Duke
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.7#3
Expected Predictive Rating+15.6#11
Pace76.6#36
Improvement-6.9#352

Offense
Total Offense+9.4#9
First Shot+7.4#12
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#37
Layup/Dunks+6.2#9
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#218
Freethrows+1.9#45
Improvement-2.2#281

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#8
First Shot+7.9#8
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#138
Layups/Dunks-3.2#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#2
Freethrows+2.3#35
Improvement-4.6#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 12.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 49.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round92.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen67.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight42.8% n/a n/a
Final Four25.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game14.6% n/a n/a
National Champion8.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 13 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 25 - 3
Quad 26 - 211 - 5
Quad 312 - 123 - 6
Quad 42 - 025 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 1   Kansas W 68-66 38%     1 - 0 +22.7 -2.1 +24.6
  Nov 08, 2019 101   Colorado St. W 89-55 92%     2 - 0 +35.9 +7.4 +25.7
  Nov 12, 2019 296   Central Arkansas W 105-54 99%     3 - 0 +40.2 +12.8 +20.7
  Nov 15, 2019 131   Georgia St. W 74-63 95%     4 - 0 +10.4 -3.8 +13.6
  Nov 21, 2019 144   California W 87-52 93%     5 - 0 +36.5 +21.6 +17.2
  Nov 22, 2019 66   Georgetown W 81-73 82%     6 - 0 +15.9 -0.6 +15.5
  Nov 26, 2019 113   Stephen F. Austin L 83-85 OT 93%     6 - 1 -1.0 -1.9 +1.3
  Nov 29, 2019 140   Winthrop W 83-70 95%     7 - 1 +11.7 +3.4 +7.5
  Dec 03, 2019 4   @ Michigan St. W 87-75 39%     8 - 1 +32.6 +17.3 +14.4
  Dec 06, 2019 100   @ Virginia Tech W 77-63 82%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +22.1 +13.6 +9.2
  Dec 19, 2019 148   Wofford W 86-57 95%     10 - 1 +27.3 +25.8 +6.3
  Dec 28, 2019 210   Brown W 75-50 97%     11 - 1 +19.4 +4.1 +16.0
  Dec 31, 2019 159   Boston College W 88-49 96%     12 - 1 2 - 0 +36.6 +11.4 +23.2
  Jan 04, 2020 92   @ Miami (FL) W 95-62 81%     13 - 1 3 - 0 +41.5 +21.0 +18.9
  Jan 08, 2020 58   @ Georgia Tech W 73-64 72%     14 - 1 4 - 0 +20.6 +7.5 +12.9
  Jan 11, 2020 94   Wake Forest W 90-59 92%     15 - 1 5 - 0 +33.3 +18.5 +15.6
  Jan 14, 2020 67   @ Clemson L 72-79 75%     15 - 2 5 - 1 +3.7 +3.7 +0.3
  Jan 18, 2020 11   Louisville L 73-79 71%     15 - 3 5 - 2 +5.8 -1.9 +8.3
  Jan 21, 2020 92   Miami (FL) W 89-59 92%     16 - 3 6 - 2 +32.4 +14.9 +16.9
  Jan 28, 2020 104   Pittsburgh W 79-67 92%     17 - 3 7 - 2 +13.6 +14.9 -0.2
  Feb 01, 2020 46   @ Syracuse W 97-88 68%     18 - 3 8 - 2 +22.0 +19.7 +1.5
  Feb 04, 2020 159   @ Boston College W 63-55 90%     19 - 3 9 - 2 +11.6 -6.7 +18.2
  Feb 08, 2020 68   @ North Carolina W 98-96 OT 75%     20 - 3 10 - 2 +12.7 +5.5 +6.7
  Feb 10, 2020 12   Florida St. W 70-65 72%     21 - 3 11 - 2 +16.5 +2.6 +13.8
  Feb 15, 2020 51   Notre Dame W 94-60 86%     22 - 3 12 - 2 +40.3 +15.6 +22.2
  Feb 19, 2020 45   @ North Carolina St. L 66-88 68%     22 - 4 12 - 3 -9.0 -6.8 -0.4
  Feb 22, 2020 100   Virginia Tech W 88-64 92%     23 - 4 13 - 3 +26.0 +14.2 +10.9
  Feb 25, 2020 94   @ Wake Forest L 101-113 2OT 81%     23 - 5 13 - 4 -3.7 +3.2 -3.7
  Feb 29, 2020 40   @ Virginia L 50-52 66%     23 - 6 13 - 5 +11.5 -3.7 +14.9
  Mar 02, 2020 45   North Carolina St. W 88-69 84%     24 - 6 14 - 5 +26.0 +15.8 +9.8
  Mar 07, 2020 68   North Carolina W 89-76 88%     25 - 6 15 - 5 +17.7 +17.0 +0.5
Projected Record 25 - 6 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.5 12.3 37.5 35.2 14.1 0.9 100.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.5 12.3 37.5 35.2 14.1 0.9 100.0%