Oregon
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.6#20
Expected Predictive Rating+14.7#13
Pace62.8#321
Improvement-3.0#289

Offense
Total Offense+9.6#6
First Shot+8.0#8
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#57
Layup/Dunks+5.9#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#44
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement-2.2#283

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#71
First Shot+4.9#46
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#253
Layups/Dunks+4.5#27
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#296
Freethrows+1.5#73
Improvement-0.7#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 4.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 83.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round80.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen44.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight18.7% n/a n/a
Final Four8.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.9% n/a n/a
National Champion1.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 34 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 27 - 5
Quad 27 - 214 - 7
Quad 36 - 020 - 7
Quad 44 - 024 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 152   Fresno St. W 71-57 92%     1 - 0 +11.9 -4.0 +16.0
  Nov 09, 2019 77   Boise St. W 106-75 82%     2 - 0 +34.8 +28.7 +4.1
  Nov 12, 2019 57   Memphis W 82-74 69%     3 - 0 +16.6 +12.6 +3.4
  Nov 17, 2019 137   Texas Arlington W 67-47 91%     4 - 0 +19.1 +0.8 +19.9
  Nov 22, 2019 19   Houston W 78-66 61%     5 - 0 +22.7 +18.3 +5.5
  Nov 27, 2019 16   Seton Hall W 71-69 48%     6 - 0 +16.1 +9.5 +6.7
  Nov 28, 2019 2   Gonzaga L 72-73 OT 29%     6 - 1 +18.3 +2.2 +16.1
  Nov 29, 2019 68   North Carolina L 74-78 72%     6 - 2 +3.7 +9.7 -6.3
  Dec 07, 2019 214   Hawaii W 89-64 95%     7 - 2 +19.3 +21.1 -0.3
  Dec 14, 2019 15   @ Michigan W 71-70 OT 36%     8 - 2 +18.3 +7.5 +10.8
  Dec 18, 2019 153   Montana W 81-48 92%     9 - 2 +30.9 +3.0 +26.0
  Dec 21, 2019 291   Texas Southern W 84-78 98%     10 - 2 -4.5 +3.4 -8.0
  Dec 29, 2019 337   Alabama St. W 98-59 99%     11 - 2 +23.6 +24.1 +0.1
  Jan 02, 2020 38   @ Colorado L 65-74 49%     11 - 3 0 - 1 +4.9 -2.7 +7.9
  Jan 04, 2020 105   @ Utah W 69-64 72%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +12.6 +5.9 +7.2
  Jan 09, 2020 18   Arizona W 74-73 OT 61%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +11.7 +7.1 +4.6
  Jan 11, 2020 60   Arizona St. W 78-69 79%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +14.3 +13.4 +1.4
  Jan 16, 2020 122   @ Washington St. L 61-72 76%     14 - 4 3 - 2 -4.8 -4.3 -1.0
  Jan 18, 2020 56   @ Washington W 64-61 OT 57%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +14.8 +2.8 +12.1
  Jan 23, 2020 53   USC W 79-70 2OT 77%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +15.1 +4.3 +9.9
  Jan 26, 2020 71   UCLA W 96-75 81%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +25.3 +19.7 +4.6
  Jan 30, 2020 144   @ California W 77-72 81%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +9.5 +12.4 -2.6
  Feb 01, 2020 50   @ Stanford L 60-70 55%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +2.4 -1.1 +3.3
  Feb 08, 2020 82   @ Oregon St. L 53-63 66%     18 - 6 7 - 4 -0.6 -11.5 +9.8
  Feb 13, 2020 38   Colorado W 68-60 71%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +15.9 +2.9 +13.4
  Feb 16, 2020 105   Utah W 80-62 87%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +19.6 +19.7 +2.7
  Feb 20, 2020 60   @ Arizona St. L 72-77 59%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +6.4 +3.6 +3.0
  Feb 22, 2020 18   @ Arizona W 73-72 OT 38%     21 - 7 10 - 5 +17.7 +9.6 +8.1
  Feb 27, 2020 82   Oregon St. W 69-54 83%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +18.4 +12.5 +9.7
  Mar 05, 2020 144   California W 90-56 91%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +32.5 +28.8 +8.0
  Mar 07, 2020 50   Stanford W 80-67 76%     24 - 7 13 - 5 +19.4 +20.9 -0.3
Projected Record 24 - 7 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.8 0.3 4.3 26.4 52.8 15.6 0.7
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.8 0.3 4.3 26.4 52.8 15.6 0.7