Ball St.
Mid-American
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#120
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#161
Pace68.2#201
Improvement-0.2#187

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#232
First Shot-0.9#210
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#281
Layup/Dunks-1.3#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#30
Freethrows-0.9#237
Improvement-0.7#214

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#41
First Shot+4.7#49
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#99
Layups/Dunks+0.4#155
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#36
Freethrows+1.7#65
Improvement+0.5#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 12 - 2
Quad 37 - 89 - 10
Quad 48 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 279   @ Evansville L 75-79 75%     0 - 1 -7.6 -3.1 -4.3
  Nov 13, 2019 193   @ Illinois-Chicago W 67-48 58%     1 - 1 +20.4 +5.2 +17.2
  Nov 17, 2019 128   Indiana St. W 69-55 52%     2 - 1 +16.8 +2.4 +15.4
  Nov 20, 2019 145   Northern Kentucky L 57-59 69%     2 - 2 -3.6 -15.9 +12.3
  Nov 23, 2019 349   Howard W 100-69 98%     3 - 2 +9.7 +23.6 -10.8
  Nov 26, 2019 334   Western Illinois L 62-69 95%     3 - 3 -21.9 -23.0 +1.4
  Dec 03, 2019 106   Loyola Chicago L 58-70 57%     3 - 4 -10.5 -12.6 +2.1
  Dec 07, 2019 329   IUPUI W 102-54 94%     4 - 4 +33.6 +16.7 +16.0
  Dec 18, 2019 58   @ Georgia Tech W 65-47 22%     5 - 4 +29.6 -1.7 +30.5
  Dec 22, 2019 56   Washington L 64-85 30%     5 - 5 -12.2 -0.6 -12.2
  Dec 23, 2019 188   UTEP L 70-71 67%     5 - 6 -2.2 -2.2 +0.0
  Dec 25, 2019 297   Portland W 61-46 85%     6 - 6 +7.2 -9.8 +17.9
  Jan 03, 2020 154   Toledo W 61-57 70%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +1.9 -13.0 +15.0
  Jan 07, 2020 141   Buffalo W 88-68 68%     8 - 6 2 - 0 +18.7 +8.2 +9.2
  Jan 10, 2020 90   @ Akron L 60-75 30%     8 - 7 2 - 1 -6.1 -7.2 +0.7
  Jan 14, 2020 200   @ Eastern Michigan W 69-52 59%     9 - 7 3 - 1 +18.0 +0.6 +17.3
  Jan 18, 2020 213   Miami (OH) W 71-62 81%     10 - 7 4 - 1 +3.3 +2.9 +1.5
  Jan 25, 2020 215   @ Central Michigan L 66-71 62%     10 - 8 4 - 2 -4.8 -14.8 +10.5
  Jan 28, 2020 167   @ Bowling Green L 61-67 50%     10 - 9 4 - 3 -2.7 -12.1 +9.5
  Feb 01, 2020 158   Ohio W 65-54 71%     11 - 9 5 - 3 +8.6 -10.3 +18.7
  Feb 04, 2020 124   @ Kent St. W 62-54 40%     12 - 9 6 - 3 +13.9 -7.2 +21.3
  Feb 08, 2020 234   @ Western Michigan L 64-68 66%     12 - 10 6 - 4 -5.0 -1.4 -4.1
  Feb 11, 2020 175   Northern Illinois W 63-59 74%     13 - 10 7 - 4 +0.6 -4.1 +5.1
  Feb 15, 2020 167   Bowling Green L 71-77 72%     13 - 11 7 - 5 -8.7 -9.9 +1.6
  Feb 18, 2020 141   @ Buffalo L 59-72 45%     13 - 12 7 - 6 -8.3 -13.2 +5.2
  Feb 22, 2020 200   Eastern Michigan W 64-55 79%     14 - 12 8 - 6 +4.0 +7.2 -1.3
  Feb 25, 2020 234   Western Michigan W 71-61 84%     15 - 12 9 - 6 +3.0 -6.5 +9.3
  Feb 29, 2020 154   @ Toledo L 63-69 48%     15 - 13 9 - 7 -2.1 -11.6 +9.6
  Mar 03, 2020 215   Central Michigan W 85-68 81%     16 - 13 10 - 7 +11.1 +5.7 +5.0
  Mar 06, 2020 175   @ Northern Illinois W 75-54 53%     17 - 13 11 - 7 +23.6 +10.5 +14.7
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%