Winthrop
Big South
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#140
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#156
Pace76.7#35
Improvement-0.6#203

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#135
First Shot+0.4#166
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#83
Layup/Dunks-3.6#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#68
Freethrows-1.2#264
Improvement+0.8#139

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#178
First Shot-2.0#250
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#22
Layups/Dunks+3.0#58
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#95
Freethrows-2.4#318
Improvement-1.4#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.4% n/a n/a
First Round97.0% n/a n/a
Second Round6.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 31 - 22 - 6
Quad 420 - 422 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2019 245   @ Hartford W 67-57 63%     1 - 0 +8.3 -1.9 +10.5
  Nov 10, 2019 152   @ Fresno St. L 74-77 41%     1 - 1 +1.0 +5.2 -4.4
  Nov 11, 2019 43   @ St. Mary's W 61-59 14%     2 - 1 +15.2 -6.8 +22.1
  Nov 14, 2019 65   @ East Tennessee St. L 58-61 19%     2 - 2 +8.1 -2.6 +10.4
  Nov 21, 2019 325   Tennessee Tech L 58-61 92%     2 - 3 -16.9 -19.8 +2.9
  Nov 29, 2019 3   @ Duke L 70-83 5%     2 - 4 +7.7 +2.6 +6.0
  Dec 07, 2019 189   Coastal Carolina L 88-92 72%     2 - 5 -8.3 +2.4 -10.3
  Dec 11, 2019 76   @ TCU L 60-70 22%     2 - 6 -0.1 -8.3 +8.4
  Dec 14, 2019 83   @ Furman L 73-80 23%     2 - 7 +2.4 +2.4 +0.3
  Dec 17, 2019 330   SIU Edwardsville W 93-73 93%     3 - 7 +5.5 +9.9 -5.2
  Dec 21, 2019 270   Elon W 85-80 84%     4 - 7 -4.2 -2.6 -2.0
  Jan 02, 2020 315   Longwood W 91-67 90%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +11.8 +6.2 +3.3
  Jan 04, 2020 271   @ Campbell W 87-72 68%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +11.8 +12.3 -0.8
  Jan 08, 2020 338   @ High Point W 79-57 85%     7 - 7 3 - 0 +12.7 +0.4 +12.3
  Jan 11, 2020 216   Gardner-Webb W 99-95 3OT 77%     8 - 7 4 - 0 -1.9 -7.3 +4.3
  Jan 16, 2020 301   @ Hampton W 116-95 74%     9 - 7 5 - 0 +16.1 +15.7 -3.1
  Jan 20, 2020 186   @ Radford W 61-56 49%     10 - 7 6 - 0 +6.9 -6.7 +14.2
  Jan 23, 2020 323   South Carolina Upstate W 79-53 91%     11 - 7 7 - 0 +12.6 +5.1 +9.5
  Jan 25, 2020 328   Presbyterian W 72-57 92%     12 - 7 8 - 0 +0.8 -11.4 +11.9
  Jan 30, 2020 314   @ Charleston Southern W 77-60 77%     13 - 7 9 - 0 +10.9 +3.9 +7.6
  Feb 01, 2020 308   UNC Asheville W 104-71 88%     14 - 7 10 - 0 +21.8 +20.4 +0.2
  Feb 06, 2020 271   Campbell W 62-53 85%     15 - 7 11 - 0 -0.3 -11.2 +11.4
  Feb 08, 2020 315   @ Longwood W 70-68 77%     16 - 7 12 - 0 -4.1 -2.2 -1.9
  Feb 10, 2020 186   Radford L 77-81 71%     16 - 8 12 - 1 -8.1 -2.4 -5.7
  Feb 13, 2020 216   @ Gardner-Webb L 70-74 56%     16 - 9 12 - 2 -3.8 -3.8 -0.1
  Feb 15, 2020 328   @ Presbyterian W 89-88 82%     17 - 9 13 - 2 -7.2 +4.0 -11.2
  Feb 22, 2020 301   Hampton L 81-87 88%     17 - 10 13 - 3 -16.9 -8.7 -7.9
  Feb 27, 2020 323   @ South Carolina Upstate W 90-82 80%     18 - 10 14 - 3 +0.7 +7.7 -7.5
  Feb 29, 2020 338   High Point W 84-76 93%     19 - 10 15 - 3 -7.4 -0.6 -7.0
  Mar 05, 2020 323   South Carolina Upstate W 106-70 87%     20 - 10 +25.6 +16.1 +5.7
  Mar 06, 2020 216   Gardner-Webb W 78-66 67%     21 - 10 +9.1 +1.3 +7.7
  Mar 08, 2020 301   Hampton W 76-68 88%     22 - 10 -2.9 -11.0 +7.8
Projected Record 22 - 10 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.4 0.2 5.6 50.7 43.5
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.2 5.6 50.7 43.5