Wisconsin
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.6#21
Expected Predictive Rating+14.5#18
Pace60.4#340
Improvement+4.7#29

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#38
First Shot+7.0#15
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#244
Layup/Dunks-0.7#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#17
Freethrows+0.8#113
Improvement+4.1#15

Defense
Total Defense+7.6#16
First Shot+6.5#18
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#77
Layups/Dunks+1.5#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#67
Freethrows+3.5#10
Improvement+0.6#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 48.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round77.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen43.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight17.0% n/a n/a
Final Four7.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game3.3% n/a n/a
National Champion1.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 44 - 4
Quad 1b5 - 49 - 8
Quad 24 - 113 - 9
Quad 31 - 114 - 10
Quad 47 - 021 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 43   St. Mary's L 63-65 OT 63%     0 - 1 +8.2 -6.0 +14.2
  Nov 08, 2019 238   Eastern Illinois W 65-52 96%     1 - 1 +5.7 -7.1 +13.6
  Nov 13, 2019 289   McNeese St. W 83-63 98%     2 - 1 +9.6 +6.9 +4.0
  Nov 17, 2019 29   Marquette W 77-61 66%     3 - 1 +25.5 +8.0 +17.7
  Nov 21, 2019 218   Green Bay W 88-70 96%     4 - 1 +12.0 +6.5 +5.1
  Nov 25, 2019 52   Richmond L 52-62 67%     4 - 2 -0.9 -11.5 +9.8
  Nov 26, 2019 139   New Mexico L 50-59 86%     4 - 3 -7.1 -16.7 +8.5
  Dec 04, 2019 45   @ North Carolina St. L 54-69 52%     4 - 4 -2.0 -2.8 -2.2
  Dec 07, 2019 34   Indiana W 84-64 69%     5 - 4 1 - 0 +28.5 +26.9 +3.9
  Dec 11, 2019 30   @ Rutgers L 65-72 43%     5 - 5 1 - 1 +8.5 +5.6 +2.5
  Dec 21, 2019 272   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-64 97%     6 - 5 +9.7 +11.8 -1.0
  Dec 28, 2019 61   @ Tennessee W 68-48 59%     7 - 5 +31.3 +8.8 +24.7
  Dec 31, 2019 190   Rider W 65-37 94%     8 - 5 +23.7 -7.4 +31.9
  Jan 03, 2020 9   @ Ohio St. W 61-57 33%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +22.3 +5.3 +17.6
  Jan 08, 2020 31   Illinois L 70-71 66%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +8.3 +10.0 -1.8
  Jan 11, 2020 26   @ Penn St. W 58-49 42%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +24.8 +1.1 +24.9
  Jan 14, 2020 10   Maryland W 56-54 57%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +14.0 +2.1 +12.3
  Jan 17, 2020 4   @ Michigan St. L 55-67 25%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +8.6 -3.5 +11.0
  Jan 21, 2020 156   Nebraska W 82-68 92%     12 - 7 5 - 3 +11.6 +10.6 +1.4
  Jan 24, 2020 24   @ Purdue L 51-70 41%     12 - 8 5 - 4 -2.9 -2.9 -3.6
  Jan 27, 2020 25   @ Iowa L 62-68 41%     12 - 9 5 - 5 +10.0 -7.0 +16.9
  Feb 01, 2020 4   Michigan St. W 64-63 47%     13 - 9 6 - 5 +15.5 -0.3 +15.9
  Feb 05, 2020 28   @ Minnesota L 52-70 43%     13 - 10 6 - 6 -2.4 -8.7 +4.6
  Feb 09, 2020 9   Ohio St. W 70-57 55%     14 - 10 7 - 6 +25.3 +13.5 +13.8
  Feb 15, 2020 156   @ Nebraska W 81-64 83%     15 - 10 8 - 6 +20.7 +10.1 +10.4
  Feb 18, 2020 24   Purdue W 69-65 64%     16 - 10 9 - 6 +14.0 +14.0 +0.7
  Feb 23, 2020 30   Rutgers W 79-71 66%     17 - 10 10 - 6 +17.5 +15.3 +2.4
  Feb 27, 2020 15   @ Michigan W 81-74 36%     18 - 10 11 - 6 +24.3 +21.8 +3.0
  Mar 01, 2020 28   Minnesota W 71-69 65%     19 - 10 12 - 6 +11.5 +7.0 +4.6
  Mar 04, 2020 118   Northwestern W 63-48 89%     20 - 10 13 - 6 +15.5 -5.5 +22.1
  Mar 07, 2020 34   @ Indiana W 60-56 47%     21 - 10 14 - 6 +18.5 +4.7 +14.4
Projected Record 21 - 10 14 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.5 0.1 8.3 40.0 45.8 5.7 0.1
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 4.5 0.1 8.3 40.0 45.8 5.7 0.1