Preseason Rankings
Holy Cross
Patriot League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.6#335
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.0#173
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.2#321
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#335
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.6% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 5.5% 17.7% 2.8%
.500 or above in Conference 7.6% 23.8% 4.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 2.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 46.3% 19.8% 52.3%
First Four0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
First Round0.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 18.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 7
Quad 43 - 74 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 02, 2021 181   Boston University L 66-75 18%    
  Jan 03, 2021 181   @ Boston University L 63-78 9%    
  Jan 09, 2021 289   Army L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 10, 2021 289   @ Army L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 16, 2021 139   @ Colgate L 65-83 6%    
  Jan 17, 2021 139   @ Colgate L 65-83 6%    
  Jan 23, 2021 287   Lehigh L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 24, 2021 287   Lehigh L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 30, 2021 181   Boston University L 66-75 22%    
  Jan 31, 2021 181   @ Boston University L 63-78 11%    
  Feb 06, 2021 289   @ Army L 69-78 22%    
  Feb 07, 2021 289   Army L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 13, 2021 139   Colgate L 68-80 16%    
  Feb 14, 2021 139   Colgate L 68-80 17%    
  Feb 20, 2021 181   @ Boston University L 63-78 11%    
  Feb 21, 2021 181   Boston University L 66-75 23%    
Projected Record 3 - 13 3 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 3.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.9 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 2.8 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.2 1.6 3.6 2.8 0.4 0.0 8.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 4.3 3.3 0.6 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.0 4.5 1.1 0.1 12.8 8th
9th 0.5 3.3 7.0 5.9 1.9 0.1 0.0 18.7 9th
10th 9.8 12.5 8.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 32.9 10th
Total 10.3 16.0 17.2 15.1 12.5 9.3 7.1 4.8 3.4 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 72.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1
12-4 28.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 23.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 11.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 2.9% 2.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.2% 17.2% 17.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.2% 15.3% 15.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.7% 14.4% 14.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.6
10-6 1.0% 7.1% 7.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.9
9-7 2.1% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.0
8-8 3.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.3
7-9 4.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.7
6-10 7.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.1
5-11 9.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.2
4-12 12.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.5
3-13 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.1
2-14 17.2% 17.2
1-15 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
0-16 10.3% 10.3
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.0%