Pre-tourney Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#203
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#207
Pace58.5#345
Improvement+1.1#132

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#286
First Shot-5.9#309
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#107
Layup/Dunks-5.2#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#128
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#134
Freethrows-2.2#310
Improvement-0.6#206

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#117
First Shot-0.6#186
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#15
Layups/Dunks-3.2#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#283
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#26
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement+1.7#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four31.6% n/a n/a
First Round83.1% n/a n/a
Second Round1.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 3
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 49 - 113 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 227   @ Morgan St. W 62-55 48%     1 - 0 +4.5 -10.0 +14.8
  Nov 28, 2020 141   Navy L 67-73 34%     1 - 1 -4.8 +0.9 -6.3
  Nov 29, 2020 37   @ Maryland L 61-79 6%     1 - 2 -3.9 +5.7 -12.5
  Dec 05, 2020 53   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 42-60 9%     1 - 3 -6.1 -17.5 +9.6
  Dec 08, 2020 287   St. Francis (PA) W 75-57 75%     2 - 3 1 - 0 +7.8 +6.8 +3.2
  Jan 07, 2021 283   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 55-70 62%     2 - 4 1 - 1 -21.1 -23.6 +2.3
  Jan 08, 2021 283   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 55-67 62%     2 - 5 1 - 2 -18.1 -22.3 +3.8
  Jan 14, 2021 263   Merrimack W 77-57 71%     3 - 5 2 - 2 +11.3 +3.5 +7.7
  Jan 15, 2021 263   Merrimack W 63-52 71%     4 - 5 3 - 2 +2.3 -4.2 +7.5
  Jan 21, 2021 334   @ Central Connecticut St. W 67-57 79%     5 - 5 4 - 2 -1.6 -3.6 +3.2
  Jan 22, 2021 334   @ Central Connecticut St. W 67-57 79%     6 - 5 5 - 2 -1.6 -3.6 +3.2
  Jan 30, 2021 304   Sacred Heart L 58-61 78%     6 - 6 5 - 3 -14.2 -11.2 -3.6
  Jan 31, 2021 304   Sacred Heart W 76-64 78%     7 - 6 6 - 3 +0.8 +8.7 -5.7
  Feb 11, 2021 253   LIU Brooklyn W 66-60 68%     8 - 6 7 - 3 -1.8 -8.4 +6.7
  Feb 12, 2021 253   LIU Brooklyn W 64-46 68%     9 - 6 8 - 3 +10.2 -1.3 +14.1
  Feb 16, 2021 214   Wagner L 39-61 59%     9 - 7 8 - 4 -27.4 -31.0 -0.5
  Feb 17, 2021 214   Wagner L 55-57 59%     9 - 8 8 - 5 -7.4 -6.1 -1.9
  Feb 20, 2021 271   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-76 OT 59%     9 - 9 8 - 6 -10.5 -9.5 -0.9
  Feb 21, 2021 271   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-61 59%     10 - 9 9 - 6 +7.5 -1.0 +9.2
  Feb 25, 2021 287   @ St. Francis (PA) W 72-65 OT 63%     11 - 9 10 - 6 +0.6 -7.7 +7.9
  Mar 06, 2021 214   @ Wagner W 66-60 44%     12 - 9 +4.4 -4.4 +9.2
  Mar 09, 2021 178   @ Bryant W 73-68 34%     13 - 9 +6.2 +1.1 +5.2
Projected Record 13 - 9 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.7 0.0 30.3 69.7
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 30.3 69.7