Texas St.
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#102
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#126
Pace63.3#311
Improvement+2.9#68

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#120
First Shot+0.9#149
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#97
Layup/Dunks-2.3#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+8.5#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#335
Freethrows+0.6#139
Improvement+2.0#89

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#90
First Shot+2.4#94
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#143
Layups/Dunks+1.4#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#121
Freethrows-1.6#281
Improvement+0.9#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 22 - 02 - 2
Quad 36 - 78 - 9
Quad 411 - 219 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 191   @ Air Force L 71-78 63%     0 - 1 -5.6 -3.8 -2.0
  Nov 12, 2019 226   Prairie View W 75-48 86%     1 - 1 +20.2 -0.5 +20.1
  Nov 15, 2019 5   @ Baylor L 63-72 8%     1 - 2 +11.3 +0.4 +11.0
  Nov 18, 2019 287   Jackson St. W 73-58 91%     2 - 2 +4.7 +3.8 +1.9
  Nov 20, 2019 97   @ UNLV W 64-57 37%     3 - 2 +15.2 +3.6 +12.6
  Nov 25, 2019 192   Abilene Christian W 61-56 81%     4 - 2 +0.4 -7.6 +8.4
  Nov 30, 2019 245   Hartford W 69-55 88%     5 - 2 +6.3 -1.4 +8.4
  Dec 04, 2019 19   @ Houston L 60-68 14%     5 - 3 +8.7 +0.9 +7.2
  Dec 07, 2019 207   Texas San Antonio L 71-77 83%     5 - 4 -11.4 -2.1 -9.7
  Dec 19, 2019 132   @ Georgia Southern L 64-67 48%     5 - 5 0 - 1 +2.4 -3.2 +5.5
  Dec 21, 2019 131   @ Georgia St. L 69-81 48%     5 - 6 0 - 2 -6.6 -1.9 -4.6
  Jan 02, 2020 134   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 68-72 48%     5 - 7 0 - 3 +1.4 -1.5 +2.8
  Jan 04, 2020 212   @ Arkansas St. W 70-67 67%     6 - 7 1 - 3 +3.4 -6.6 +9.9
  Jan 06, 2020 292   Troy L 63-71 92%     6 - 8 1 - 4 -18.5 -8.1 -11.2
  Jan 09, 2020 189   Coastal Carolina W 78-66 81%     7 - 8 2 - 4 +7.7 -0.1 +7.6
  Jan 11, 2020 182   Appalachian St. W 82-57 79%     8 - 8 3 - 4 +21.2 +20.0 +4.7
  Jan 16, 2020 247   @ Louisiana Monroe W 64-63 74%     9 - 8 4 - 4 -1.0 +0.9 -1.8
  Jan 18, 2020 219   @ Louisiana W 68-59 69%     10 - 8 5 - 4 +8.6 -2.5 +11.6
  Jan 25, 2020 137   Texas Arlington L 62-64 71%     10 - 9 5 - 5 -2.9 -8.1 +5.1
  Jan 30, 2020 247   Louisiana Monroe W 71-51 88%     11 - 9 6 - 5 +11.9 +3.5 +10.7
  Feb 01, 2020 219   Louisiana W 71-66 85%     12 - 9 7 - 5 -1.4 -7.1 +5.6
  Feb 06, 2020 189   @ Coastal Carolina W 100-63 62%     13 - 9 8 - 5 +38.7 +27.5 +11.7
  Feb 08, 2020 182   @ Appalachian St. L 57-60 60%     13 - 10 8 - 6 -0.8 -7.0 +5.9
  Feb 13, 2020 134   Arkansas Little Rock W 74-66 70%     14 - 10 9 - 6 +7.3 +2.0 +5.6
  Feb 15, 2020 212   Arkansas St. W 69-64 84%     15 - 10 10 - 6 -0.7 -7.4 +6.8
  Feb 20, 2020 132   Georgia Southern W 70-55 70%     16 - 10 11 - 6 +14.3 +4.1 +11.5
  Feb 22, 2020 131   Georgia St. W 86-76 70%     17 - 10 12 - 6 +9.4 +13.2 -3.7
  Feb 28, 2020 137   @ Texas Arlington W 87-85 3OT 49%     18 - 10 13 - 6 +7.1 +1.5 +5.2
  Mar 03, 2020 157   @ South Alabama L 54-58 55%     18 - 11 13 - 7 -0.3 -5.3 +4.0
  Mar 11, 2020 182   Appalachian St. W 85-68 79%     19 - 11 +13.2 +8.6 +4.0
Projected Record 19 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%