Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#316
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.8#147
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#330
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#260
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.8% 13.8% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 45.0% 72.1% 41.2%
.500 or above in Conference 11.4% 19.5% 10.3%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.8% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 6.1% 3.4% 6.5%
First Four7.5% 8.9% 7.3%
First Round4.5% 8.7% 3.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grand Canyon (Away) - 12.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 20 - 4
Quad 48 - 69 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 177   @ Grand Canyon L 65-77 13%    
  Nov 27, 2020 38   @ Arizona L 59-83 1%    
  Dec 06, 2020 14   @ Texas Tech L 55-83 1%    
  Dec 12, 2020 336   @ Incarnate Word W 69-68 53%    
  Dec 16, 2020 278   @ Louisiana Monroe L 62-69 28%    
  Dec 19, 2020 210   @ Tulane L 65-75 19%    
  Dec 23, 2020 319   SE Louisiana W 76-73 61%    
  Jan 02, 2021 344   @ Alabama St. W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 04, 2021 343   @ Alabama A&M W 69-65 62%    
  Jan 09, 2021 262   Southern L 68-69 45%    
  Jan 11, 2021 334   Alcorn St. W 76-70 71%    
  Jan 30, 2021 338   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 69-61 74%    
  Feb 06, 2021 262   @ Southern L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 08, 2021 334   @ Alcorn St. W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 27, 2021 338   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 66-64 55%    
  Mar 04, 2021 344   Alabama St. W 73-63 80%    
  Mar 06, 2021 343   Alabama A&M W 72-62 79%    
Projected Record 8 - 9 6 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 4.3 1.4 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 6.3 3.2 0.2 11.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.8 5.6 0.4 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.7 7.2 1.4 0.0 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.7 3.0 0.1 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.8 4.4 0.3 14.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.2 4.3 0.7 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 2.0 3.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.7 10th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.4 6.5 10.4 15.5 18.4 17.9 15.3 8.5 2.9 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 41.1% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
9-9 6.2% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 2.9% 31.8% 31.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0
9-9 8.5% 23.9% 23.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.8 6.5
8-10 15.3% 15.2% 15.2% 16.0 0.1 2.3 13.0
7-11 17.9% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8 16.1
6-12 18.4% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 1.2 17.2
5-13 15.5% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.5 15.0
4-14 10.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.3
3-15 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.4
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.1 0.4 8.3 91.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%