Preseason Rankings
Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#300
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.9#143
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#328
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#206
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.1% 17.6% 12.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 42.0% 61.7% 31.3%
.500 or above in Conference 18.4% 24.9% 14.8%
Conference Champion 2.9% 4.0% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.9% 1.4% 3.7%
First Four11.6% 12.7% 11.0%
First Round8.1% 11.3% 6.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Neutral) - 35.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 21 - 6
Quad 49 - 59 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 219   Arkansas St. L 68-72 35%    
  Nov 26, 2020 61   @ Mississippi L 59-79 3%    
  Nov 27, 2020 285   Central Arkansas L 77-78 46%    
  Dec 02, 2020 277   @ North Alabama L 69-73 34%    
  Dec 08, 2020 72   @ Mississippi St. L 59-78 5%    
  Dec 15, 2020 109   @ Louisiana Tech L 61-76 9%    
  Dec 17, 2020 117   @ Bradley L 62-76 10%    
  Dec 20, 2020 71   @ Iowa St. L 64-83 5%    
  Jan 02, 2021 343   @ Alabama A&M W 69-63 69%    
  Jan 04, 2021 344   @ Alabama St. W 71-64 72%    
  Jan 09, 2021 334   Alcorn St. W 76-68 77%    
  Jan 11, 2021 262   Southern W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 01, 2021 338   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 69-59 79%    
  Feb 06, 2021 334   @ Alcorn St. W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 08, 2021 262   @ Southern L 65-70 34%    
  Mar 01, 2021 338   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 66-62 62%    
  Mar 04, 2021 343   Alabama A&M W 72-60 84%    
  Mar 06, 2021 344   Alabama St. W 74-61 85%    
Projected Record 8 - 10 7 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.1 2.9 1st
2nd 0.1 2.2 6.6 2.8 11.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 8.2 4.7 0.6 15.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 6.6 7.5 0.8 0.0 16.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.6 7.6 1.6 0.0 14.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.1 7.3 3.3 0.1 14.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.3 3.7 0.3 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.5 2.9 0.4 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.5 7.3 12.2 17.1 20.0 19.5 12.8 5.5 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 37.9% 2.1    0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0
9-9 5.9% 0.8    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Total 2.9% 2.9 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 5.5% 38.6% 38.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.4
9-9 12.8% 27.5% 27.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.2 9.3
8-10 19.5% 17.9% 17.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.3 16.1
7-11 20.0% 12.7% 12.7% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 17.4
6-12 17.1% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 1.6 15.6
5-13 12.2% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.7 11.5
4-14 7.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.2
3-15 3.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.5
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 14.1% 14.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 13.1 85.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%