IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Samford
Southern
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.0	#142
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.8	#97
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.9	#92

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.9	#224

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.0%	10.8%	5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.8%	1.1%	0.2%
Average Seed	12.9	12.7	13.6

.500 or above	61.0%	70.7%	44.2%
.500 or above in Conference	67.6%	73.0%	58.0%
Conference Champion	8.8%	10.8%	5.2%
Last Place in Conference	2.9%	1.8%	4.8%

First Four	0.7%	0.9%	0.3%
First Round	8.6%	10.3%	5.6%
Second Round	1.3%	1.7%	0.5%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Morehead St. (Away) - 63.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 5	6 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 3	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	264	@ Morehead St.	W	78-74	64%
Nov 11, 2019	80	@ Belmont	L	77-86	21%
Nov 16, 2019	313	@ North Alabama	W	78-71	74%
Nov 19, 2019	259	Manhattan	W	70-61	80%
Nov 23, 2019	297	Troy	W	81-69	85%
Nov 27, 2019	224	@ South Dakota St.	W	81-80	55%
Nov 30, 2019	116	@ Louisiana Tech	L	71-76	31%
Dec 07, 2019	292	@ Houston Baptist	W	89-83	68%
Dec 15, 2019	183	@ Hawaii	L	73-74	50%
Dec 18, 2019	45	Alabama	L	72-81	21%
Dec 22, 2019	54	@ Georgetown	L	77-89	16%
Jan 01, 2020	306	The Citadel	W	93-81	85%
Jan 04, 2020	300	@ VMI	W	84-78	70%
Jan 08, 2020	107	Wofford	W	75-74	51%
Jan 11, 2020	235	@ Chattanooga	W	76-74	57%
Jan 15, 2020	71	@ East Tennessee St.	L	71-80	21%
Jan 18, 2020	204	Mercer	W	79-72	71%
Jan 22, 2020	102	@ Furman	L	71-77	30%
Jan 25, 2020	96	UNC Greensboro	L	73-74	49%
Jan 29, 2020	235	Chattanooga	W	79-71	75%
Feb 01, 2020	107	@ Wofford	L	72-78	32%
Feb 05, 2020	215	Western Carolina	W	83-76	73%
Feb 09, 2020	96	@ UNC Greensboro	L	70-76	30%
Feb 12, 2020	102	Furman	L	73-74	49%
Feb 15, 2020	306	@ The Citadel	W	90-84	70%
Feb 19, 2020	204	@ Mercer	W	76-75	53%
Feb 22, 2020	71	East Tennessee St.	L	74-77	39%
Feb 26, 2020	215	@ Western Carolina	W	80-79	53%
Feb 29, 2020	300	VMI	W	87-75	84%
Projected Record						16 - 13	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.0	2.3	2.6	1.8	0.6	0.2		8.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	2.7	4.5	3.3	1.1	0.1				12.3	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.3	4.2	5.2	3.0	0.5	0.0					14.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.9	5.0	5.4	2.3	0.3	0.0						15.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.4	5.8	4.9	1.6	0.2								15.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	2.7	5.2	3.5	0.9	0.0									13.0	6th
7th					0.0	0.6	2.8	3.6	2.0	0.3	0.0										9.4	7th
8th				0.1	0.7	2.1	2.3	1.2	0.2												6.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	0.7	1.2	1.1	0.4	0.1													3.7	9th
10th	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0														1.6	10th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.3	2.3	4.0	6.1	7.9	10.0	11.7	12.1	11.9	10.5	8.7	6.1	3.7	2.0	0.6	0.2			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.6		0.6	0.0
16-2	94.1%	1.8		1.6	0.2	0.0
15-3	70.9%	2.6		1.7	0.9	0.1
14-4	37.6%	2.3		0.9	1.0	0.3	0.0
13-5	11.7%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.8%	8.8		5.3	2.6	0.8	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		81.0%	52.2%	28.8%	8.4			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		60.2%
17-1	0.6%		69.3%	43.9%	25.4%	10.0					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2		45.3%
16-2	2.0%		48.8%	36.8%	12.0%	11.3						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0			1.0		19.0%
15-3	3.7%		33.9%	30.8%	3.1%	12.3									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	2.5		4.4%
14-4	6.1%		24.9%	23.0%	1.9%	12.7										0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.0		4.6		2.5%
13-5	8.7%		17.1%	16.8%	0.3%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	7.2		0.4%
12-6	10.5%		10.5%	10.4%	0.1%	13.6												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0	9.4		0.1%
11-7	11.9%		6.2%	6.2%	0.1%	14.0												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	11.2		0.1%
10-8	12.1%		5.0%	5.0%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	11.5
9-9	11.7%		3.4%	3.4%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	11.3
8-10	10.0%		2.0%	2.0%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	9.8
7-11	7.9%		0.6%	0.6%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.9
6-12	6.1%		0.8%	0.8%		15.4																0.0	0.0	6.1
5-13	4.0%		0.0%	0.0%		15.7																0.0	0.0	4.0
4-14	2.3%																							2.3
3-15	1.3%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
2-16	0.5%																							0.5
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.0%	8.2%	0.7%	12.9			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.9	2.5	1.8	1.0	0.5	91.0		0.8%