Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#69
Expected Predictive Rating+9.3#56
Pace67.6#223
Improvement+0.8#150

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#118
First Shot-0.2#190
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#29
Layup/Dunks+3.2#55
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#304
Freethrows-0.3#207
Improvement-0.3#192

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#43
First Shot+5.4#37
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#174
Layups/Dunks+4.2#36
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#106
Freethrows-0.4#224
Improvement+1.1#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 14.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.4% n/a n/a
First Round6.2% n/a n/a
Second Round1.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 5
Quad 22 - 24 - 7
Quad 310 - 114 - 8
Quad 48 - 022 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 298   Florida Gulf Coast W 89-67 95%     1 - 0 +11.2 +19.2 -6.8
  Nov 09, 2019 146   Valparaiso W 81-70 81%     2 - 0 +9.4 +2.3 +6.5
  Nov 13, 2019 133   Eastern Washington W 82-60 79%     3 - 0 +21.3 +1.2 +18.3
  Nov 17, 2019 16   Seton Hall L 66-83 37%     3 - 1 -6.0 -4.2 -1.1
  Nov 20, 2019 338   High Point W 67-55 97%     4 - 1 -3.4 -10.2 +7.6
  Nov 23, 2019 108   Belmont W 60-55 72%     5 - 1 +6.4 -12.3 +18.7
  Nov 27, 2019 159   @ Boston College W 64-54 65%     6 - 1 +13.6 -8.0 +21.1
  Dec 01, 2019 173   Southern Illinois W 69-60 85%     7 - 1 +5.7 +2.4 +3.9
  Dec 08, 2019 179   Tulane W 86-62 78%     8 - 1 +23.4 +20.4 +5.1
  Dec 14, 2019 33   Auburn L 61-67 35%     8 - 2 +5.5 -2.3 +7.4
  Dec 21, 2019 79   @ Kansas St. W 66-63 42%     9 - 2 +12.6 +4.9 +7.9
  Dec 29, 2019 290   Bethune-Cookman W 77-67 94%     10 - 2 -0.4 -5.1 +3.9
  Jan 02, 2020 103   @ Duquesne L 59-73 50%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -6.3 -12.8 +7.0
  Jan 05, 2020 161   Massachusetts W 83-80 OT 83%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +0.4 -6.8 +6.7
  Jan 08, 2020 230   George Washington W 63-58 91%     12 - 3 2 - 1 -1.9 -7.3 +5.8
  Jan 11, 2020 52   @ Richmond W 74-58 33%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +28.2 +5.7 +22.2
  Jan 17, 2020 6   Dayton L 76-78 OT 29%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +11.3 +0.3 +11.1
  Jan 22, 2020 74   @ Davidson L 59-71 41%     13 - 5 3 - 3 -1.9 -5.7 +2.6
  Jan 26, 2020 237   Fordham W 55-39 91%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +8.7 -1.5 +14.1
  Jan 29, 2020 180   @ La Salle W 77-76 OT 70%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +3.3 +7.1 -3.8
  Feb 01, 2020 257   @ Saint Joseph's W 78-73 83%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +2.4 +1.9 +0.5
  Feb 05, 2020 103   Duquesne L 68-82 72%     16 - 6 6 - 4 -12.3 -5.0 -7.2
  Feb 08, 2020 6   @ Dayton L 65-71 14%     16 - 7 6 - 5 +13.3 +7.2 +5.3
  Feb 15, 2020 180   La Salle W 84-69 86%     17 - 7 7 - 5 +11.3 +9.4 +1.6
  Feb 18, 2020 161   @ Massachusetts L 63-67 66%     17 - 8 7 - 6 -0.5 -2.1 +1.1
  Feb 21, 2020 73   Virginia Commonwealth W 80-62 63%     18 - 8 8 - 6 +22.1 +10.8 +11.3
  Feb 26, 2020 257   Saint Joseph's W 76-63 93%     19 - 8 9 - 6 +4.4 -1.7 +6.3
  Mar 01, 2020 70   @ Rhode Island W 72-62 39%     20 - 8 10 - 6 +20.4 +6.3 +14.2
  Mar 04, 2020 169   @ George Mason W 69-57 67%     21 - 8 11 - 6 +15.1 -0.9 +16.1
  Mar 07, 2020 126   St. Bonaventure W 72-49 77%     22 - 8 12 - 6 +22.8 +0.1 +23.4
Projected Record 22 - 8 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 14.4% 14.4% 11.4 0.0 0.5 7.1 6.7 85.6 14.4%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.4% 0.0% 14.4% 11.4 0.0 0.5 7.1 6.7 85.6 14.4%