Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
160 Siena 100.0%   16   20 - 10 15 - 5 20 - 10 15 - 5 +0.5      +2.7 102 -2.3 249 66.2 254 +0.7 159 +1.3 1
190 Rider 0.0%   18 - 12 12 - 8 18 - 12 12 - 8 -1.3      -1.2 209 -0.2 184 75.2 45 -1.1 191 -2.6 4
195 St. Peter's 0.0%   18 - 12 14 - 6 18 - 12 14 - 6 -1.8      -4.9 301 +3.1 84 67.6 221 -1.8 199 +0.1 2
204 Monmouth 0.0%   18 - 13 12 - 8 18 - 13 12 - 8 -2.2      -2.5 242 +0.3 165 78.3 25 -1.5 197 -2.5 3
223 Iona 0.0%   12 - 17 9 - 11 12 - 17 9 - 11 -3.6      -0.4 192 -3.2 275 69.5 160 -6.0 262 -6.0 7
256 Quinnipiac 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 10 15 - 15 10 - 10 -5.5      -1.5 215 -4.1 294 69.6 154 -4.5 236 -4.6 5
260 Canisius 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 13 12 - 20 7 - 13 -5.8      -3.5 261 -2.3 250 72.1 90 -6.4 270 -8.2 10
268 Manhattan 0.0%   13 - 18 8 - 12 13 - 18 8 - 12 -6.1      -6.5 328 +0.4 159 63.8 305 -6.2 266 -6.9 9
300 Niagara 0.0%   12 - 20 9 - 11 12 - 20 9 - 11 -7.9      -1.4 214 -6.5 325 64.9 282 -5.8 258 -5.5 6
302 Fairfield 0.0%   12 - 20 8 - 12 12 - 20 8 - 12 -8.0      -8.6 344 +0.6 152 59.6 347 -6.6 275 -6.7 8
318 Marist 0.0%   7 - 23 6 - 14 7 - 23 6 - 14 -9.3      -8.2 343 -1.1 210 62.6 326 -11.8 331 -9.2 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Siena 1.0 100.0
Rider 3.0 100.0
St. Peter's 2.0 100.0
Monmouth 3.0 100.0
Iona 6.0 100.0
Quinnipiac 5.0 100.0
Canisius 10.0 100.0
Manhattan 8.0 100.0
Niagara 6.0 100.0
Fairfield 8.0 100.0
Marist 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Siena 15 - 5 100.0
Rider 12 - 8 100.0
St. Peter's 14 - 6 100.0
Monmouth 12 - 8 100.0
Iona 9 - 11 100.0
Quinnipiac 10 - 10 100.0
Canisius 7 - 13 100.0
Manhattan 8 - 12 100.0
Niagara 9 - 11 100.0
Fairfield 8 - 12 100.0
Marist 6 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Siena 100.0% 100.0
Rider
St. Peter's
Monmouth
Iona
Quinnipiac
Canisius
Manhattan
Niagara
Fairfield
Marist


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Siena 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.9 20.9 78.2
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Siena 100.0% 36.3% 86.1% 4.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rider 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Peter's 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Monmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Iona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Quinnipiac 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Canisius 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Manhattan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Niagara 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairfield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 86.1% 0.9 13.9 86.1
2nd Round 4.1% 0.0 95.9 4.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0