Pre-tourney Rankings
Big South
2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
102 Winthrop 100.0%   12   23 - 1 17 - 1 23 - 1 17 - 1 +5.2      +1.6 125 +3.6 74 80.6 10 +11.6 45 +8.0 1
198 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   11 - 15 10 - 10 11 - 15 10 - 10 -2.6      +0.9 148 -3.5 269 66.1 252 -7.1 268 -7.4 6
230 Campbell 0.0%   15 - 10 11 - 6 15 - 10 11 - 6 -4.5      0.0 175 -4.5 287 61.6 328 -2.6 204 -3.1 4
241 UNC Asheville 0.0%   10 - 10 9 - 5 10 - 10 9 - 5 -5.1      -1.2 206 -3.9 282 70.6 141 -5.9 245 -1.5 2
244 Radford 0.0%   13 - 12 12 - 6 13 - 12 12 - 6 -5.3      -3.5 259 -1.8 219 60.8 335 -4.6 226 -2.5 3
249 Longwood 0.0%   12 - 15 10 - 10 12 - 15 10 - 10 -5.7      -3.6 263 -2.1 227 63.3 305 -7.0 265 -7.2 5
286 High Point 0.0%   9 - 15 6 - 11 9 - 15 6 - 11 -8.3      -4.5 275 -3.8 278 65.4 265 -8.8 294 -10.8 9
315 South Carolina Upstate 0.0%   5 - 17 5 - 11 5 - 17 5 - 11 -10.7      -5.8 296 -4.9 300 70.4 146 -11.7 322 -10.2 8
318 Presbyterian 0.0%   6 - 15 5 - 12 6 - 15 5 - 12 -11.3      -8.3 330 -2.9 254 63.9 301 -12.4 324 -11.6 10
319 Hampton 0.0%   11 - 14 9 - 9 11 - 14 9 - 9 -11.3      -4.9 284 -6.5 320 74.3 68 -8.5 288 -7.7 7
330 Charleston Southern 0.0%   2 - 18 2 - 15 2 - 18 2 - 15 -13.0      -8.3 329 -4.7 293 71.3 119 -18.1 339 -17.2 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Winthrop 1.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 4.0 100.0
Campbell 3.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 6.0 100.0
Radford 2.0 100.0
Longwood 4.0 100.0
High Point 8.0 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 9.0 100.0
Presbyterian 9.0 100.0
Hampton 6.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Winthrop 17 - 3 100.0
Gardner-Webb 10 - 10 100.0
Campbell 11 - 9 100.0
UNC Asheville 9 - 11 100.0
Radford 12 - 8 100.0
Longwood 10 - 10 100.0
High Point 6 - 14 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 5 - 15 100.0
Presbyterian 5 - 15 100.0
Hampton 9 - 11 100.0
Charleston Southern 2 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Winthrop 100.0% 100.0
Gardner-Webb
Campbell
UNC Asheville
Radford
Longwood
High Point
South Carolina Upstate
Presbyterian
Hampton
Charleston Southern


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Winthrop 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.1 2.3 47.5 49.1 1.0
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Winthrop 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 17.3% 4.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 17.3% 0.2 82.7 17.3
Sweet Sixteen 4.1% 0.0 95.9 4.1
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0