UNC Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#303
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#296
Pace69.2#168
Improvement+2.6#79

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#334
First Shot-5.1#314
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#300
Layup/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#299
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement-0.1#184

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#216
First Shot-0.6#194
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#237
Layups/Dunks-2.2#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#159
Freethrows+0.7#134
Improvement+2.8#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 84 - 13
Quad 43 - 97 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 68   North Carolina L 62-78 12%     0 - 1 -11.3 -15.4 +5.7
  Nov 12, 2019 271   Campbell W 81-76 OT 55%     1 - 1 -4.3 +2.2 -6.6
  Nov 16, 2019 74   @ Davidson L 49-87 6%     1 - 2 -27.9 -18.9 -11.3
  Nov 22, 2019 310   Cleveland St. L 46-47 52%     1 - 3 -9.5 -25.3 +15.7
  Nov 23, 2019 150   Florida International W 66-63 19%     2 - 3 +4.2 -12.0 +15.9
  Nov 29, 2019 77   @ Boise St. L 59-80 6%     2 - 4 -11.2 -8.4 -3.0
  Dec 01, 2019 50   @ Stanford L 54-72 4%     2 - 5 -5.6 -3.6 -3.7
  Dec 07, 2019 171   Charlotte L 57-76 32%     2 - 6 -22.1 -11.9 -11.2
  Dec 16, 2019 187   Mercer L 63-72 36%     2 - 7 -13.2 -10.2 -3.2
  Dec 21, 2019 151   @ Vanderbilt L 73-88 13%     2 - 8 -10.8 -3.2 -6.7
  Dec 28, 2019 184   @ Delaware L 68-82 17%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -11.8 -0.6 -12.4
  Dec 30, 2019 243   @ Drexel L 66-71 27%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -6.6 -7.2 +0.5
  Jan 02, 2020 305   James Madison L 60-64 62%     2 - 11 0 - 3 -15.1 -18.7 +3.5
  Jan 04, 2020 165   Towson L 60-67 30%     2 - 12 0 - 4 -9.6 -14.0 +4.2
  Jan 09, 2020 194   @ William & Mary L 63-79 19%     2 - 13 0 - 5 -14.7 -9.8 -5.1
  Jan 11, 2020 270   @ Elon L 63-80 32%     2 - 14 0 - 6 -20.1 -11.8 -8.8
  Jan 16, 2020 112   Hofstra L 61-63 20%     2 - 15 0 - 7 -1.0 -5.8 +4.6
  Jan 18, 2020 147   Northeastern W 76-74 OT 27%     3 - 15 1 - 7 +0.4 -2.7 +3.0
  Jan 25, 2020 163   @ College of Charleston W 72-70 14%     4 - 15 2 - 7 +5.4 -2.0 +7.4
  Jan 30, 2020 165   @ Towson L 66-77 14%     4 - 16 2 - 8 -7.6 -4.3 -3.8
  Feb 01, 2020 305   @ James Madison L 66-83 39%     4 - 17 2 - 9 -22.0 -15.0 -6.0
  Feb 06, 2020 270   Elon L 56-62 54%     4 - 18 2 - 10 -15.2 -23.0 +7.8
  Feb 08, 2020 194   William & Mary W 70-64 37%     5 - 18 3 - 10 +1.3 -2.4 +4.1
  Feb 13, 2020 147   @ Northeastern L 63-71 13%     5 - 19 3 - 11 -3.6 -9.0 +5.4
  Feb 15, 2020 112   @ Hofstra L 64-78 9%     5 - 20 3 - 12 -7.0 -1.0 -7.4
  Feb 22, 2020 163   College of Charleston W 68-55 30%     6 - 20 4 - 12 +10.4 -9.6 +19.7
  Feb 27, 2020 243   Drexel W 76-65 49%     7 - 20 5 - 12 +3.3 +1.9 +1.9
  Feb 29, 2020 184   Delaware L 65-82 34%     7 - 21 5 - 13 -20.9 -13.5 -7.0
  Mar 07, 2020 243   Drexel L 55-66 37%     7 - 22 -15.7 -16.4 -0.1
Projected Record 7 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%