Illinois
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.3#31
Expected Predictive Rating+13.9#22
Pace65.2#274
Improvement+1.8#107

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#36
First Shot+4.4#49
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#41
Layup/Dunks+4.0#39
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#306
Freethrows+2.1#36
Improvement+1.8#100

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#37
First Shot+3.9#64
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#20
Layups/Dunks+5.0#21
2 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#87
Freethrows+3.3#19
Improvement-0.1#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 24.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round97.6% n/a n/a
Second Round56.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen22.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.5% n/a n/a
Final Four3.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 74 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 15 - 8
Quad 25 - 110 - 9
Quad 31 - 111 - 10
Quad 49 - 020 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 209   Nicholls St. W 78-70 OT 94%     1 - 0 +2.4 -5.4 +6.9
  Nov 08, 2019 250   @ Grand Canyon W 83-71 91%     2 - 0 +9.7 +0.6 +8.5
  Nov 10, 2019 18   @ Arizona L 69-90 34%     2 - 1 -4.3 -0.8 -1.6
  Nov 18, 2019 214   Hawaii W 66-53 94%     3 - 1 +7.3 -7.1 +14.4
  Nov 20, 2019 335   The Citadel W 85-57 99%     4 - 1 +12.9 +5.8 +7.6
  Nov 23, 2019 301   Hampton W 120-71 97%     5 - 1 +38.1 +23.2 +9.7
  Dec 02, 2019 92   Miami (FL) L 79-81 82%     5 - 2 +0.4 +10.1 -9.7
  Dec 07, 2019 10   @ Maryland L 58-59 29%     5 - 3 0 - 1 +17.0 -3.1 +20.0
  Dec 11, 2019 15   Michigan W 71-62 54%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +20.2 +5.8 +14.7
  Dec 14, 2019 168   Old Dominion W 69-55 91%     7 - 3 +11.2 -1.6 +12.9
  Dec 21, 2019 87   Missouri L 56-63 73%     7 - 4 -0.9 -9.8 +8.6
  Dec 29, 2019 284   N.C. A&T W 95-64 97%     8 - 4 +21.1 +18.6 +2.0
  Jan 02, 2020 4   @ Michigan St. L 56-76 22%     8 - 5 1 - 2 +0.6 -7.4 +8.0
  Jan 05, 2020 24   Purdue W 63-37 59%     9 - 5 2 - 2 +36.0 +4.5 +34.8
  Jan 08, 2020 21   @ Wisconsin W 71-70 34%     10 - 5 3 - 2 +17.7 +15.8 +2.0
  Jan 11, 2020 30   Rutgers W 54-51 61%     11 - 5 4 - 2 +12.5 -6.8 +19.6
  Jan 18, 2020 118   Northwestern W 75-71 86%     12 - 5 5 - 2 +4.5 +12.5 -7.4
  Jan 21, 2020 24   @ Purdue W 79-62 36%     13 - 5 6 - 2 +33.1 +26.6 +8.9
  Jan 25, 2020 15   @ Michigan W 64-62 32%     14 - 5 7 - 2 +19.3 +6.7 +12.8
  Jan 30, 2020 28   Minnesota W 59-51 61%     15 - 5 8 - 2 +17.5 -7.6 +25.4
  Feb 02, 2020 25   @ Iowa L 65-72 36%     15 - 6 8 - 3 +9.0 +3.9 +4.3
  Feb 07, 2020 10   Maryland L 66-75 51%     15 - 7 8 - 4 +3.0 -1.5 +4.5
  Feb 11, 2020 4   Michigan St. L 69-70 42%     15 - 8 8 - 5 +13.5 +1.1 +12.4
  Feb 15, 2020 30   @ Rutgers L 57-72 38%     15 - 9 8 - 6 +0.5 +1.0 -2.3
  Feb 18, 2020 26   @ Penn St. W 62-56 37%     16 - 9 9 - 6 +21.8 +3.7 +18.7
  Feb 24, 2020 156   Nebraska W 71-59 91%     17 - 9 10 - 6 +9.6 -1.4 +11.2
  Feb 27, 2020 118   @ Northwestern W 74-66 71%     18 - 9 11 - 6 +14.6 +13.8 +1.8
  Mar 01, 2020 34   Indiana W 67-66 65%     19 - 9 12 - 6 +9.5 +7.2 +2.4
  Mar 05, 2020 9   @ Ohio St. L 63-71 28%     19 - 10 12 - 7 +10.3 +3.5 +6.2
  Mar 08, 2020 25   Iowa W 78-76 59%     20 - 10 13 - 7 +11.9 +15.4 -3.3
Projected Record 20 - 10 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 97.6% 97.6% 7.1 0.1 3.8 20.5 41.3 24.7 6.4 0.7 0.0 2.4 97.6%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 97.6% 0.0% 97.6% 7.1 0.1 3.8 20.5 41.3 24.7 6.4 0.7 0.0 2.4 97.6%