Villanova
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.4#13
Expected Predictive Rating+16.9#8
Pace64.9#280
Improvement+1.6#116

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#16
First Shot+6.2#24
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#53
Layup/Dunks+1.2#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#11
Freethrows-0.4#212
Improvement-2.8#302

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#30
First Shot+3.8#65
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#3
Layups/Dunks-3.8#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#21
Freethrows+3.3#17
Improvement+4.3#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 8.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 54.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round86.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen52.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight26.6% n/a n/a
Final Four12.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.3% n/a n/a
National Champion2.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 64 - 6
Quad 1b5 - 09 - 6
Quad 27 - 116 - 7
Quad 35 - 021 - 7
Quad 43 - 024 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 258   Army W 97-54 97%     1 - 0 +34.2 +7.6 +21.4
  Nov 13, 2019 9   @ Ohio St. L 51-76 35%     1 - 1 -6.7 -8.6 -0.5
  Nov 16, 2019 158   Ohio W 78-54 93%     2 - 1 +21.6 +4.7 +17.3
  Nov 21, 2019 281   Middle Tennessee W 98-69 96%     3 - 1 +22.3 +16.4 +4.4
  Nov 22, 2019 47   Mississippi St. W 83-76 67%     4 - 1 +16.7 +16.1 +1.0
  Nov 24, 2019 5   Baylor L 78-87 39%     4 - 2 +8.3 +24.3 -17.2
  Dec 01, 2019 180   La Salle W 83-72 94%     5 - 2 +7.3 +3.6 +2.8
  Dec 04, 2019 136   Penn W 80-69 92%     6 - 2 +10.1 +5.9 +4.0
  Dec 07, 2019 257   @ Saint Joseph's W 78-66 93%     7 - 2 +9.4 +7.2 +3.1
  Dec 14, 2019 184   Delaware W 78-70 92%     8 - 2 +7.2 +4.1 +3.3
  Dec 21, 2019 1   Kansas W 56-55 38%     9 - 2 +18.7 -0.2 +19.0
  Dec 30, 2019 41   Xavier W 68-62 75%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +13.3 +2.2 +11.3
  Jan 04, 2020 29   @ Marquette L 60-71 46%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +4.5 -9.2 +14.1
  Jan 07, 2020 8   @ Creighton W 64-59 35%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +23.4 +2.7 +21.2
  Jan 11, 2020 66   Georgetown W 80-66 81%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +18.9 +13.5 +6.4
  Jan 14, 2020 91   DePaul W 79-75 OT 86%     13 - 3 4 - 1 +6.6 +6.8 -0.4
  Jan 18, 2020 55   Connecticut W 61-55 79%     14 - 3 +11.9 +1.9 +11.0
  Jan 21, 2020 27   Butler W 76-61 68%     15 - 3 5 - 1 +24.6 +12.4 +13.3
  Jan 25, 2020 35   @ Providence W 64-60 50%     16 - 3 6 - 1 +18.4 +2.1 +16.4
  Jan 28, 2020 63   @ St. John's W 79-59 62%     17 - 3 7 - 1 +31.3 +13.7 +17.6
  Feb 01, 2020 8   Creighton L 61-76 58%     17 - 4 7 - 2 -2.7 -7.8 +4.8
  Feb 05, 2020 27   @ Butler L 76-79 45%     17 - 5 7 - 3 +12.7 +21.2 -8.9
  Feb 08, 2020 16   Seton Hall L 64-70 63%     17 - 6 7 - 4 +5.0 -1.6 +6.5
  Feb 12, 2020 29   Marquette W 72-71 68%     18 - 6 8 - 4 +10.5 +3.0 +7.6
  Feb 16, 2020 107   @ Temple W 76-56 75%     19 - 6 +27.5 +14.0 +14.5
  Feb 19, 2020 91   @ DePaul W 91-71 71%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +28.6 +22.6 +5.6
  Feb 22, 2020 41   @ Xavier W 64-55 54%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +22.4 +1.3 +21.3
  Feb 26, 2020 63   St. John's W 71-60 81%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +16.2 +4.8 +11.8
  Feb 29, 2020 35   Providence L 54-58 72%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +4.4 -11.5 +15.7
  Mar 04, 2020 16   @ Seton Hall W 79-77 40%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +19.1 +18.8 +0.4
  Mar 07, 2020 66   @ Georgetown W 70-69 63%     24 - 7 13 - 5 +12.0 +4.1 +7.9
Projected Record 24 - 7 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.4 8.3 46.0 38.6 7.1 0.1 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.4 8.3 46.0 38.6 7.1 0.1 100.0%