IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.3	#72
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.9	#207
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.0	#91

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.4	#60

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.5%	1.0%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	2.3%	4.2%	1.0%
Top 6 Seed	5.7%	9.9%	3.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	21.8%	33.7%	14.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	21.3%	32.8%	14.1%
Average Seed	8.2	7.9	8.5

.500 or above	53.6%	70.9%	42.9%
.500 or above in Conference	26.7%	41.9%	17.2%
Conference Champion	0.5%	1.0%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	12.6%	4.8%	17.4%

First Four	3.3%	4.3%	2.7%
First Round	20.1%	31.4%	13.0%
Second Round	10.8%	17.5%	6.6%
Sweet Sixteen	3.7%	6.2%	2.1%
Elite Eight	1.4%	2.4%	0.8%
Final Four	0.5%	0.8%	0.3%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

Next Game: Florida St. (Home) - 38.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 4	6 - 14
Quad 3	4 - 1	10 - 15
Quad 4	6 - 0	16 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	18	Florida St.	L	69-72	38%
Nov 09, 2019	309	Nicholls St.	W	82-63	96%
Nov 12, 2019	273	@ Robert Morris	W	72-61	84%
Nov 15, 2019	46	West Virginia	W	75-74	50%
Nov 18, 2019	239	Monmouth	W	76-61	90%
Nov 21, 2019	343	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	78-54	98%
Nov 25, 2019	50	Kansas St.	L	62-64	41%
Dec 03, 2019	66	Rutgers	W	70-68	57%
Dec 06, 2019	6	@ Louisville	L	63-77	11%
Dec 16, 2019	147	Northern Illinois	W	74-65	79%
Dec 20, 2019	339	Binghamton	W	79-56	98%
Dec 30, 2019	295	Canisius	W	80-62	94%
Jan 04, 2020	91	Wake Forest	W	73-68	66%
Jan 08, 2020	5	@ North Carolina	L	73-87	11%
Jan 12, 2020	63	@ Miami (FL)	L	68-72	35%
Jan 14, 2020	6	Louisville	L	66-74	24%
Jan 18, 2020	5	North Carolina	L	76-84	24%
Jan 22, 2020	101	Boston College	W	73-67	70%
Jan 25, 2020	59	@ Syracuse	L	65-70	35%
Jan 28, 2020	3	@ Duke	L	69-84	10%
Feb 02, 2020	63	Miami (FL)	W	71-69	55%
Feb 05, 2020	41	@ Notre Dame	L	65-72	29%
Feb 08, 2020	75	Georgia Tech	W	70-67	61%
Feb 12, 2020	81	Clemson	W	68-64	62%
Feb 15, 2020	85	@ Virginia Tech	L	65-67	43%
Feb 18, 2020	18	@ Florida St.	L	66-75	23%
Feb 22, 2020	10	Virginia	L	57-63	30%
Feb 26, 2020	59	Syracuse	W	68-67	54%
Feb 29, 2020	22	@ North Carolina St.	L	73-81	25%
Mar 04, 2020	75	@ Georgia Tech	L	67-70	41%
Projected Record						15 - 15	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st															0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.5	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0				1.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0					2.0	3rd
4th											0.0	0.2	0.8	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0						3.0	4th
5th										0.0	0.2	1.2	1.9	1.0	0.2	0.0							4.4	5th
6th									0.0	0.2	1.5	2.7	1.4	0.2	0.0								6.0	6th
7th									0.1	1.5	3.1	1.9	0.4	0.0									7.0	7th
8th								0.1	1.2	3.6	2.9	0.6	0.0										8.4	8th
9th							0.0	1.0	3.9	3.6	0.9	0.1											9.4	9th
10th						0.0	0.9	3.9	4.0	1.3	0.1												10.3	10th
11th					0.0	0.7	3.4	4.4	1.5	0.1	0.0												10.1	11th
12th				0.0	0.6	3.2	4.5	2.0	0.2	0.0													10.6	12th
13th		0.0	0.0	0.7	2.8	4.3	2.4	0.2	0.0														10.5	13th
14th		0.1	1.0	2.6	3.7	1.8	0.3	0.0															9.5	14th
15th	0.4	1.3	2.3	2.2	1.0	0.1	0.0																7.2	15th

Total	0.4	1.4	3.3	5.5	8.1	10.2	11.5	11.7	11.0	10.3	8.7	6.7	4.6	3.1	1.8	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	84.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
17-3	66.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	30.7%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	7.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	50.0%	50.0%	1.5		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	27.2%	72.8%	1.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.2%		100.0%	21.7%	78.3%	2.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	0.6%		100.0%	13.2%	86.8%	3.3		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	1.0%		99.2%	6.2%	93.0%	4.5		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.2%
14-6	1.8%		99.5%	6.7%	92.8%	5.5			0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.4%
13-7	3.1%		97.8%	4.8%	92.9%	6.7		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.7	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.1		97.6%
12-8	4.6%		88.6%	2.0%	86.7%	8.1				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0				0.5		88.4%
11-9	6.7%		71.3%	1.2%	70.1%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.0	0.8	1.0	0.2	0.0				1.9		70.9%
10-10	8.7%		46.7%	0.9%	45.8%	10.1				0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.9	1.2	0.6	0.0	0.0			4.6		46.2%
9-11	10.3%		17.5%	0.1%	17.4%	10.5							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.0				8.5		17.4%
8-12	11.0%		3.9%	0.0%	3.9%	10.8								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				10.5		3.9%
7-13	11.7%		0.7%	0.1%	0.6%	10.6								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				11.6		0.6%
6-14	11.5%		0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	11.1												0.0	0.0					11.5		0.1%
5-15	10.2%																							10.2
4-16	8.1%		0.0%	0.0%		13.0														0.0				8.1
3-17	5.5%																							5.5
2-18	3.3%																							3.3
1-19	1.4%																							1.4
0-20	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		21.8%	0.7%	21.1%	8.2		0.1	0.3	0.8	1.0	1.4	2.1	2.5	2.9	2.9	2.8	3.6	1.4	0.1	0.0			78.2		21.3%