IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Mississippi
Southeastern
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.2	#61
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.6	#190
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.2	#67

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.9	#57

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.9%	0.9%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	2.5%	2.6%	0.2%
Top 4 Seed	7.0%	7.2%	1.5%
Top 6 Seed	12.9%	13.3%	2.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid	40.4%	41.5%	11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	37.6%	38.7%	10.5%
Average Seed	7.7	7.7	8.3

.500 or above	73.4%	74.6%	39.2%
.500 or above in Conference	54.2%	55.1%	28.3%
Conference Champion	5.8%	5.9%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	6.9%	6.4%	18.0%

First Four	3.5%	3.6%	0.8%
First Round	38.6%	39.6%	11.1%
Second Round	21.1%	21.7%	5.6%
Sweet Sixteen	8.3%	8.5%	2.0%
Elite Eight	3.3%	3.4%	0.5%
Final Four	1.3%	1.3%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: Central Arkansas (Home) - 96.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 7
Quad 2	5 - 4	7 - 10
Quad 3	4 - 1	12 - 12
Quad 4	5 - 0	17 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	285	Central Arkansas	W	88-69	96%
Nov 26, 2020	300	Jackson St.	W	79-59	97%
Nov 27, 2020	219	Arkansas St.	W	80-64	93%
Dec 05, 2020	40	Memphis	W	76-75	55%
Dec 12, 2020	253	UNC Wilmington	W	80-62	95%
Dec 16, 2020	193	@ Middle Tennessee	W	77-69	77%
Dec 19, 2020	47	@ Dayton	L	70-74	37%
Dec 22, 2020	324	Tennessee Martin	W	88-64	98%
Dec 29, 2020	32	@ Alabama	L	77-83	32%
Jan 02, 2021	77	Wichita St.	W	74-69	66%
Jan 06, 2021	60	Auburn	W	75-72	59%
Jan 09, 2021	59	South Carolina	W	77-74	60%
Jan 12, 2021	22	@ Florida	L	65-72	27%
Jan 16, 2021	94	Georgia	W	78-72	70%
Jan 19, 2021	72	@ Mississippi St.	L	70-72	45%
Jan 23, 2021	78	Texas A&M	W	69-64	67%
Jan 27, 2021	46	@ Arkansas	L	73-77	37%
Jan 30, 2021	94	@ Georgia	W	75-74	52%
Feb 02, 2021	20	Tennessee	L	67-69	44%
Feb 06, 2021	60	@ Auburn	L	72-75	40%
Feb 10, 2021	66	Missouri	W	71-67	61%
Feb 13, 2021	59	@ South Carolina	L	74-77	40%
Feb 17, 2021	30	LSU	W	78-77	50%
Feb 20, 2021	72	Mississippi St.	W	73-69	64%
Feb 23, 2021	66	@ Missouri	L	68-70	42%
Feb 27, 2021	120	@ Vanderbilt	W	75-72	59%
Mar 02, 2021	11	Kentucky	L	70-73	40%
Projected Record						16 - 11	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.2	0.6	1.4	1.7	1.2	0.6	0.1		5.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	1.4	2.6	2.1	0.8	0.2	0.0			7.1	2nd
3rd											0.2	1.6	3.4	2.4	0.6	0.0					8.2	3rd
4th										0.0	1.3	3.9	2.4	0.5	0.0						8.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	3.6	3.2	0.6	0.0	0.0						8.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	2.9	3.7	0.9	0.1								8.0	6th
7th								0.1	1.9	4.2	1.6	0.1									7.9	7th
8th							0.1	1.2	4.2	2.5	0.2										8.2	8th
9th						0.0	0.6	3.3	3.4	0.6	0.0										7.9	9th
10th					0.0	0.4	2.6	3.5	0.8	0.0											7.4	10th
11th					0.2	1.9	3.3	1.4	0.1												6.9	11th
12th			0.0	0.3	1.7	2.6	1.6	0.1	0.0												6.4	12th
13th		0.1	0.3	1.5	2.3	1.5	0.3	0.0													6.0	13th
14th	0.1	0.6	1.0	1.3	0.8	0.1	0.0														4.0	14th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.4	3.1	5.1	6.4	8.5	9.8	10.8	10.9	10.6	9.7	8.1	6.1	4.1	2.6	1.4	0.6	0.1			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	98.2%	0.6		0.5	0.0
16-2	86.9%	1.2		0.9	0.2	0.0
15-3	67.9%	1.7		1.1	0.6	0.1
14-4	34.0%	1.4		0.5	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
13-5	10.1%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.4%	0.2			0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.8%	5.8		3.2	1.8	0.7	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	27.8%	72.2%	1.2		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
17-1	0.6%		100.0%	24.6%	75.4%	1.9		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
16-2	1.4%		100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	2.5		0.3	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-3	2.6%		100.0%	23.6%	76.4%	3.5		0.2	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
14-4	4.1%		99.6%	15.8%	83.8%	4.9		0.1	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.5%
13-5	6.1%		98.2%	11.5%	86.7%	6.6		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.9	1.1	1.2	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.1					0.1		98.0%
12-6	8.1%		91.4%	9.0%	82.4%	8.0			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.8	1.2	1.6	1.4	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0				0.7		90.6%
11-7	9.7%		76.7%	5.6%	71.1%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.7	1.4	1.7	1.5	1.2	0.5	0.1				2.3		75.3%
10-8	10.6%		57.1%	3.3%	53.8%	9.9				0.0		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.2	1.5	1.4	0.8	0.1	0.0			4.5		55.6%
9-9	10.9%		30.2%	2.3%	27.9%	10.6							0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.9	0.1	0.0			7.6		28.5%
8-10	10.8%		11.7%	0.6%	11.1%	11.3									0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0			9.6		11.2%
7-11	9.8%		2.3%	0.6%	1.7%	11.6									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		9.5		1.7%
6-12	8.5%		0.4%	0.1%	0.3%	13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		8.4		0.3%
5-13	6.4%		0.1%	0.1%		15.4												0.0					0.0	6.4
4-14	5.1%																							5.1
3-15	3.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
2-16	1.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		40.4%	4.5%	35.9%	7.7		0.9	1.6	2.0	2.5	2.7	3.2	3.9	4.9	5.4	5.2	4.7	2.9	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	59.6		37.6%