Preseason Rankings
Pepperdine
West Coast
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#117
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.6#57
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#74
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#184
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 9.2% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.6% 5.6% 1.5%
Average Seed 10.6 10.4 11.2
.500 or above 72.5% 83.1% 60.6%
.500 or above in Conference 60.9% 68.5% 52.4%
Conference Champion 3.2% 4.4% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 2.8% 5.6%
First Four1.8% 2.7% 0.8%
First Round5.6% 7.9% 3.0%
Second Round1.8% 2.7% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Away) - 52.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 32 - 8
Quad 35 - 37 - 11
Quad 410 - 217 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 166   @ California W 76-75 53%    
  Nov 09, 2019 106   UC Irvine W 75-73 59%    
  Nov 12, 2019 208   @ Cal St. Northridge W 85-82 62%    
  Nov 16, 2019 286   @ Abilene Christian W 76-69 76%    
  Nov 19, 2019 64   @ USC L 77-85 25%    
  Nov 23, 2019 280   Sacramento St. W 82-69 88%    
  Nov 28, 2019 31   Arizona L 72-81 22%    
  Dec 06, 2019 335   Idaho St. W 87-69 95%    
  Dec 14, 2019 284   Central Arkansas W 89-76 88%    
  Dec 17, 2019 270   Portland St. W 87-74 86%    
  Dec 21, 2019 278   Northern Arizona W 86-73 87%    
  Dec 28, 2019 330   @ San Jose St. W 84-73 84%    
  Jan 02, 2020 247   Pacific W 78-67 83%    
  Jan 04, 2020 8   @ Gonzaga L 73-90 8%    
  Jan 11, 2020 164   @ San Diego W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 16, 2020 149   Loyola Marymount W 73-67 68%    
  Jan 18, 2020 19   St. Mary's L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 23, 2020 128   @ Santa Clara L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 25, 2020 285   Portland W 82-69 86%    
  Jan 30, 2020 67   @ BYU L 80-88 27%    
  Feb 01, 2020 149   @ Loyola Marymount L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 06, 2020 128   Santa Clara W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 08, 2020 247   @ Pacific W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 13, 2020 164   San Diego W 77-70 71%    
  Feb 15, 2020 8   Gonzaga L 76-87 19%    
  Feb 20, 2020 285   @ Portland W 79-72 73%    
  Feb 22, 2020 111   @ San Francisco L 75-78 39%    
  Feb 29, 2020 67   BYU L 83-85 45%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.3 3.6 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.8 5.5 2.3 0.3 15.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.7 7.0 5.3 1.3 0.0 17.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.8 7.1 4.0 0.7 0.0 16.0 5th
6th 0.4 3.7 6.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.8 2.1 0.2 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.0 0.7 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.9 7.3 10.4 12.4 14.1 13.3 12.5 9.1 6.4 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 96.5% 0.4    0.4 0.1
14-2 75.2% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.0
13-3 30.2% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-4 7.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 100.0% 22.1% 77.9% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-1 0.4% 85.2% 25.4% 59.8% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 80.2%
14-2 1.5% 70.5% 19.3% 51.2% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 63.4%
13-3 3.5% 45.2% 13.5% 31.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.9 36.7%
12-4 6.4% 22.6% 9.3% 13.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.0 14.6%
11-5 9.1% 9.8% 6.0% 3.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.2 4.1%
10-6 12.5% 4.3% 3.4% 0.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.9%
9-7 13.3% 1.9% 1.8% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.0 0.1%
8-8 14.1% 1.2% 1.2% 13.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.9
7-9 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
6-10 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3
5-11 7.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
4-12 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 4.9
3-13 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-14 1.2% 1.2
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.5% 3.0% 3.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 93.5 3.6%