Boston University
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#170
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#180
Pace65.3#271
Improvement+3.2#57

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#166
First Shot+0.7#155
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#179
Layup/Dunks+3.8#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#160
Freethrows-2.3#320
Improvement+1.1#129

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#198
First Shot-0.7#198
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#173
Layups/Dunks-3.8#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#90
Freethrows+0.9#124
Improvement+2.2#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four40.5% n/a n/a
First Round83.8% n/a n/a
Second Round3.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 32 - 4
Quad 32 - 54 - 9
Quad 416 - 420 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 147   Northeastern L 67-72 57%     0 - 1 -6.6 -6.4 -0.4
  Nov 13, 2019 84   @ Vermont L 47-62 19%     0 - 2 -5.7 -19.0 +12.7
  Nov 16, 2019 249   New Hampshire W 84-70 79%     1 - 2 +5.7 +9.9 -4.1
  Nov 19, 2019 64   @ South Carolina W 78-70 15%     2 - 2 +19.1 +8.4 +10.4
  Nov 22, 2019 14   @ West Virginia L 44-69 6%     2 - 3 -7.6 -16.1 +7.9
  Nov 26, 2019 99   Northern Colorado L 55-78 31%     2 - 4 -17.9 -14.4 -4.5
  Nov 27, 2019 333   Tennessee Martin L 73-76 86%     2 - 5 -14.8 -7.3 -7.7
  Dec 04, 2019 230   @ George Washington L 63-64 54%     2 - 6 -1.9 -7.2 +5.3
  Dec 07, 2019 332   @ Binghamton L 79-84 OT 80%     2 - 7 -13.7 -6.4 -7.0
  Dec 14, 2019 205   Dartmouth W 78-76 70%     3 - 7 -3.2 +8.0 -11.2
  Dec 21, 2019 280   @ Umass Lowell W 74-62 64%     4 - 7 +8.4 -8.1 +16.0
  Dec 29, 2019 233   @ Merrimack W 69-67 54%     5 - 7 +1.0 +12.1 -10.7
  Jan 02, 2020 222   Lafayette W 73-72 74%     6 - 7 1 - 0 -5.6 -1.2 -4.4
  Jan 05, 2020 198   @ American L 63-67 46%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -2.9 -8.3 +5.4
  Jan 08, 2020 295   Lehigh W 84-67 84%     7 - 8 2 - 1 +6.3 +2.9 +2.9
  Jan 11, 2020 258   Army W 81-59 80%     8 - 8 3 - 1 +13.2 +9.0 +5.7
  Jan 13, 2020 266   @ Loyola Maryland W 85-53 62%     9 - 8 4 - 1 +29.0 +4.1 +23.1
  Jan 18, 2020 123   @ Colgate L 70-79 28%     9 - 9 4 - 2 -2.9 +4.7 -8.4
  Jan 22, 2020 253   Navy L 58-60 OT 79%     9 - 10 4 - 3 -10.4 -15.0 +4.5
  Jan 25, 2020 343   @ Holy Cross W 79-64 86%     10 - 10 5 - 3 +3.3 +1.2 +2.8
  Jan 29, 2020 266   Loyola Maryland W 92-77 80%     11 - 10 6 - 3 +6.0 +10.7 -5.0
  Feb 01, 2020 242   @ Bucknell W 77-57 56%     12 - 10 7 - 3 +18.4 +10.0 +9.5
  Feb 05, 2020 258   @ Army W 80-66 61%     13 - 10 8 - 3 +11.2 +10.4 +1.7
  Feb 08, 2020 343   Holy Cross W 77-68 94%     14 - 10 9 - 3 -8.7 +1.4 -9.1
  Feb 10, 2020 123   Colgate L 63-79 50%     14 - 11 9 - 4 -15.9 -7.8 -9.1
  Feb 15, 2020 253   @ Navy W 77-54 59%     15 - 11 10 - 4 +20.6 +16.7 +8.0
  Feb 19, 2020 222   @ Lafayette L 59-61 53%     15 - 12 10 - 5 -2.6 -9.1 +6.3
  Feb 23, 2020 198   American W 64-60 68%     16 - 12 11 - 5 -0.9 -10.1 +9.3
  Feb 26, 2020 295   @ Lehigh L 55-57 OT 68%     16 - 13 11 - 6 -6.7 -20.4 +13.7
  Feb 29, 2020 242   Bucknell W 74-71 77%     17 - 13 12 - 6 -4.6 +6.3 -10.6
  Mar 05, 2020 253   Navy W 69-63 79%     18 - 13 -2.4 -2.8 +0.8
  Mar 08, 2020 242   Bucknell W 64-61 77%     19 - 13 -4.6 -4.2 -0.1
  Mar 11, 2020 123   @ Colgate W 64-61 28%     20 - 13 +9.1 +1.1 +8.4
Projected Record 20 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.8 0.7 19.8 79.4
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.7 19.8 79.4