IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.9	#310
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.5	#131
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.6	#333

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#242

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	2.5%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.9	15.1

.500 or above	9.8%	32.1%	8.9%
.500 or above in Conference	24.5%	47.2%	23.6%
Conference Champion	0.8%	1.9%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	23.2%	8.8%	23.7%

First Four	0.1%	0.8%	0.1%
First Round	0.6%	2.5%	0.5%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Away) - 3.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 7	2 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 9	9 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	76	@ Western Kentucky	L	62-81	4%
Nov 12, 2019	103	Wright St.	L	62-72	17%
Nov 15, 2019	212	Appalachian St.	L	73-79	29%
Nov 16, 2019	96	@ UNC Greensboro	L	60-76	7%
Nov 17, 2019	279	Montana St.	L	75-77	42%
Nov 21, 2019	218	@ Winthrop	L	72-81	22%
Nov 25, 2019	177	Lipscomb	L	74-79	33%
Dec 08, 2019	217	@ Ohio	L	66-75	22%
Dec 17, 2019	177	@ Lipscomb	L	71-82	18%
Dec 21, 2019	215	Western Carolina	L	73-76	40%
Dec 29, 2019	51	@ Mississippi	L	61-83	3%
Jan 02, 2020	274	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	79-85	32%
Jan 04, 2020	264	@ Morehead St.	L	68-74	30%
Jan 09, 2020	211	Austin Peay	L	72-75	40%
Jan 11, 2020	119	Murray St.	L	68-77	22%
Jan 16, 2020	324	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	72-74	45%
Jan 18, 2020	255	@ Eastern Illinois	L	67-74	29%
Jan 23, 2020	264	Morehead St.	L	70-71	49%
Jan 25, 2020	274	Eastern Kentucky	W	82-81	51%
Jan 30, 2020	80	Belmont	L	70-83	14%
Feb 01, 2020	272	Tennessee St.	W	73-72	51%
Feb 06, 2020	258	@ Tennessee Martin	L	71-78	30%
Feb 08, 2020	294	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	70-74	36%
Feb 13, 2020	216	Jacksonville St.	L	67-70	41%
Feb 15, 2020	272	@ Tennessee St.	L	69-75	32%
Feb 20, 2020	258	Tennessee Martin	L	74-75	48%
Feb 22, 2020	294	Southeast Missouri St.	W	73-71	56%
Feb 27, 2020	80	@ Belmont	L	67-86	6%
Feb 29, 2020	216	@ Jacksonville St.	L	64-73	24%
Projected Record						9 - 20	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0				1.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	1.2	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0					3.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	1.9	2.1	0.8	0.1							5.4	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	2.5	2.5	0.9	0.1	0.0							6.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	2.6	3.5	1.1	0.1	0.0								7.7	6th
7th							0.3	2.6	4.4	1.7	0.1										9.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.7	5.1	2.1	0.2											10.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	2.7	5.5	3.1	0.3	0.0											11.9	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	3.0	5.3	3.4	0.5	0.0												12.8	10th
11th		0.1	1.3	3.8	5.2	2.9	0.5	0.0													14.0	11th
12th	1.2	3.2	4.7	4.1	2.0	0.3	0.0														15.6	12th

Total	1.2	3.3	6.1	8.5	10.7	11.6	12.4	11.8	9.9	8.3	6.0	4.6	2.6	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	96.6%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	59.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	34.1%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	7.0%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.0%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																	0.0						0.0
17-1	0.0%		31.0%	31.0%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
16-2	0.1%		24.0%	24.0%		13.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-3	0.3%		11.0%	11.0%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
14-4	0.8%		13.1%	13.1%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
13-5	1.6%		6.1%	6.1%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.5
12-6	2.6%		5.3%	5.3%		15.1															0.0	0.1	0.0	2.5
11-7	4.6%		2.5%	2.5%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	4.5
10-8	6.0%		1.1%	1.1%		15.6																0.0	0.0	6.0
9-9	8.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																0.0	0.0	8.3
8-10	9.9%		0.3%	0.3%		15.8																0.0	0.0	9.9
7-11	11.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.8
6-12	12.4%																							12.4
5-13	11.6%																							11.6
4-14	10.7%																							10.7
3-15	8.5%																							8.5
2-16	6.1%																							6.1
1-17	3.3%																							3.3
0-18	1.2%																							1.2

Total	100%		0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	15.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	99.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%