IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Colorado St.
Mountain West
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.5	#179
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.0	#204
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.5	#154

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.0	#227

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.9%	2.1%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.6	12.5	13.6

.500 or above	31.8%	36.0%	12.3%
.500 or above in Conference	33.5%	36.5%	19.9%
Conference Champion	1.2%	1.3%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	7.2%	6.1%	11.9%

First Four	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
First Round	1.7%	1.9%	0.7%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Home) - 82.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 9
Quad 3	3 - 5	5 - 14
Quad 4	8 - 3	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	305	Denver	W	78-68	82%
Nov 08, 2019	3	@ Duke	L	67-91	1%
Nov 13, 2019	195	Nebraska Omaha	W	77-73	63%
Nov 16, 2019	149	@ Loyola Marymount	L	64-69	32%
Nov 20, 2019	271	Arkansas St.	W	78-70	75%
Nov 25, 2019	55	New Mexico St.	L	66-77	16%
Dec 01, 2019	236	Utah Valley	W	76-70	69%
Dec 04, 2019	77	San Diego St.	L	68-73	32%
Dec 07, 2019	90	@ Boise St.	L	66-76	19%
Dec 10, 2019	224	South Dakota St.	W	80-75	66%
Dec 13, 2019	40	Colorado	L	67-76	21%
Dec 21, 2019	100	Tulsa	L	70-76	31%
Jan 01, 2020	95	@ Nevada	L	70-79	22%
Jan 04, 2020	275	Wyoming	W	76-68	74%
Jan 11, 2020	330	@ San Jose St.	W	78-71	71%
Jan 15, 2020	92	New Mexico	L	79-82	38%
Jan 18, 2020	170	@ Air Force	L	69-73	37%
Jan 22, 2020	118	Fresno St.	L	70-72	45%
Jan 25, 2020	34	@ Utah St.	L	66-82	9%
Jan 29, 2020	95	Nevada	L	73-76	39%
Feb 01, 2020	146	UNLV	W	74-73	52%
Feb 04, 2020	118	@ Fresno St.	L	67-75	26%
Feb 11, 2020	34	Utah St.	L	69-79	20%
Feb 15, 2020	275	@ Wyoming	W	73-71	56%
Feb 18, 2020	146	@ UNLV	L	71-76	33%
Feb 22, 2020	330	San Jose St.	W	81-68	85%
Feb 25, 2020	77	@ San Diego St.	L	65-76	18%
Feb 29, 2020	170	Air Force	W	72-70	56%
Projected Record						12 - 16	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	0.7	0.2	0.0				2.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.4	1.8	1.1	0.1	0.0					4.7	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.3	3.0	1.1	0.1	0.0						7.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.8	2.9	3.7	1.6	0.3								9.3	5th
6th							0.1	1.0	4.3	4.6	1.8	0.2	0.0								12.0	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.7	4.9	5.7	2.2	0.2	0.0									14.9	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	2.6	5.9	5.2	2.0	0.2											16.3	8th
9th			0.0	1.3	4.0	6.2	4.5	1.3	0.2												17.5	9th
10th		0.1	1.2	3.1	3.4	1.8	0.4	0.1													10.1	10th
11th	0.3	1.0	1.5	1.0	0.3	0.1															4.1	11th

Total	0.3	1.1	2.7	5.4	8.1	10.9	12.6	12.5	12.9	10.4	8.3	6.4	3.8	2.5	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	83.5%	0.2		0.1	0.0
15-3	59.8%	0.3		0.2	0.2	0.0
14-4	29.0%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	7.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		96.7%	46.7%	50.0%	8.5									0.0	0.0								0.0		93.8%
17-1	0.1%		61.4%	5.5%	55.9%	9.4					0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		59.2%
16-2	0.2%		42.4%	21.8%	20.6%	9.4					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		26.3%
15-3	0.6%		35.0%	19.5%	15.5%	11.3									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.4		19.3%
14-4	1.2%		15.9%	8.8%	7.2%	11.7									0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			1.0		7.9%
13-5	2.5%		10.9%	9.4%	1.5%	12.4										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		2.2		1.7%
12-6	3.8%		6.3%	5.9%	0.4%	12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		3.6		0.4%
11-7	6.4%		3.3%	3.3%	0.0%	13.0												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	6.2		0.0%
10-8	8.3%		3.0%	3.0%	0.0%	13.5													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	8.1		0.0%
9-9	10.4%		1.8%	1.8%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	10.2
8-10	12.9%		0.6%	0.6%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.8
7-11	12.5%		0.4%	0.4%		15.1													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	12.4
6-12	12.6%		0.1%	0.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.6
5-13	10.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
4-14	8.1%																							8.1
3-15	5.4%																							5.4
2-16	2.7%																							2.7
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		1.9%	1.5%	0.3%	12.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	98.1		0.3%