Preseason Rankings
Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-18.0#353
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.7#98
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-10.0#349
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.9#348
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 8.9% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.8% 22.6% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 13.9% 76.3% 13.8%
Conference Champion 0.5% 15.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 36.2% 8.4% 36.2%
First Four0.8% 8.9% 0.8%
First Round0.3% 8.4% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa St. (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 46 - 146 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 35   @ Iowa St. L 58-90 0.1%   
  Nov 08, 2019 110   @ Utah L 60-85 1%    
  Nov 10, 2019 154   @ Central Michigan L 68-89 2%    
  Nov 12, 2019 231   @ Western Michigan L 65-82 6%    
  Nov 19, 2019 116   @ Louisiana Tech L 58-82 1%    
  Nov 24, 2019 224   @ South Dakota St. L 68-86 6%    
  Nov 27, 2019 313   @ North Alabama L 65-77 15%    
  Dec 06, 2019 125   @ Missouri St. L 58-82 2%    
  Dec 15, 2019 150   @ Miami (OH) L 59-81 3%    
  Dec 17, 2019 103   @ Wright St. L 56-81 1%    
  Dec 20, 2019 128   @ Santa Clara L 59-82 3%    
  Dec 22, 2019 228   @ California Baptist L 66-83 7%    
  Jan 04, 2020 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 11, 2020 332   @ Alabama St. L 66-76 20%    
  Jan 13, 2020 352   @ Alabama A&M L 65-69 38%    
  Jan 18, 2020 345   Alcorn St. L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 20, 2020 346   Southern L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 25, 2020 265   @ Texas Southern L 75-90 11%    
  Jan 27, 2020 277   @ Prairie View L 69-83 12%    
  Feb 01, 2020 303   Jackson St. L 63-70 29%    
  Feb 03, 2020 269   Grambling St. L 69-78 22%    
  Feb 08, 2020 332   Alabama St. L 69-73 38%    
  Feb 10, 2020 352   Alabama A&M W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 15, 2020 345   @ Alcorn St. L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 17, 2020 346   @ Southern L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 22, 2020 265   Texas Southern L 78-87 23%    
  Feb 24, 2020 277   Prairie View L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 29, 2020 303   @ Jackson St. L 60-73 15%    
  Mar 02, 2020 269   @ Grambling St. L 66-81 11%    
  Mar 07, 2020 343   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 64-71 27%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.0 3.6 1.6 0.2 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.0 4.5 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.7 5.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 16.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 5.4 8.0 5.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 21.9 9th
10th 2.3 5.9 8.0 6.3 3.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 26.5 10th
Total 2.3 6.1 9.7 12.2 14.2 12.8 11.8 9.7 7.4 5.5 3.8 2.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 72.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 71.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 49.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 22.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 19.6% 19.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 30.1% 30.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.7% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.1 0.6
12-6 1.3% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.1 1.2
11-7 2.1% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.1 2.0
10-8 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.2 3.6
9-9 5.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 5.4
8-10 7.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.3
7-11 9.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.6
6-12 11.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.7
5-13 12.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.8
4-14 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
3-15 12.2% 12.2
2-16 9.7% 9.7
1-17 6.1% 6.1
0-18 2.3% 2.3
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.0%