Virginia Commonwealth
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#73
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#98
Pace70.7#130
Improvement-5.8#345

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#136
First Shot+0.6#156
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#100
Layup/Dunks+2.8#68
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#119
Freethrows+0.0#178
Improvement-1.6#267

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#46
First Shot+4.7#50
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#108
Layups/Dunks+0.0#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#7
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#49
Freethrows-1.0#255
Improvement-4.2#340
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 8
Quad 22 - 33 - 11
Quad 37 - 110 - 12
Quad 48 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 181   St. Francis (PA) W 72-58 85%     1 - 0 +10.2 -12.3 +21.4
  Nov 08, 2019 85   North Texas W 59-56 65%     2 - 0 +6.1 -6.7 +13.3
  Nov 13, 2019 36   LSU W 84-82 46%     3 - 0 +10.2 +0.3 +9.7
  Nov 17, 2019 277   Jacksonville St. W 93-65 93%     4 - 0 +18.5 +6.6 +8.8
  Nov 23, 2019 298   Florida Gulf Coast W 78-48 94%     5 - 0 +19.2 +1.5 +17.0
  Nov 25, 2019 337   Alabama St. W 78-62 97%     6 - 0 +0.6 +4.3 -3.3
  Nov 29, 2019 24   Purdue L 56-59 28%     6 - 1 +10.1 -6.4 +16.4
  Nov 30, 2019 61   Tennessee L 69-72 45%     6 - 2 +5.3 +5.4 -0.3
  Dec 07, 2019 168   Old Dominion W 69-57 83%     7 - 2 +9.2 -2.5 +11.7
  Dec 15, 2019 119   Missouri St. W 61-51 74%     8 - 2 +10.4 -8.1 +19.1
  Dec 18, 2019 163   @ College of Charleston W 76-71 64%     9 - 2 +8.4 +5.8 +2.8
  Dec 21, 2019 39   @ Wichita St. L 63-73 27%     9 - 3 +3.6 -2.7 +6.7
  Dec 29, 2019 266   Loyola Maryland W 85-51 93%     10 - 3 +25.0 +7.7 +18.0
  Jan 02, 2020 237   Fordham W 64-46 90%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +10.7 +1.5 +11.2
  Jan 05, 2020 169   @ George Mason W 72-59 65%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +16.1 +0.7 +15.2
  Jan 11, 2020 70   Rhode Island L 56-65 61%     12 - 4 2 - 1 -4.6 -13.6 +9.1
  Jan 14, 2020 6   @ Dayton L 65-79 13%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +5.3 -2.3 +7.9
  Jan 18, 2020 126   St. Bonaventure W 91-63 76%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +27.8 +13.5 +13.3
  Jan 21, 2020 257   @ Saint Joseph's W 73-60 82%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +10.4 -6.2 +16.1
  Jan 25, 2020 180   @ La Salle W 76-65 68%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +13.3 +6.6 +6.8
  Jan 28, 2020 52   Richmond W 87-68 54%     16 - 5 6 - 2 +25.1 +13.5 +10.8
  Jan 31, 2020 70   @ Rhode Island L 75-87 38%     16 - 6 6 - 3 -1.6 +8.9 -10.5
  Feb 07, 2020 74   Davidson W 73-62 62%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +15.0 +1.1 +14.3
  Feb 12, 2020 169   George Mason L 67-72 83%     17 - 7 7 - 4 -7.9 -6.5 -1.4
  Feb 15, 2020 52   @ Richmond L 59-77 31%     17 - 8 7 - 5 -5.8 -9.7 +4.5
  Feb 18, 2020 6   Dayton L 61-66 28%     17 - 9 7 - 6 +8.3 -0.2 +7.8
  Feb 21, 2020 69   @ Saint Louis L 62-80 37%     17 - 10 7 - 7 -7.3 -4.1 -3.2
  Feb 26, 2020 161   @ Massachusetts L 52-60 64%     17 - 11 7 - 8 -4.5 -15.1 +9.9
  Feb 29, 2020 230   George Washington W 75-51 90%     18 - 11 8 - 8 +17.1 +7.5 +12.4
  Mar 03, 2020 103   Duquesne L 77-80 OT 70%     18 - 12 8 - 9 -1.3 +0.6 -1.7
  Mar 06, 2020 74   @ Davidson L 65-75 39%     18 - 13 8 - 10 +0.1 +3.7 -5.1
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%