Preseason Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#125
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.8#261
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#141
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#115
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.6% 18.2% 10.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.6
.500 or above 72.7% 78.0% 50.6%
.500 or above in Conference 72.9% 76.3% 58.6%
Conference Champion 19.7% 21.8% 11.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 3.7% 9.1%
First Four0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
First Round16.2% 17.8% 10.0%
Second Round3.3% 3.9% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Home) - 80.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 32 - 6
Quad 36 - 58 - 11
Quad 410 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 220   Arkansas Little Rock W 76-67 81%    
  Nov 10, 2019 332   Alabama St. W 77-60 94%    
  Nov 12, 2019 311   Cleveland St. W 78-63 91%    
  Nov 15, 2019 23   @ Xavier L 62-75 12%    
  Nov 21, 2019 63   Miami (FL) L 66-72 30%    
  Nov 29, 2019 20   @ LSU L 68-81 13%    
  Dec 03, 2019 119   Murray St. W 73-70 58%    
  Dec 06, 2019 353   Mississippi Valley W 82-58 98%    
  Dec 11, 2019 271   Arkansas St. W 77-65 85%    
  Dec 15, 2019 28   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-75 14%    
  Dec 21, 2019 205   @ Oral Roberts W 74-71 59%    
  Dec 31, 2019 182   Evansville W 74-66 74%    
  Jan 04, 2020 109   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-64 37%    
  Jan 07, 2020 187   @ Illinois St. W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 11, 2020 114   Northern Iowa W 65-63 58%    
  Jan 15, 2020 136   Bradley W 67-63 63%    
  Jan 18, 2020 182   @ Evansville W 71-69 55%    
  Jan 23, 2020 199   Valparaiso W 69-61 75%    
  Jan 26, 2020 145   @ Drake L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 29, 2020 114   @ Northern Iowa L 62-66 38%    
  Feb 01, 2020 158   Indiana St. W 74-68 68%    
  Feb 05, 2020 187   Illinois St. W 72-64 74%    
  Feb 08, 2020 207   @ Southern Illinois W 68-65 59%    
  Feb 12, 2020 145   Drake W 73-68 65%    
  Feb 16, 2020 158   @ Indiana St. L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 19, 2020 136   @ Bradley L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 22, 2020 109   Loyola Chicago W 63-61 55%    
  Feb 25, 2020 199   @ Valparaiso W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 29, 2020 207   Southern Illinois W 71-62 76%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 5.1 4.5 3.3 1.7 0.5 19.7 1st
2nd 0.2 2.0 4.8 5.6 2.7 0.9 0.1 16.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.7 5.2 4.5 1.4 0.2 14.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 5.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.5 3.1 0.5 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.2 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.2 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.0 3.4 4.7 6.6 8.4 9.7 11.5 11.2 11.2 10.4 7.9 5.4 3.4 1.7 0.5 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 100.0% 1.7    1.7 0.0
16-2 97.9% 3.3    3.0 0.3
15-3 83.6% 4.5    3.5 0.9 0.0
14-4 63.9% 5.1    3.2 1.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 32.5% 3.4    1.4 1.4 0.5 0.0
12-6 10.0% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.7% 19.7 13.4 4.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 89.6% 73.6% 16.0% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 60.7%
17-1 1.7% 71.9% 53.3% 18.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 39.9%
16-2 3.4% 52.8% 44.8% 8.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 14.5%
15-3 5.4% 44.1% 39.5% 4.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.6%
14-4 7.9% 31.4% 30.4% 1.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.0 5.5 1.4%
13-5 10.4% 25.0% 24.7% 0.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.8 0.4%
12-6 11.2% 17.2% 17.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 9.2 0.2%
11-7 11.2% 13.6% 13.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 9.7
10-8 11.5% 9.1% 9.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 10.5
9-9 9.7% 6.7% 6.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 9.1
8-10 8.4% 3.8% 3.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.1
7-11 6.6% 2.5% 2.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.5
6-12 4.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6
5-13 3.4% 1.0% 1.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 2.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.0
3-15 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.6% 15.6% 1.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.4 3.8 4.3 3.3 1.8 0.5 83.4 1.2%