Providence
Big East
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#35
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#42
Pace69.4#164
Improvement+9.0#2

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#60
First Shot+0.9#150
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#6
Layup/Dunks+0.3#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
Freethrows+1.7#61
Improvement+5.2#6

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#24
First Shot+5.7#30
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#64
Layups/Dunks+2.2#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#32
Freethrows-1.2#267
Improvement+3.8#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 23.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.9% n/a n/a
Second Round53.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen19.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.6% n/a n/a
Final Four2.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 35 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 57 - 8
Quad 25 - 012 - 8
Quad 32 - 314 - 11
Quad 45 - 119 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 206   Sacred Heart W 106-60 93%     1 - 0 +40.7 +23.0 +14.8
  Nov 09, 2019 288   NJIT W 76-47 97%     2 - 0 +18.7 -2.6 +20.4
  Nov 13, 2019 118   @ Northwestern L 63-72 68%     2 - 1 -2.4 -7.6 +5.2
  Nov 16, 2019 195   St. Peter's W 68-47 93%     3 - 1 +16.2 -2.9 +19.2
  Nov 19, 2019 233   Merrimack W 93-56 95%     4 - 1 +30.0 +17.4 +11.1
  Nov 23, 2019 136   Penn L 75-81 87%     4 - 2 -6.9 -3.8 -2.7
  Nov 28, 2019 306   Long Beach St. L 65-66 95%     4 - 3 -9.1 -13.2 +4.2
  Nov 29, 2019 163   College of Charleston L 55-63 85%     4 - 4 -7.6 -14.5 +6.2
  Dec 01, 2019 135   Pepperdine W 80-77 81%     5 - 4 +5.2 +4.7 +0.5
  Dec 06, 2019 70   @ Rhode Island L 61-75 54%     5 - 5 -3.6 -12.4 +10.5
  Dec 14, 2019 196   Stony Brook W 82-78 93%     6 - 5 -0.9 +3.7 -4.8
  Dec 17, 2019 32   Florida L 51-83 47%     6 - 6 -19.8 -15.9 -4.4
  Dec 21, 2019 62   Texas W 70-48 72%     7 - 6 +27.3 +2.2 +24.9
  Dec 31, 2019 66   Georgetown W 76-60 73%     8 - 6 1 - 0 +20.9 +4.8 +16.4
  Jan 04, 2020 91   @ DePaul W 66-65 61%     9 - 6 2 - 0 +9.6 +3.3 +6.4
  Jan 07, 2020 29   @ Marquette W 81-80 OT 34%     10 - 6 3 - 0 +16.5 +7.8 +8.7
  Jan 10, 2020 27   Butler L 58-70 57%     10 - 7 3 - 1 -2.4 -5.6 +2.1
  Jan 15, 2020 63   St. John's W 63-58 72%     11 - 7 4 - 1 +10.2 -6.1 +16.3
  Jan 18, 2020 8   @ Creighton L 74-78 25%     11 - 8 4 - 2 +14.4 +14.8 -0.8
  Jan 22, 2020 16   @ Seton Hall L 64-73 29%     11 - 9 4 - 3 +8.1 +5.7 +1.5
  Jan 25, 2020 13   Villanova L 60-64 50%     11 - 10 4 - 4 +7.4 -5.5 +12.8
  Feb 01, 2020 27   @ Butler W 65-61 34%     12 - 10 5 - 4 +19.7 +5.3 +14.8
  Feb 05, 2020 8   Creighton W 73-56 46%     13 - 10 6 - 4 +29.3 +10.9 +20.3
  Feb 08, 2020 41   @ Xavier L 58-64 42%     13 - 11 6 - 5 +7.4 -2.3 +9.3
  Feb 12, 2020 63   @ St. John's L 69-80 51%     13 - 12 6 - 6 +0.3 -2.9 +4.1
  Feb 15, 2020 16   Seton Hall W 74-71 51%     14 - 12 7 - 6 +14.0 +5.1 +8.9
  Feb 19, 2020 66   @ Georgetown W 73-63 52%     15 - 12 8 - 6 +21.0 +8.2 +13.4
  Feb 22, 2020 29   Marquette W 84-72 57%     16 - 12 9 - 6 +21.5 +11.9 +9.4
  Feb 29, 2020 13   @ Villanova W 58-54 28%     17 - 12 10 - 6 +21.4 -4.8 +26.4
  Mar 04, 2020 41   Xavier W 80-74 65%     18 - 12 11 - 6 +13.3 +15.8 -2.3
  Mar 07, 2020 91   DePaul W 93-55 80%     19 - 12 12 - 6 +40.6 +20.5 +18.9
Projected Record 19 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 98.9% 98.9% 7.0 0.0 1.9 21.2 52.4 21.7 1.7 0.0 1.1 98.9%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 98.9% 0.0% 98.9% 7.0 0.0 1.9 21.2 52.4 21.7 1.7 0.0 1.1 98.9%