IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.1	#322
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.0	#283
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.8	#335

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#272

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	13.3%	18.3%	11.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	31.6%	50.8%	23.8%
.500 or above in Conference	70.9%	81.1%	66.7%
Conference Champion	17.9%	26.0%	14.6%
Last Place in Conference	5.3%	2.4%	6.5%

First Four	11.7%	14.6%	10.5%
First Round	6.9%	10.4%	5.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Away) - 29.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 9	12 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2019	290	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	64-70	29%
Nov 11, 2019	340	South Carolina Upstate	W	72-66	69%
Nov 15, 2019	132	@ Akron	L	56-71	8%
Nov 17, 2019	6	@ Louisville	L	52-84	0.2%
Nov 19, 2019	225	@ Youngstown St.	L	66-76	19%
Nov 26, 2019	207	@ Southern Illinois	L	60-70	19%
Dec 02, 2019	107	@ Wofford	L	59-76	7%
Dec 04, 2019	62	@ Georgia	L	59-81	3%
Dec 07, 2019	194	@ Charleston Southern	L	63-74	17%
Dec 14, 2019	172	@ Coastal Carolina	L	65-77	14%
Dec 17, 2019	116	@ Louisiana Tech	L	57-74	7%
Jan 04, 2020	341	Florida A&M	W	65-59	71%
Jan 11, 2020	349	@ Delaware St.	W	53-51	58%
Jan 13, 2020	350	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	48-45	60%
Jan 18, 2020	326	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	69-72	41%
Jan 20, 2020	341	@ Florida A&M	W	63-62	51%
Jan 25, 2020	349	Delaware St.	W	56-48	75%
Feb 01, 2020	323	South Carolina St.	W	71-68	60%
Feb 03, 2020	318	Norfolk St.	W	69-66	59%
Feb 08, 2020	348	@ Coppin St.	W	70-69	55%
Feb 10, 2020	329	@ Morgan St.	L	71-73	42%
Feb 15, 2020	325	@ N.C. A&T	L	64-67	41%
Feb 22, 2020	350	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	51-42	77%
Feb 24, 2020	337	Howard	W	75-70	66%
Feb 29, 2020	323	@ South Carolina St.	L	68-71	41%
Mar 02, 2020	326	Bethune-Cookman	W	72-69	61%
Mar 05, 2020	325	N.C. A&T	W	67-64	60%
Projected Record						11 - 16	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.2	1.5	3.9	5.2	4.3	2.1	0.7		17.9	1st
2nd										0.2	2.2	5.2	4.5	1.9	0.4	0.0			14.3	2nd
3rd									0.1	2.1	5.4	3.9	0.9	0.1					12.5	3rd
4th								0.0	1.4	5.1	3.8	0.8	0.0						11.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.8	4.3	3.9	0.6	0.0							9.7	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	3.2	4.0	0.8	0.0								8.4	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.9	4.0	1.2	0.0									7.3	7th
8th					0.2	1.4	3.3	1.4	0.1										6.4	8th
9th				0.1	1.1	2.5	1.6	0.1											5.4	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.7	1.2	0.2												4.1	10th
11th	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.0												2.8	11th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.0	3.5	5.5	7.4	9.6	11.1	12.3	12.1	11.4	9.4	7.2	4.6	2.1	0.7			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
15-1	99.9%	2.1		2.0	0.1
14-2	92.4%	4.3		3.6	0.6	0.0
13-3	73.2%	5.2		3.3	1.8	0.2	0.0
12-4	42.1%	3.9		1.5	1.7	0.6	0.1	0.0
11-5	12.8%	1.5		0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
10-6	1.7%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	17.9%	17.9		11.4	4.8	1.4	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.7%		59.3%	59.3%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.3
15-1	2.1%		50.0%	50.0%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.1
14-2	4.6%		38.5%	38.5%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.6	2.8
13-3	7.2%		30.4%	30.4%		16.0															0.0	0.0	2.2	5.0
12-4	9.4%		23.9%	23.9%		16.0															0.0	0.0	2.2	7.1
11-5	11.4%		18.8%	18.8%		16.0																	2.1	9.3
10-6	12.1%		12.3%	12.3%		16.0																	1.5	10.7
9-7	12.3%		8.2%	8.2%		16.0																	1.0	11.2
8-8	11.1%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																	0.5	10.6
7-9	9.6%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.3	9.3
6-10	7.4%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.1	7.2
5-11	5.5%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	5.4
4-12	3.5%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
3-13	2.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
2-14	0.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
1-15	0.3%																							0.3
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		13.3%	13.3%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.1	0.6	12.6	86.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%