Furman
Southern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#83
Expected Predictive Rating+7.8#67
Pace68.6#188
Improvement-3.8#312

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#88
First Shot+4.2#52
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#251
Layup/Dunks+0.0#169
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#213
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#27
Freethrows-0.4#213
Improvement-2.4#289

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#83
First Shot+1.2#123
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#25
Layups/Dunks-1.1#222
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#236
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#85
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement-1.4#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 23 - 13 - 4
Quad 39 - 312 - 7
Quad 410 - 022 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 216   @ Gardner-Webb W 70-63 72%     1 - 0 +7.2 -1.2 +8.7
  Nov 08, 2019 106   Loyola Chicago W 87-63 68%     2 - 0 +25.5 +16.1 +9.2
  Nov 12, 2019 314   @ Charleston Southern W 91-47 87%     3 - 0 +37.9 +17.6 +21.6
  Nov 19, 2019 54   @ Alabama L 73-81 30%     3 - 1 +3.9 -5.0 +9.9
  Nov 26, 2019 270   @ Elon W 97-61 81%     4 - 1 +32.9 +14.6 +16.2
  Nov 27, 2019 137   Texas Arlington W 58-57 66%     5 - 1 +3.1 -8.2 +11.4
  Dec 02, 2019 115   @ South Florida L 55-65 48%     5 - 2 -3.1 -8.1 +4.5
  Dec 05, 2019 33   @ Auburn L 78-81 OT 22%     5 - 3 +11.5 +2.8 +9.1
  Dec 08, 2019 323   South Carolina Upstate W 84-72 96%     6 - 3 -1.4 +6.6 -7.6
  Dec 14, 2019 140   Winthrop W 80-73 77%     7 - 3 +5.7 +3.0 +2.5
  Dec 20, 2019 187   @ Mercer W 64-62 67%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +3.8 -1.3 +5.3
  Jan 01, 2020 252   @ VMI W 89-73 79%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +13.7 +11.9 +1.4
  Jan 04, 2020 65   East Tennessee St. W 65-56 55%     10 - 3 3 - 0 +14.1 -1.1 +15.7
  Jan 08, 2020 143   @ Chattanooga W 73-66 57%     11 - 3 4 - 0 +11.5 +6.5 +5.6
  Jan 11, 2020 96   UNC Greensboro L 73-86 65%     11 - 4 4 - 1 -10.7 +2.5 -13.1
  Jan 15, 2020 155   Western Carolina W 83-79 79%     12 - 4 5 - 1 +1.9 +5.1 -3.3
  Jan 17, 2020 148   @ Wofford L 52-66 58%     12 - 5 5 - 2 -9.7 -16.1 +5.5
  Jan 22, 2020 321   Samford W 101-78 95%     13 - 5 6 - 2 +10.0 +11.0 -2.9
  Jan 25, 2020 335   @ The Citadel W 78-54 92%     14 - 5 7 - 2 +14.9 -6.4 +19.3
  Jan 29, 2020 252   VMI W 74-72 OT 91%     15 - 5 8 - 2 -6.3 -10.1 +3.6
  Feb 05, 2020 187   Mercer W 79-57 84%     16 - 5 9 - 2 +17.8 +10.1 +9.2
  Feb 08, 2020 155   @ Western Carolina W 82-73 59%     17 - 5 10 - 2 +12.9 +10.8 +2.4
  Feb 12, 2020 321   @ Samford W 86-71 89%     18 - 5 11 - 2 +8.1 +4.1 +3.4
  Feb 15, 2020 143   Chattanooga W 58-53 77%     19 - 5 12 - 2 +3.5 -14.3 +18.1
  Feb 19, 2020 65   @ East Tennessee St. L 66-75 32%     19 - 6 12 - 3 +2.1 +3.3 -1.7
  Feb 22, 2020 148   Wofford W 67-66 78%     20 - 6 13 - 3 -0.7 -1.2 +0.6
  Feb 26, 2020 96   @ UNC Greensboro W 81-67 42%     21 - 6 14 - 3 +22.3 +14.6 +7.7
  Feb 29, 2020 335   The Citadel W 82-58 97%     22 - 6 15 - 3 +8.9 +2.2 +7.0
  Mar 07, 2020 148   Wofford L 68-77 69%     22 - 7 -7.7 -6.5 -1.1
Projected Record 22 - 7 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 99.6 0.4%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4% 11.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 99.6 0.4%