Preseason Rankings
Hawaii
Big West
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#183
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.4#243
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#229
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#166
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.8% 13.4% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 68.2% 70.8% 40.1%
.500 or above in Conference 71.0% 72.6% 53.5%
Conference Champion 14.7% 15.5% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 3.8% 8.6%
First Four1.5% 1.5% 1.6%
First Round12.1% 12.7% 5.7%
Second Round0.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 91.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 413 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 341   Florida A&M W 71-56 91%    
  Nov 10, 2019 165   South Dakota W 69-68 55%    
  Nov 12, 2019 247   Pacific W 68-62 70%    
  Nov 16, 2019 270   Portland St. W 76-69 75%    
  Nov 18, 2019 42   @ Illinois L 66-82 8%    
  Nov 24, 2019 243   New Orleans W 72-66 70%    
  Nov 30, 2019 111   San Francisco L 68-71 41%    
  Dec 07, 2019 16   @ Oregon L 56-75 5%    
  Dec 15, 2019 142   Samford W 74-73 50%    
  Dec 22, 2019 169   UTEP W 68-66 57%    
  Dec 29, 2019 333   Maine W 71-58 86%    
  Jan 09, 2020 213   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 11, 2020 106   @ UC Irvine L 62-71 22%    
  Jan 17, 2020 327   Cal Poly W 75-63 84%    
  Jan 19, 2020 160   UC Santa Barbara W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 26, 2020 266   UC Davis W 69-62 72%    
  Feb 02, 2020 208   Cal St. Northridge W 77-73 63%    
  Feb 06, 2020 160   @ UC Santa Barbara L 65-70 34%    
  Feb 08, 2020 327   @ Cal Poly W 72-66 68%    
  Feb 13, 2020 289   Long Beach St. W 78-70 77%    
  Feb 16, 2020 106   UC Irvine L 65-68 42%    
  Feb 20, 2020 296   @ UC Riverside W 66-63 59%    
  Feb 22, 2020 289   @ Long Beach St. W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 28, 2020 213   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-68 64%    
  Mar 01, 2020 296   UC Riverside W 69-60 77%    
  Mar 05, 2020 266   @ UC Davis W 66-65 54%    
  Mar 07, 2020 208   @ Cal St. Northridge L 74-76 44%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.2 4.3 3.7 1.8 0.5 14.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.9 5.4 2.2 0.4 17.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.3 6.9 4.2 0.9 0.0 17.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 4.6 5.8 2.7 0.3 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.4 5.1 1.8 0.1 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.5 3.9 1.2 0.1 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.1 2.4 0.7 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.2 5.7 7.4 9.9 11.8 12.5 12.7 11.6 9.5 6.5 4.1 1.8 0.5 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
15-1 100.0% 1.8    1.7 0.1
14-2 89.6% 3.7    3.0 0.7 0.0
13-3 65.5% 4.3    2.4 1.6 0.2
12-4 34.0% 3.2    1.3 1.4 0.5 0.0
11-5 9.8% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 14.7% 14.7 9.0 4.5 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.5% 56.4% 54.2% 2.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4.7%
15-1 1.8% 48.7% 47.5% 1.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 2.3%
14-2 4.1% 43.2% 43.0% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.4 0.3%
13-3 6.5% 30.3% 30.2% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.0 4.5 0.2%
12-4 9.5% 24.7% 24.7% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.3 7.2
11-5 11.6% 16.6% 16.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 9.7
10-6 12.7% 11.1% 11.1% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 11.3
9-7 12.5% 7.4% 7.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 11.6
8-8 11.8% 6.3% 6.3% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 11.0
7-9 9.9% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.5
6-10 7.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.2
5-11 5.7% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.6
4-12 3.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-13 1.8% 1.8
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.8% 12.8% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.2 3.8 3.1 87.2 0.1%