North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#283
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#285
Pace71.9#95
Improvement+0.3#169

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#289
First Shot-3.6#283
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#238
Layup/Dunks-3.0#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#206
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#245
Freethrows+1.7#57
Improvement+2.8#51

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#253
First Shot-3.3#285
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#90
Layups/Dunks-1.7#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#190
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#119
Freethrows-2.8#325
Improvement-2.5#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 20 - 9
Quad 411 - 811 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 64   @ South Carolina L 55-77 6%     0 - 1 -10.9 -17.5 +9.4
  Nov 12, 2019 34   @ Indiana L 65-91 3%     0 - 2 -11.5 -2.0 -8.5
  Nov 16, 2019 321   Samford W 61-55 72%     1 - 2 -7.0 -17.5 +10.8
  Nov 19, 2019 129   @ South Dakota St. L 73-78 12%     1 - 3 +0.7 +0.0 +0.6
  Nov 22, 2019 88   @ Louisiana Tech L 61-82 8%     1 - 4 -12.0 -3.9 -9.5
  Nov 27, 2019 352   Mississippi Valley W 73-50 94%     2 - 4 -1.6 -17.1 +14.3
  Nov 30, 2019 316   Morehead St. W 67-57 70%     3 - 4 -2.2 -9.1 +7.3
  Dec 04, 2019 292   @ Troy L 63-71 41%     3 - 5 -12.5 -12.9 +0.7
  Dec 17, 2019 176   @ UAB L 56-63 19%     3 - 6 -4.5 -9.2 +4.0
  Dec 20, 2019 344   @ Alabama A&M L 80-92 70%     3 - 7 -24.3 +1.5 -25.4
  Dec 28, 2019 12   @ Florida St. L 71-88 2%     3 - 8 +0.6 +5.4 -4.3
  Jan 02, 2020 246   Jacksonville W 62-57 54%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -2.8 -17.2 +14.1
  Jan 04, 2020 164   North Florida L 65-81 34%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -18.6 -15.4 -3.2
  Jan 09, 2020 95   @ Liberty L 52-63 9%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -2.7 -10.5 +6.6
  Jan 11, 2020 236   @ Lipscomb W 82-69 29%     5 - 10 2 - 2 +11.8 +7.4 +4.4
  Jan 16, 2020 285   Stetson L 49-54 62%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -14.9 -26.6 +11.4
  Jan 18, 2020 298   Florida Gulf Coast W 70-65 65%     6 - 11 3 - 3 -5.8 -5.2 -0.7
  Jan 23, 2020 351   @ Kennesaw St. W 78-58 81%     7 - 11 4 - 3 +3.9 -7.7 +9.6
  Jan 30, 2020 288   @ NJIT W 78-74 40%     8 - 11 5 - 3 -0.3 +3.4 -3.7
  Feb 01, 2020 246   @ Jacksonville L 83-85 31%     8 - 12 5 - 4 -3.8 +4.1 -7.7
  Feb 06, 2020 236   Lipscomb L 71-73 52%     8 - 13 5 - 5 -9.3 -11.3 +2.2
  Feb 08, 2020 95   Liberty L 56-74 19%     8 - 14 5 - 6 -15.7 -13.4 -2.9
  Feb 13, 2020 285   @ Stetson L 64-75 39%     8 - 15 5 - 7 -14.9 -11.2 -3.7
  Feb 15, 2020 164   @ North Florida L 67-80 17%     8 - 16 5 - 8 -9.6 -9.2 -0.6
  Feb 20, 2020 351   Kennesaw St. W 65-46 92%     9 - 16 6 - 8 -3.1 -7.8 +7.0
  Feb 27, 2020 288   NJIT W 72-65 63%     10 - 16 7 - 8 -3.3 +0.5 -3.4
  Feb 29, 2020 298   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 78-73 OT 42%     11 - 16 8 - 8 +0.2 +2.8 -2.8
  Mar 03, 2020 285   @ Stetson L 72-82 39%     11 - 17 -13.9 +2.9 -17.6
Projected Record 11 - 17 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%