Connecticut
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#55
Expected Predictive Rating+7.4#73
Pace69.4#165
Improvement+0.6#154

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#59
First Shot+0.6#159
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#4
Layup/Dunks+1.0#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#217
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#216
Freethrows+1.3#82
Improvement+4.0#20

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#62
First Shot+2.7#85
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#36
Layups/Dunks-0.2#186
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#218
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#25
Freethrows-0.6#232
Improvement-3.4#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.6% n/a n/a
First Round1.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 5
Quad 23 - 55 - 10
Quad 37 - 112 - 11
Quad 47 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 206   Sacred Heart W 89-67 90%     1 - 0 +16.7 +0.3 +13.3
  Nov 13, 2019 257   Saint Joseph's L 87-96 94%     1 - 1 -17.6 -6.8 -9.3
  Nov 17, 2019 32   Florida W 62-59 49%     2 - 1 +12.2 -3.9 +16.3
  Nov 21, 2019 141   Buffalo W 79-68 75%     3 - 1 +12.7 +1.7 +10.3
  Nov 22, 2019 41   Xavier L 74-75 2OT 44%     3 - 2 +9.3 -3.3 +12.8
  Nov 24, 2019 92   Miami (FL) W 80-55 63%     4 - 2 +30.5 +21.9 +12.5
  Dec 01, 2019 320   Maine W 64-40 97%     5 - 2 +11.6 -10.7 +23.2
  Dec 04, 2019 223   Iona W 80-62 92%     6 - 2 +11.4 +2.7 +8.7
  Dec 10, 2019 34   Indiana L 54-57 40%     6 - 3 +8.5 -9.8 +18.2
  Dec 18, 2019 195   St. Peter's W 66-56 89%     7 - 3 +5.2 -3.8 +9.2
  Dec 22, 2019 249   New Hampshire W 88-62 94%     8 - 3 +17.7 +14.3 +3.6
  Dec 29, 2019 288   NJIT W 69-47 95%     9 - 3 +11.7 -0.7 +14.5
  Jan 01, 2020 44   @ Cincinnati L 51-67 34%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -2.9 -13.3 +9.9
  Jan 04, 2020 115   @ South Florida L 60-75 57%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -8.1 -7.0 -0.9
  Jan 08, 2020 179   Tulane W 67-61 88%     10 - 5 1 - 2 +2.4 +4.4 -0.9
  Jan 12, 2020 39   Wichita St. L 86-89 2OT 55%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +4.6 +0.7 +4.6
  Jan 18, 2020 13   @ Villanova L 55-61 21%     10 - 7 +11.4 -0.1 +10.5
  Jan 23, 2020 19   @ Houston L 59-63 23%     10 - 8 1 - 4 +12.7 -8.1 +21.0
  Jan 26, 2020 75   Tulsa L 75-79 OT 69%     10 - 9 1 - 5 -0.1 +2.8 -2.7
  Jan 29, 2020 107   Temple W 78-63 76%     11 - 9 2 - 5 +16.4 +8.8 +7.6
  Feb 01, 2020 57   @ Memphis L 63-70 39%     11 - 10 2 - 6 +4.6 -4.7 +10.0
  Feb 06, 2020 75   @ Tulsa W 72-56 46%     12 - 10 3 - 6 +25.9 +13.7 +13.7
  Feb 09, 2020 44   Cincinnati W 72-71 OT 57%     13 - 10 4 - 6 +8.1 +1.4 +6.7
  Feb 12, 2020 86   @ SMU L 75-79 49%     13 - 11 4 - 7 +5.2 +12.1 -7.5
  Feb 16, 2020 57   Memphis W 64-61 62%     14 - 11 5 - 7 +8.6 -0.8 +9.4
  Feb 20, 2020 107   @ Temple L 89-93 2OT 55%     14 - 12 5 - 8 +3.5 -1.8 +6.4
  Feb 23, 2020 115   South Florida W 78-71 78%     15 - 12 6 - 8 +7.9 +15.5 -7.0
  Feb 26, 2020 117   Central Florida W 81-65 78%     16 - 12 7 - 8 +16.8 +6.2 +9.9
  Feb 29, 2020 202   @ East Carolina W 84-63 78%     17 - 12 8 - 8 +21.9 +18.1 +5.3
  Mar 05, 2020 19   Houston W 77-71 43%     18 - 12 9 - 8 +16.7 +9.0 +7.6
  Mar 08, 2020 179   @ Tulane W 80-76 73%     19 - 12 10 - 8 +6.4 +8.6 -2.1
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 2.6% 2.6% 11.7 0.8 1.8 0.0 97.4 2.6%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.6% 0.0% 2.6% 11.7 0.8 1.8 0.0 97.4 2.6%