Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
6 Dayton 100.0%   1   29 - 2 18 - 0 29 - 2 18 - 0 +16.3      +10.9 4 +5.4 48 67.6 222 +20.2 5 +24.1 1
52 Richmond 62.9%   11   24 - 7 14 - 4 24 - 7 14 - 4 +9.1      +4.6 58 +4.6 60 70.2 139 +10.2 45 +11.0 2
69 Saint Louis 14.4%   22 - 8 12 - 6 22 - 8 12 - 6 +7.6      +2.1 118 +5.6 43 67.6 223 +9.3 56 +8.0 4
70 Rhode Island 22.6%   21 - 9 13 - 5 21 - 9 13 - 5 +7.4      +2.1 119 +5.3 49 74.8 48 +9.6 52 +9.9 3
73 Virginia Commonwealth 0.0%   18 - 13 8 - 10 18 - 13 8 - 10 +7.2      +1.7 136 +5.5 46 70.7 130 +5.3 98 +2.8 8
74 Davidson 0.0%   16 - 14 10 - 8 16 - 14 10 - 8 +7.1      +6.6 31 +0.5 155 62.5 329 +3.7 119 +4.5 7
103 Duquesne 0.1%   21 - 9 11 - 7 21 - 9 11 - 7 +4.7      +3.0 93 +1.7 123 67.9 209 +6.4 84 +6.5 5
126 St. Bonaventure 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 7 18 - 12 11 - 7 +2.8      +2.6 105 +0.2 166 63.6 308 +3.8 118 +5.0 6
161 Massachusetts 0.0%   14 - 17 8 - 10 14 - 17 8 - 10 +0.4      +0.3 172 +0.1 171 69.6 156 +1.6 147 +2.5 9
169 George Mason 0.0%   17 - 15 5 - 13 17 - 15 5 - 13 +0.1      -0.8 203 +0.9 146 66.8 241 +1.5 148 -2.6 12
180 La Salle 0.0%   15 - 15 6 - 12 15 - 15 6 - 12 -0.7      -1.9 227 +1.2 138 70.8 125 +1.1 150 -1.7 11
230 George Washington 0.0%   12 - 20 6 - 12 12 - 20 6 - 12 -3.9      -2.0 229 -1.8 231 65.8 261 -3.4 224 -1.2 10
237 Fordham 0.0%   9 - 22 2 - 16 9 - 22 2 - 16 -4.2      -9.0 345 +4.8 57 62.2 332 -8.4 303 -9.7 14
257 Saint Joseph's 0.0%   6 - 26 2 - 16 6 - 26 2 - 16 -5.6      -0.5 193 -5.1 314 75.1 47 -5.3 250 -8.4 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Dayton 1.0 100.0
Richmond 2.0 100.0
Saint Louis 4.0 100.0
Rhode Island 3.0 100.0
Virginia Commonwealth 8.0 100.0
Davidson 7.0 100.0
Duquesne 5.0 100.0
St. Bonaventure 5.0 100.0
Massachusetts 8.0 100.0
George Mason 12.0 100.0
La Salle 10.0 100.0
George Washington 10.0 100.0
Fordham 13.0 100.0
Saint Joseph's 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Dayton 18 - 0 100.0
Richmond 14 - 4 100.0
Saint Louis 12 - 6 100.0
Rhode Island 13 - 5 100.0
Virginia Commonwealth 8 - 10 100.0
Davidson 10 - 8 100.0
Duquesne 11 - 7 100.0
St. Bonaventure 11 - 7 100.0
Massachusetts 8 - 10 100.0
George Mason 5 - 13 100.0
La Salle 6 - 12 100.0
George Washington 6 - 12 100.0
Fordham 2 - 16 100.0
Saint Joseph's 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Dayton 100.0% 100.0
Richmond
Saint Louis
Rhode Island
Virginia Commonwealth
Davidson
Duquesne
St. Bonaventure
Massachusetts
George Mason
La Salle
George Washington
Fordham
Saint Joseph's


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Dayton 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1   60.2 35.5 4.0 0.3
Richmond 62.9% 0.0% 62.9% 11   0.0 0.2 3.1 12.4 24.4 21.7 1.0 37.2 62.9%
Saint Louis 14.4% 0.0% 14.4% 0.0 0.5 7.1 6.7 85.6 14.4%
Rhode Island 22.6% 0.0% 22.6% 0.1 0.9 13.4 8.3 77.4 22.6%
Virginia Commonwealth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Duquesne 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%
St. Bonaventure 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Massachusetts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Dayton 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 93.4% 64.3% 39.4% 21.6% 10.6% 5.1%
Richmond 62.9% 14.8% 55.1% 21.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Saint Louis 14.4% 13.4% 6.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rhode Island 22.6% 20.6% 9.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Virginia Commonwealth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Duquesne 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Bonaventure 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Massachusetts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
La Salle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fordham 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Saint Joseph's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 2.0 23.1 55.5 19.8 1.6
1st Round 100.0% 1.7 37.6 53.9 8.3 0.2
2nd Round 94.9% 1.2 5.1 71.8 22.3 0.8
Sweet Sixteen 67.1% 0.7 32.9 62.7 4.4
Elite Eight 41.1% 0.4 58.9 40.5 0.5
Final Four 22.1% 0.2 77.9 22.1 0.1
Final Game 10.8% 0.1 89.2 10.8 0.0
Champion 5.2% 0.1 94.8 5.2