Oregon St.
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#82
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#80
Pace64.3#294
Improvement-2.4#273

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#40
First Shot+5.6#31
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#148
Layup/Dunks+5.2#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#278
Freethrows+4.0#4
Improvement-2.2#279

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#156
First Shot+1.6#114
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#270
Layups/Dunks+0.8#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#213
Freethrows+1.5#75
Improvement-0.2#182
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 24 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 44 - 6
Quad 22 - 66 - 12
Quad 33 - 19 - 13
Quad 49 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 240   Cal St. Northridge W 87-67 89%     1 - 0 +12.7 +3.7 +8.7
  Nov 09, 2019 81   Iowa St. W 80-74 61%     2 - 0 +9.5 +7.2 +2.3
  Nov 12, 2019 37   Oklahoma L 69-77 32%     2 - 1 +3.1 +5.8 -3.0
  Nov 16, 2019 227   @ Wyoming W 83-63 76%     3 - 1 +19.2 +9.6 +8.8
  Nov 20, 2019 174   UC Santa Barbara W 78-67 82%     4 - 1 +7.6 +2.2 +5.5
  Nov 23, 2019 313   Grambling St. W 80-58 95%     5 - 1 +10.0 +4.1 +6.0
  Nov 27, 2019 299   San Jose St. W 83-48 90%     6 - 1 +27.2 +7.2 +20.4
  Dec 01, 2019 185   Portland St. W 81-76 84%     7 - 1 +1.0 +3.1 -2.1
  Dec 14, 2019 348   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-46 99%     8 - 1 +12.9 +6.9 +7.4
  Dec 18, 2019 207   Texas San Antonio W 88-78 80%     9 - 1 +7.6 +6.2 +0.8
  Dec 21, 2019 110   @ Texas A&M L 49-64 47%     9 - 2 -7.8 -17.6 +9.7
  Dec 29, 2019 241   North Dakota W 83-66 90%     10 - 2 +9.6 +4.0 +5.4
  Jan 02, 2020 105   @ Utah L 69-81 45%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -4.4 -1.1 -3.3
  Jan 05, 2020 38   @ Colorado W 76-68 24%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +21.9 +16.3 +6.2
  Jan 09, 2020 60   Arizona St. L 76-82 54%     11 - 4 1 - 2 -0.7 +2.9 -3.2
  Jan 12, 2020 18   Arizona W 82-65 34%     12 - 4 2 - 2 +27.7 +23.6 +5.8
  Jan 16, 2020 56   @ Washington L 56-64 30%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +3.8 +4.0 -2.1
  Jan 18, 2020 122   @ Washington St. L 76-89 51%     12 - 6 2 - 4 -6.8 +7.9 -14.6
  Jan 23, 2020 71   UCLA L 58-62 58%     12 - 7 2 - 5 +0.3 -4.0 +3.5
  Jan 25, 2020 53   USC L 55-75 51%     12 - 8 2 - 6 -13.9 -4.6 -11.8
  Jan 30, 2020 50   @ Stanford W 68-63 28%     13 - 8 3 - 6 +17.4 +7.9 +9.8
  Feb 01, 2020 144   @ California L 67-69 57%     13 - 9 3 - 7 +2.5 +6.4 -4.2
  Feb 08, 2020 20   Oregon W 63-53 34%     14 - 9 4 - 7 +20.6 +0.3 +21.6
  Feb 13, 2020 105   Utah W 70-51 68%     15 - 9 5 - 7 +20.6 +5.6 +17.3
  Feb 15, 2020 38   Colorado L 47-69 44%     15 - 10 5 - 8 -14.1 -16.3 -0.3
  Feb 20, 2020 18   @ Arizona L 63-89 17%     15 - 11 5 - 9 -9.3 -2.9 -5.4
  Feb 22, 2020 60   @ Arizona St. L 73-74 32%     15 - 12 5 - 10 +10.4 +13.5 -3.2
  Feb 27, 2020 20   @ Oregon L 54-69 17%     15 - 13 5 - 11 +1.7 +0.3 -2.4
  Mar 05, 2020 50   Stanford W 68-65 50%     16 - 13 6 - 11 +9.4 +5.4 +4.1
  Mar 07, 2020 144   California W 74-56 78%     17 - 13 7 - 11 +16.5 +5.9 +11.6
  Mar 11, 2020 105   Utah W 71-69 57%     18 - 13 +6.6 +9.8 -3.0
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%