Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#134
Expected Predictive Rating+4.2#112
Pace71.0#115
Improvement+0.9#145

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#97
First Shot+2.3#100
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#134
Layup/Dunks+2.3#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#151
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#288
Freethrows+2.8#14
Improvement+4.2#13

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#196
First Shot-0.6#197
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#177
Layups/Dunks+2.0#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#303
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement-3.3#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round8.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 38 - 29 - 8
Quad 411 - 220 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 119   @ Missouri St. W 67-66 34%     1 - 0 +7.4 +6.3 +1.3
  Nov 10, 2019 217   @ Illinois St. L 70-75 59%     1 - 1 -4.9 +0.2 -5.2
  Nov 17, 2019 296   @ Central Arkansas W 76-56 75%     2 - 1 +15.3 +0.2 +15.0
  Nov 20, 2019 57   @ Memphis L 58-68 19%     2 - 2 +1.6 -10.5 +13.3
  Nov 23, 2019 45   @ North Carolina St. L 58-74 16%     2 - 3 -3.0 -11.1 +8.6
  Nov 26, 2019 309   St. Francis Brooklyn W 67-56 89%     3 - 3 -0.3 -12.1 +11.5
  Nov 27, 2019 326   Alcorn St. W 67-50 93%     4 - 3 +3.0 -15.6 +18.2
  Nov 30, 2019 65   East Tennessee St. L 63-67 39%     4 - 4 +1.1 +3.3 -2.9
  Dec 07, 2019 85   @ North Texas L 53-76 26%     4 - 5 -13.8 -12.2 -4.0
  Dec 10, 2019 262   Tennessee St. W 86-62 85%     5 - 5 +15.1 +4.2 +9.3
  Dec 19, 2019 247   @ Louisiana Monroe W 73-72 66%     6 - 5 1 - 0 -1.0 +1.4 -2.5
  Dec 21, 2019 219   @ Louisiana W 69-66 60%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +2.6 -1.5 +4.3
  Jan 02, 2020 102   Texas St. W 72-68 52%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +5.8 +2.9 +3.0
  Jan 04, 2020 137   Texas Arlington W 92-89 63%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +2.1 +11.8 -10.0
  Jan 06, 2020 132   Georgia Southern W 79-73 61%     10 - 5 5 - 0 +5.3 +5.8 -0.6
  Jan 09, 2020 292   @ Troy L 71-76 74%     10 - 6 5 - 1 -9.5 -6.6 -2.7
  Jan 11, 2020 157   South Alabama L 43-52 68%     10 - 7 5 - 2 -11.4 -29.2 +17.1
  Jan 16, 2020 189   @ Coastal Carolina W 71-55 52%     11 - 7 6 - 2 +17.7 -7.8 +24.4
  Jan 18, 2020 182   @ Appalachian St. W 73-57 50%     12 - 7 7 - 2 +18.2 +4.2 +14.4
  Jan 22, 2020 292   Troy W 81-63 88%     13 - 7 8 - 2 +7.5 +0.5 +6.3
  Jan 25, 2020 157   @ South Alabama W 73-71 45%     14 - 7 9 - 2 +5.7 +8.8 -2.9
  Jan 30, 2020 189   Coastal Carolina W 96-79 74%     15 - 7 10 - 2 +12.7 +4.6 +5.5
  Feb 01, 2020 182   Appalachian St. W 93-86 72%     16 - 7 11 - 2 +3.2 +28.1 -24.3
  Feb 08, 2020 212   Arkansas St. W 90-87 78%     17 - 7 12 - 2 -2.7 +12.8 -15.4
  Feb 13, 2020 102   @ Texas St. L 66-74 30%     17 - 8 12 - 3 -0.2 +0.0 -0.5
  Feb 15, 2020 137   @ Texas Arlington L 65-76 39%     17 - 9 12 - 4 -5.9 -5.8 +0.3
  Feb 22, 2020 212   @ Arkansas St. W 81-78 58%     18 - 9 13 - 4 +3.4 +5.3 -2.0
  Feb 27, 2020 247   Louisiana Monroe W 79-63 84%     19 - 9 14 - 4 +7.9 +7.7 +1.1
  Feb 29, 2020 219   Louisiana W 91-69 80%     20 - 9 15 - 4 +15.6 +8.1 +6.1
  Mar 03, 2020 131   @ Georgia St. L 70-89 38%     20 - 10 15 - 5 -13.6 -3.5 -9.3
Projected Record 20 - 10 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.8 0.0 2.0 23.9 67.4 6.6
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 2.0 23.9 67.4 6.6