IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Missouri
Southeastern
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.6	#66
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.3	#270
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.7	#81

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.9	#58

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
#1 Seed	1.0%	1.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	2.7%	3.0%	0.5%
Top 4 Seed	7.0%	7.8%	1.3%
Top 6 Seed	13.1%	14.4%	3.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	36.9%	39.5%	17.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	34.1%	36.6%	16.0%
Average Seed	7.6	7.5	8.7

.500 or above	51.6%	55.0%	26.1%
.500 or above in Conference	46.5%	48.7%	29.6%
Conference Champion	4.6%	5.0%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	9.3%	8.3%	17.0%

First Four	3.9%	4.0%	2.6%
First Round	34.8%	37.3%	15.9%
Second Round	19.5%	21.1%	7.3%
Sweet Sixteen	7.9%	8.5%	3.4%
Elite Eight	3.1%	3.4%	1.1%
Final Four	1.3%	1.4%	0.5%
Championship Game	0.5%	0.6%	0.2%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Home) - 88.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 8
Quad 2	4 - 4	7 - 11
Quad 3	4 - 1	11 - 13
Quad 4	2 - 0	13 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	178	Oral Roberts	W	81-68	88%
Dec 06, 2020	77	@ Wichita St.	L	69-71	43%
Dec 09, 2020	147	Liberty	W	66-55	83%
Dec 12, 2020	13	Illinois	L	67-70	39%
Dec 22, 2020	117	Bradley	W	72-64	76%
Dec 30, 2020	20	Tennessee	L	65-67	41%
Jan 02, 2021	46	@ Arkansas	L	71-75	35%
Jan 05, 2021	72	@ Mississippi St.	L	68-70	42%
Jan 09, 2021	30	LSU	L	75-76	49%
Jan 12, 2021	120	Vanderbilt	W	75-67	76%
Jan 16, 2021	78	@ Texas A&M	L	63-65	44%
Jan 19, 2021	59	South Carolina	W	75-73	58%
Jan 23, 2021	20	@ Tennessee	L	62-70	25%
Jan 26, 2021	60	@ Auburn	L	69-73	37%
Jan 30, 2021	69	TCU	W	66-63	62%
Feb 02, 2021	11	Kentucky	L	68-72	38%
Feb 06, 2021	32	Alabama	L	77-78	49%
Feb 10, 2021	61	@ Mississippi	L	67-71	39%
Feb 13, 2021	46	Arkansas	W	74-72	55%
Feb 16, 2021	94	@ Georgia	L	72-73	49%
Feb 20, 2021	59	@ South Carolina	L	72-76	38%
Feb 23, 2021	61	Mississippi	W	70-68	58%
Feb 27, 2021	78	Texas A&M	W	66-62	64%
Mar 03, 2021	22	@ Florida	L	63-71	26%
Projected Record						12 - 12	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.2	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1		4.6	1st
2nd												0.1	1.0	2.1	1.5	0.5	0.1				5.2	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.5	2.7	1.6	0.3	0.0					6.3	3rd
4th										0.0	1.2	3.3	2.1	0.4	0.0						7.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	3.3	2.6	0.5	0.0							7.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	2.8	3.5	0.8	0.1								7.5	6th
7th							0.0	0.1	2.1	4.6	1.5	0.1									8.4	7th
8th							0.0	1.2	4.2	2.3	0.2										8.0	8th
9th						0.0	0.8	3.7	3.4	0.5	0.0										8.3	9th
10th					0.0	0.5	2.9	4.0	1.0	0.1											8.5	10th
11th				0.1	0.4	2.3	4.1	1.5	0.1												8.4	11th
12th			0.0	0.6	2.0	3.4	1.9	0.1	0.0												8.1	12th
13th		0.1	0.6	2.0	2.7	1.7	0.2	0.0													7.3	13th
14th	0.2	0.8	1.5	1.7	0.9	0.2	0.0														5.4	14th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.2	4.4	6.0	8.0	10.0	10.7	11.2	10.9	9.7	8.4	6.6	4.7	3.1	1.9	0.8	0.3	0.1			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	91.0%	0.7		0.6	0.1	0.0
15-3	71.0%	1.4		0.9	0.5	0.0
14-4	40.3%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	14.6%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1
12-6	3.0%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.6%	4.6		2.5	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		100.0%	51.1%	48.9%	1.0		0.1	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.3%		100.0%	33.7%	66.3%	1.4		0.2	0.1	0.0																100.0%
16-2	0.8%		100.0%	33.0%	67.0%	2.2		0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0														100.0%
15-3	1.9%		100.0%	28.8%	71.2%	3.0		0.3	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.0									100.0%
14-4	3.1%		99.7%	23.0%	76.8%	4.1		0.2	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.7%
13-5	4.7%		99.8%	13.1%	86.7%	5.6		0.0	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.0	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.7%
12-6	6.6%		96.7%	10.1%	86.6%	7.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.1	1.2	1.1	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0				0.2		96.4%
11-7	8.4%		89.3%	5.9%	83.4%	8.4				0.0	0.2	0.3	0.7	1.2	1.5	1.5	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			0.9		88.6%
10-8	9.7%		64.4%	3.1%	61.2%	9.6				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.2	1.1	1.0	0.9	0.2	0.0			3.5		63.2%
9-9	10.9%		38.9%	2.0%	37.0%	10.5					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	1.1	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0		6.6		37.7%
8-10	11.2%		12.5%	1.1%	11.4%	11.5								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0		9.8		11.5%
7-11	10.7%		2.0%	0.7%	1.3%	12.0										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.5		1.3%
6-12	10.0%		0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	12.3												0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	9.9		0.2%
5-13	8.0%		0.1%	0.1%		15.1																0.0	0.0	8.0
4-14	6.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
3-15	4.4%																							4.4
2-16	2.2%																							2.2
1-17	0.9%																							0.9
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		36.9%	4.2%	32.7%	7.6		1.0	1.7	1.9	2.5	2.7	3.3	4.0	4.4	4.4	3.7	3.5	2.9	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	63.1		34.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	1.0	96.3	3.7