   Denver L 67-71 48%    
  Jan 05, 2019 283   @ Oral Roberts W 70-69 41%    
  Jan 10, 2019 199   @ North Dakota St. L 67-71 28%    
  Jan 12, 2019 271   @ North Dakota W 74-73 41%    
  Jan 17, 2019 253   Nebraska Omaha L 74-75 57%    
  Jan 19, 2019 169   Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-80 41%    
  Jan 26, 2019 134   @ South Dakota L 68-76 17%    
  Feb 01, 2019 271   North Dakota W 74-73 59%    
  Feb 02, 2019 199   North Dakota St. L 67-71 48%    
  Feb 07, 2019 169   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 74-80 23%    
  Feb 16, 2019 134   South Dakota L 68-76 33%    
  Feb 20, 2019 253   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-75 36%    
  Feb 23, 2019 283   Oral Roberts W 70-69 60%    
  Feb 28, 2019 200   @ Denver L 67-71 29%    
  Mar 02, 2019 79   @ South Dakota St. L 70-82 11%    
Projected Record 10.9 - 16.1 5.9 - 10.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.5 3.5 0.9 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.4 4.0 1.0 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 6.0 4.4 0.9 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.3 6.8 4.6 0.7 0.0 16.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.7 6.4 3.9 0.6 0.0 17.0 8th
9th 1.0 3.4 5.6 4.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 16.8 9th
Total 1.0 3.4 6.8 9.9 12.1 13.3 13.3 11.9 9.2 7.4 5.1 3.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 82.2% 0.3    0.2 0.0
13-3 68.1% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 34.7% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 11.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 28.0% 28.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.3% 21.0% 21.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.0% 20.2% 20.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
12-4 2.0% 11.5% 11.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.8
11-5 3.3% 9.1% 9.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.0
10-6 5.1% 4.7% 4.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.9
9-7 7.4% 3.9% 3.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.1
8-8 9.2% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.9
7-9 11.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.7
6-10 13.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.1
5-11 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.2
4-12 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
3-13 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
2-14 6.8% 6.8
1-15 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.4
0-16 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.4 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%