USC
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#53
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#34
Pace70.7#129
Improvement+1.3#124

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#147
First Shot+0.6#160
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#111
Layup/Dunks+4.0#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#268
Freethrows+0.9#109
Improvement-2.0#278

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#14
First Shot+7.9#7
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#198
Layups/Dunks+4.4#30
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#235
Freethrows+3.4#13
Improvement+3.4#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 88.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.1% n/a n/a
First Round87.1% n/a n/a
Second Round33.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen8.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 7
Quad 27 - 111 - 8
Quad 36 - 117 - 9
Quad 45 - 022 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 319   Florida A&M W 77-48 97%     1 - 0 +16.6 -7.0 +21.3
  Nov 08, 2019 297   Portland W 76-65 96%     2 - 0 +0.2 +1.9 -1.4
  Nov 12, 2019 129   South Dakota St. W 84-66 81%     3 - 0 +17.7 +0.1 +15.9
  Nov 16, 2019 80   @ Nevada W 76-66 48%     4 - 0 +19.6 +4.6 +14.8
  Nov 19, 2019 135   Pepperdine W 91-84 82%     5 - 0 +6.2 +8.7 -3.1
  Nov 22, 2019 107   Temple L 61-70 77%     5 - 1 -7.6 -10.2 +2.9
  Nov 28, 2019 302   Fairfield W 54-47 94%     6 - 1 -1.0 -14.4 +13.9
  Nov 29, 2019 29   Marquette L 79-101 37%     6 - 2 -9.5 -5.2 -0.1
  Dec 01, 2019 114   Harvard W 77-62 69%     7 - 2 +19.0 +6.8 +12.2
  Dec 06, 2019 76   @ TCU W 80-78 47%     8 - 2 +11.9 +9.5 +2.3
  Dec 15, 2019 306   Long Beach St. W 87-76 96%     9 - 2 -0.1 +8.5 -8.9
  Dec 21, 2019 36   LSU W 70-68 42%     10 - 2 +13.3 -10.3 +23.3
  Dec 29, 2019 298   Florida Gulf Coast W 71-58 96%     11 - 2 +2.2 -4.0 +6.1
  Jan 02, 2020 122   @ Washington St. W 65-56 61%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +15.2 -3.2 +18.4
  Jan 05, 2020 56   @ Washington L 40-72 40%     12 - 3 1 - 1 -20.2 -27.0 +8.5
  Jan 11, 2020 71   @ UCLA W 74-63 45%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +21.3 +13.2 +9.3
  Jan 16, 2020 144   California W 88-56 84%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +30.5 +9.4 +18.9
  Jan 18, 2020 50   Stanford W 82-78 OT 60%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +10.4 +10.0 +0.1
  Jan 23, 2020 20   @ Oregon L 70-79 2OT 23%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +7.7 -4.5 +13.1
  Jan 25, 2020 82   @ Oregon St. W 75-55 49%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +29.4 +13.6 +18.4
  Jan 30, 2020 105   Utah W 56-52 76%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +5.6 -10.1 +16.1
  Feb 01, 2020 38   Colorado L 57-78 55%     17 - 5 6 - 3 -13.1 -7.7 -6.8
  Feb 06, 2020 18   @ Arizona L 80-85 23%     17 - 6 6 - 4 +11.7 +16.2 -4.5
  Feb 08, 2020 60   @ Arizona St. L 64-66 41%     17 - 7 6 - 5 +9.4 -6.0 +15.5
  Feb 13, 2020 56   Washington W 62-56 63%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +11.8 -0.9 +13.1
  Feb 15, 2020 122   Washington St. W 70-51 80%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +19.2 -2.0 +21.0
  Feb 20, 2020 38   @ Colorado L 66-70 32%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +9.9 +7.0 +2.6
  Feb 23, 2020 105   @ Utah L 65-79 56%     19 - 9 8 - 7 -6.4 -4.9 -1.5
  Feb 27, 2020 18   Arizona W 57-48 44%     20 - 9 9 - 7 +19.7 -5.7 +26.0
  Feb 29, 2020 60   Arizona St. W 71-61 64%     21 - 9 10 - 7 +15.3 +0.6 +14.5
  Mar 07, 2020 71   UCLA W 54-52 68%     22 - 9 11 - 7 +6.3 -9.2 +15.8
Projected Record 22 - 9 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 88.0% 88.0% 9.2 0.2 2.3 16.0 36.2 28.0 5.4 12.0 88.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 88.0% 0.0% 88.0% 9.2 0.2 2.3 16.0 36.2 28.0 5.4 12.0 88.0%