IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.2	#272
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.6	#82
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#266

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#263

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.2%	2.3%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	14.9	15.3

.500 or above	29.4%	31.4%	10.1%
.500 or above in Conference	37.9%	39.6%	21.0%
Conference Champion	1.7%	1.8%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	12.5%	11.4%	24.0%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%
First Round	2.1%	2.2%	0.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Home) - 91.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 11
Quad 4	10 - 6	12 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	352	Alabama A&M	W	75-61	91%
Nov 09, 2019	235	@ Chattanooga	L	70-75	32%
Nov 12, 2019	177	Lipscomb	L	79-81	42%
Nov 21, 2019	13	@ Texas Tech	L	58-83	1%
Nov 25, 2019	77	@ San Diego St.	L	64-80	8%
Nov 28, 2019	327	Cal Poly	W	74-70	64%
Dec 06, 2019	351	Chicago St.	W	84-70	89%
Dec 10, 2019	220	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	72-78	30%
Dec 15, 2019	233	@ Fordham	L	65-70	32%
Dec 18, 2019	158	@ Indiana St.	L	71-80	21%
Jan 02, 2020	255	Eastern Illinois	W	75-73	57%
Jan 04, 2020	324	SIU Edwardsville	W	80-73	73%
Jan 09, 2020	258	@ Tennessee Martin	L	75-79	37%
Jan 11, 2020	294	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	74-76	45%
Jan 16, 2020	264	Morehead St.	W	75-73	58%
Jan 18, 2020	274	Eastern Kentucky	W	87-84	61%
Jan 23, 2020	211	@ Austin Peay	L	74-80	30%
Jan 25, 2020	119	@ Murray St.	L	69-81	15%
Jan 30, 2020	216	@ Jacksonville St.	L	69-75	31%
Feb 01, 2020	310	@ Tennessee Tech	L	72-73	49%
Feb 06, 2020	211	Austin Peay	L	76-77	49%
Feb 08, 2020	119	Murray St.	L	72-78	30%
Feb 13, 2020	80	@ Belmont	L	72-88	9%
Feb 15, 2020	310	Tennessee Tech	W	75-69	68%
Feb 20, 2020	274	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	84-87	41%
Feb 22, 2020	264	@ Morehead St.	L	72-76	39%
Feb 27, 2020	216	Jacksonville St.	L	71-72	50%
Feb 29, 2020	80	Belmont	L	75-85	20%
Projected Record						12 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.1	1.5	1.2	0.4	0.0				4.5	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.5	2.2	2.3	1.4	0.2	0.0					6.7	3rd
4th									0.0	0.6	2.7	3.1	1.3	0.2	0.0						7.9	4th
5th								0.0	0.7	3.2	3.8	1.5	0.1	0.0							9.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.4	3.2	4.4	1.6	0.2									9.8	6th
7th							0.3	3.0	5.2	1.9	0.2	0.0									10.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.6	5.6	2.4	0.3	0.0										11.1	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.4	4.9	2.9	0.3	0.0											10.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	2.4	4.3	3.1	0.5	0.0												10.7	10th
11th		0.1	0.7	2.3	3.6	2.2	0.5	0.0													9.4	11th
12th	0.3	1.3	2.4	2.2	1.1	0.3	0.0														7.6	12th

Total	0.3	1.3	3.1	4.9	7.4	9.4	11.4	12.4	11.8	10.5	8.8	7.2	4.9	3.3	1.7	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	92.6%	0.3		0.2	0.1
15-3	58.8%	0.6		0.3	0.3	0.0
14-4	20.6%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	7.5%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.9%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		36.2%	31.9%	4.3%	13.4										0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0			0.0		6.3%
17-1	0.1%		43.4%	42.9%	0.5%	12.7										0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		0.9%
16-2	0.4%		42.7%	42.7%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	1.0%		27.6%	27.6%		13.8													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.7
14-4	1.7%		21.0%	21.0%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	1.4
13-5	3.3%		12.3%	12.3%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.9
12-6	4.9%		7.1%	7.1%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	4.6
11-7	7.2%		4.0%	4.0%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.2	6.9
10-8	8.8%		1.7%	1.7%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	8.6
9-9	10.5%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.4
8-10	11.8%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	11.8
7-11	12.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
6-12	11.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
5-13	9.4%																							9.4
4-14	7.4%																							7.4
3-15	4.9%																							4.9
2-16	3.1%																							3.1
1-17	1.3%																							1.3
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		2.2%	2.2%	0.0%	14.9										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.7	97.8		0.0%